» GERMAN -CHINESE AND HONG KONG COOPERATION PATHS …
Transcript of » GERMAN -CHINESE AND HONG KONG COOPERATION PATHS …
© Fraunhofer IFF, M agdeburg 2016 , Univ.-Prof . Dr.-Ing. M ichael Schenk
K ay M atzner, A PA C Innovation Summit 2016 Series-Internet of Things, 07.04.2016;
» GERM A N-CHINESE A ND HONG K ONG COOPERA TION PA THS ON INDUSTRY 4.0«
Image: China News Image: TRIAD
© Fraunhofer IFF, M agdeburg 2016 , Univ.-Prof . Dr.-Ing. M ichael Schenk
GERM A N-CHINESE A ND HONG K ONG COOPERA TION PA THS ON INDUSTRY 4.0
Fraunhofer IFF – Technology contribution 3
Industry 4.0: Hong Kong, China and Germany 2
1 Industry 4.0: Evolution status in Germany
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Prepare to Evolve Industry 4.0: Development by interaction of many individual technologies
New products, usages, methods, tasks, and business models
Computer performance Miniaturisat ion Connectedness Data storage
Ident if icat ion Posit ion systems Robots Simulat ion
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Prepare to Evolve Industry 4.0 – Domains and Challenges
The working world of tomorrow: Progressive computerizat ion of the workplace: M obile computing devices in production (SmartPads,
Smartphones) A pp technology for the production Information technology marketplaces (e.g., for tools, semi-
f inished products, materials) Internet-based services (e.g. services for remote diagnosis )
Digitalisat ion of the workplace: Availability and analysis of large amount of data (process
individualised analysis software) Early fault detection Preventive maintenance and servicing
More Flexibility through: Decentralisation and Networking M achine condition monitoring Remote diagnostics and remote control
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Prepare to Evolve Industry 4.0 – Opportunities
Energy and resource efficiency as decisive competitive factors
Shorter innovation cycles
More complex products
Larger volumes of data
Mass Customization Volatile markets High productivity
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Industry 4.0 High quantitative expectation on Industry 4.0 solutions by German industry
Increased Ef f iciency Cost Reduct ion
See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industtiellen Revolution,
PWC quest ioned 235 German companies f rom 5 dif ferent indust ries /many of them global market leaders
Expected addit ional effects due to Industry 4.0 solut ions for next 5 years
Increased eff iciency and cost reduct ion are reached via:
• Focusing on core competences • Reduct ion of redundancies • Improving product quality • Higher f lexibility and standardizat ion of processes
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Industry 4.0 High qualitative expectation on Industry 4.0 solutions by German industry
See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industtiellen Revolution,
PWC quest ioned 235 German companies f rom 5 dif ferent indust ries /many of them global market leaders
Expected qualitat ive advantages of Industry 4.0 solut ions
Improved Planning (Product ion, Logist ics)
Higher customer sat isfact ion
Greater product ion f lexibility
Faster Time-to-Market
Improving quality
Customizat ion of products
Signif icance of Ef fect
high medium limited
Improved horizontal and vert ical integrat ion of value chains is improving ef f iciency and product ion f lexibility
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• Fundamental change of existing business models;
• Shift f rom mass production to individual products (lot-size 1);
• Salaries of a region will not matter so much anymore;
• Production will be strengthened in developed countries (Germany, USA );
• Optimization of production processes regarding energy and resource consumption;
• Until 2020 globally 7 million traditional jobs will be lost and 2 million jobs with new prof iles created (data: W EF);
• Requirements of demographic change will be met, as most new job-prof iles will not be physically demanding;
Prepare to Evolve Industry 4.0: Some trends relevant for Economy and Society
Image: webportglobal.com
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Prepare to Evolve Industry 4.0: some economic numbers f rom Germany
See: https://www.bcgperspectives.com/content/articles/engineered_products_project_business_industry_40_future_productivity_growth_manufacturing_industries/?chapter=3 See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industtiellen Revolution, See: IAB (2015) Industry 4.0 and the consequences for labour market and economy Image: rickbouter.wordpress.com
Technology • Due to advanced know how in sensor technologies Germany is globally
leading in I4.0; Product ivity and revenues: • Product ivity in manufacturing sectors will increase between 6 and 8% up
to 2020; • Annual growth ef fects by I4.0 technology on nominal German GDP will be
30 billion € up to 2020 (more than 1% annually); • Driving industries in Germany are: the process industry, automot ive
industry and mechanical industry; • German industry needs to invest annually 18 billion € into Industry 4.0; Employment • 6 percent increase of employment in manufacturing sectors during the
next ten years. Prof iles of about 500K jobs will change;
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Prepare to Evolve Industry 4.0: impact on global competitiveness and trade patterns
Share of manufacturing value added in 2011 • Between 1991 und 2011 emerging economies increased its share f rom 21% to 40% ;
• The cards maybe reshuff led;
• Determining factors maybe:
• A utomation reduces importance of labour costs;
• M anufacturing maybe located closer to markets (transport cost, time to market, f lexibility);
• Improved ICT may enable manufacturers to take advantage of location specif ic costs;
Inspired by: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants (2014): The new industrial revolution
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Prepare to Evolve Three steps tow ards Industry 4.0…..
1. SET CONDITIONS FOR THE 4.0 ECOSY STEM
A ction
Player
Promote Industry 4.0
Policy makers
2. Boost INDUSTRY 4.0 OFFERINGS
A ction
Player
A ccelerate Information's, Develop future champions, Establish a dynamic digital environment
Policy makers , Industry and Finance partners
3. PROM OTE FA ST A DOPTION
A ction
Player
Progressively transition to I4.0
Industrial users Inspired by: Roland Berger Strategy Consultants (2014): The new industrial revolution
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Prepare to Evolve Challenges of German industry regarding I4.0
unclear benef its, high investments
insuff icient qualif ication of labor
missing standards and certif ication options
unclear legal situation regarding usage of external data's
low maturity of required technologies
data security
See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industtiellen Revolution,
PWC quest ioned 235 German companies f rom 5 dif ferent indust ries /many of them global market leaders
© Fraunhofer IFF, M agdeburg 2016 , Univ.-Prof . Dr.-Ing. M ichael Schenk
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Prepare to Evolve W hat should policy makers do about I4.0
upgrading universities and motivating students to study relevant topics
supporting international standardization
creation of competitive data security laws
supporting investments by tax reductions
increasing research support to universities and research institutes
PW C questioned 235 German companies f rom 5 dif ferent industries /many of them global market leaders
See: PWC (2014) Industrie 4.0-Chancen und Herausforderungen der vierten Industtiellen Revolution,
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Some questions to be answered by German policy makers:
How to adapt the needed legal system?
How to motivate and activate competences and creativity of SM Es and entrepreneurs?
How to qualify citizens and employees?
How to arrange eff icient f inancing for investments and R& D?
Some actions of German policy makers:
Informing and sensitizing of Industry by establishment of competence centers;
Subsidizing Industry 4.0 introduction consultancy;
Implementation of large scale support programs and initiatives on M icroelectronics (Sensors), standardization, legal f rameworks and IT security;
Dialogues with international partners countries (esp. China and USA );
Prepare to Evolve Industry 4.0: German government visions and actions
Source: BMWi (2016) Digitale Strategie
© Fraunhofer IFF, M agdeburg 2016 , Univ.-Prof . Dr.-Ing. M ichael Schenk
GERM A N-CHINESE A ND HONG K ONG COOPERA TION PA THS ON INDUSTRY 4.0
Fraunhofer IFF – Technology contribution 3
Industry 4.0: Hong Kong, China and Germany
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Industry 4.0: Evolution and status in Germany
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Industry 4.0 Some German-Chinese Cooperation Issues
• A ging population, rising labor costs and production cost competition force Chinese manufacturers to implement Industry 4.0 solutions;
• Germany has the advanced technology needed for Chinese Industry 4.0;
• Germany is worried that I4.0 cooperation with China will strengthen Chinese competitors;
• Chinese data control laws making effective cooperation's unthinkable;
• The German Government will not proactive support German-Chinese research collaborations on Industry 4.0;
Image: merics
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Industry 4.0 Fraunhofer Training on Industry 4.0 in HK STP in February
SWOT: A pplied to the tangible organizations as HK companies, HK gov.
and HK Industry associations; Object of analysis: introduction of Industry 4.0 in HK : Goal of analysis: improve the innovation culture needed for the
introduction of Industry 4.0 in HK ; Some general f indings: Develop HK as China knowledge base for Industry 4.0
technologies; By: upgrading Universities, upgrading research centres, HK STP etc.
Sensitising of companies on competitive threads A ssist HK based companies with introduction of Industry 4.0
technologies; By: subsidising fact f inding and analysis, provision of information on new technologies (testbeds, showrooms, and missions etc.)
Training/ general overview on I4.0
technologies
Company workshop
Check up of company by
experts
Check and test of technologies in showrooms
Developing
business plan
Developing implemention
masterplan
KPI revison
Funding/Investment
Government funded
Company funded
The Road to I4.0 for HK Companies -systematic -interdisciplinary -disruptive
© Fraunhofer IFF, M agdeburg 2016 , Univ.-Prof . Dr.-Ing. M ichael Schenk
GERM A N-CHINESE A ND HONG K ONG COOPERA TION PA THS ON INDUSTRY 4.0
Fraunhofer IFF – Technology contribution
2 Industry 4.0: Hong Kong, China and Germany
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Industry 4.0: Evolution and status in Germany
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66 institutes and research units
A bout 24,000 employees
Research budget of € 2 billion
Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft in Prof ile
Seven Fraunhofer Groups
Information and Communication Technology
Life Sciences
M icroelectronics
Light & Surfaces
Production
M aterials and Components
Defense and Security
As of March 2014
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Digital Engineering and Operation Use digital methods, tools and models
reliably and sustainably
throughout the entire life cycle of products, equipment and production systems and even factories.
Boost production performance throughout the entire life cycle
Fraunhofer IFF as Technology Partner
© Fraunhofer IFF
© Lintje GbR
© Thomas Ernsting, National Geographic
Smart W ork Systems
Ressource Eff icient Production and Logistics
Convergent Supply Chains
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Industry 4.0 CheckUp: Prepare to Evolve A pproach
Smart Factory
Any Industry; done fg. for Daimler, BMW etc. Company classification in relation to the guiding principles of »Industry 4.0«; Process mapping and visualization; Classification of the company regarding to the requirements ( maturity); Estimation of potential efficiencies and cost reductions; Derivation of short-, medium- and long-term measures for implementation; Strategies , migration, recommendations, actions towards the " factory of the future” ;
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Zero-defect manufac-turing
M achine M anufacturers Diversity of models and high complexity of jobs in assembly operations V isual assistance and inspection systems for the assembly of clamping systems V irtual templates to position and align
components A ugmented reality: Information supplied by
camera images of the assembly scene, overlaid with 3D CA D models
Upgradable with an inspection assistant
Smart W ork Systems-Fraunhofer IFF Research V isual A ssistance and Inspection Systems
Shortened assembly time 20%
Reliability in the process chain
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A viation Suppliers (A irbus) Small lot sizes and complex large parts M odel-based tools for optical inspection planning robot path planning provision of desired states inspection documentation of inspection results
Smart W ork Systems Flexible Inspection of Large A ssembled Parts
High f lexibility for quantities down to 1
Sustainable quality documentation
© Fraunhofer IFF
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A utomotive and Supplier Industry (A udi) V alidating and expediting product approval Facilitating communication between OEM and suppliers with virtual technologies Interactive planning and documentation A utomatic linking of CA D data and assembly
procedure data Pooling of data and knowledge in a database
Smart W ork Systems V irtual Technologies for Product A pproval
© Audi AG, Fraunhofer IFF
V alidation and optimization of critical processes
Early certainty for suppliers and OEM
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W ork areas Shared by Humans and M achines Safe cooperation between humans and machines Projection and camera-based sensor system generates optical safeguarded
zones display of robot status, instructions
for procedures, etc.
Smart W ork Systems-Fraunhofer IFF Research W orkplace M onitoring for M ore Safety
© Fraunhofer IFF
Immediately recognizable safeguarded zones
Ergonomic interaction
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Calculation and optimization of manufacturing parameters
Resource Ef f icient Production and Logistics Simultaneous Plant and M anufacturing Development
Commissioning and service
Chemical Industry
Integrated digital engineering of a plant that produces membrane f iltration elements
Reduction of Development risk Time and cost Defective products,
f rom 10% to 1%
Shortened development time 15–20% project period
New options for qualif ication
Virtual model: Control system development and programming by “ virtual teaching”
V R aided design of manufacturing plant
V R layout planning
Product design and optimization
Pictures © Fraunhofer IFF
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Technology development cooperation's on robotics, measurement, testing, virtual development & training;
Supporting HK s re-industrialization road mapping
Cooperation on designing Industry 4.0 strategies for companies;
Cooperation on establishment of a Industry 4.0 M odel-Factory to:
• Show of select Industry 4.0 technologies, systems and methods under real conditions of use;
• Provision of general trainings to companies on Industry 4.0 potentials;
• developing manufacturing processes, optimizing processes, selecting software and hardware components by development of user based scenarios;
Technology Partner Fraunhofer IFF V isions on Industry 4.0 cooperation's w ith Hong K ong & China
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Technology Partner Fraunhofer IFF Let us research your application together!
Fraunhofer Institute for Factory Operation und A utomation IFF
Sandtorstrasse 22 39106 M agdeburg
Germany
Phone: +49 391 4090-0
ideen@iff .f raunhofer.de www.if f .f raunhofer.de
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Dipl.-Vw. Kay Matzner Logistik- und Fabriksysteme Telefon +49 391 4090-159 Fax +49 391 4090-432 [email protected]