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Why are transformational innovations so difficult for large and successful incumbent firms? © 2016 Peter Koen. All Rights Reserved Transformational and disruptive innovation? Brown, B. and Anthony, S. “ How P&G Tripled Its Innovation Success Rate,” Harvard Business Review, June 2011 Koen, P.A., Bertels, H. and Elsum, I.R., “The Three Faces of Business Model Innovation: Challenges for Established Firms,” Research - Technology Management, 55, 3; 52 - 59, May – June 2011.

Transcript of © 2016 Peter Koen. All Rights Reserveds3.amazonaws.com/JuJaMa.UserContent/951b0445-8c31... ·...

Page 1: © 2016 Peter Koen. All Rights Reserveds3.amazonaws.com/JuJaMa.UserContent/951b0445-8c31... · disruptive innovation? Brown, B. and Anthony, S. “ How P&G Tripled Its Innovation

Why are transformational innovations so

difficult for large and successful incumbent

firms?

© 2016 Peter Koen. All Rights Reserved

Transformational and disruptive innovation?

Brown, B. and Anthony, S. “ How P&G Tripled Its Innovation Success Rate,” Harvard Business Review, June 2011Koen, P.A., Bertels, H. and Elsum, I.R., “The Three Faces of Business Model Innovation: Challenges for Established Firms,” Research -Technology Management, 55, 3; 52 - 59, May – June 2011.

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Sustaining Innovations

3

Transformational Innovations

44

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Disruptive Innovations

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Why is it so difficult?

Koen, P.A., Bertels, H. and Elsum, I.R., “The Three Faces of Business Model Innovation: Challenges for Established Firms,” Research - Technology Management, 55, 3; 52 - 59, May – June 2011.Bertels, H., Koen, P.A., and Elsum, I. “Business Models Outside The Core: Lessons Learned From Success And Failure,” Draft at Research-Technology Management.

Large companies are not innovative

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Bill

ions

Sales IncomeP&G

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Be sure to ask about the side effects

OK – large companies are innovative

BUT not in developing new business models

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Why are new business models

so difficult for large companies ?

4

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Business Model Rigidity

Leaders will make significant investments in transformational

innovation, but will force the solution into the sustaining

business model

Gavetti, Giovanni, “Strategy Formulation and Inertia,” HBS School Case 9-705-468, January 10, 2005.

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Business Model Rigidity

Kodak invests $5 billion in digital over the next 10 years (40-50%

of R&D budget)

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2

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The Church of New Finance

Adopted from a Clay Christensen presentation

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Common methods of financial analysis

systematically bias against high risk innovation

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IHFYIncome in a Hypothetical

Future Year

31Presentation from John Evans, VP of Engineering and Technology, Lockheed Martin

Goal is to estimate 3x – 10x to determine potential income provides enough value to the firm

3

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Ambidextrous Organization

Most large companies do not protect transformational

innovation efforts with the correct organizational

O'Reilly, Charles A., III, and Michael L. Tushman. "Organizational Ambidexterity in Action: How Managers Explore and Exploit." California Management Review 53, no. 4 (Summer 2011): 5–21.O'Reilly, Charles A., III, and Michael L. Tushman. "The Ambidextrous Organization." Harvard Business Review 82, no. 4 (April 2004): 74–81.

SBU Senior Management

(CoreCo)Existing Business

Mfg Sales R&D

Integrated

Emerging Business

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SBU Senior Management

(CoreCo)Existing Business

Mfg Sales R&D

Emerging Business

Mfg Sales R&D

NewCo Senior Management

Executive Sponsor

Separated

SBU Senior Management

(CoreCo)

Existing Business

Mfg Sales R&D

Emerging Business

Mfg Sales R&D

Ambidextrous

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Ambidextrous organizations are 90% more effective in

developing transformational innovations than either integrated or separated

O'Reilly, Charles A., III, and Michael L. Tushman. "Organizational Ambidexterity in Action: How Managers Explore and Exploit." California Management Review 53, no. 4 (Summer 2011): 5–21.

4

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Apply the same FEI management

methods we use in sustaining to

transformational innovations

Strategy and Scope

Market and Customer

Competitor Analysis

Project Plan

Financials

Business Plan

Market Test

Traditional FEI for sustaining

innovation projects

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Learning Strategy

41

Follow a plan to learnLoop around the Basketball Court

Adopted from a Clay Christensen presentation

Can’t Use Stage Gate to manage transformational

innovation

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“No business plan survives the first contact with the

customers”

Adopted from Blank and Dorf, The Startup Owner’s Manual, KS Ranch, 2012

Business plans are valuable in sustaining businesses – when you

can execute on the plan

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Some facts from start-ups

Most start-ups fail

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And the ones that succeed change their

original business model 66% of the time

………Quoted from Ash Maurya

90% of transformational innovation projects

change their business models 4 times before

they “get it right”

48

Adopted from Mark Johnson, author of Seizing the White Space, HBR, 2010

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Sustaining businesses execute a business model, transformational

innovations search for one Adopted from a Steve Blank presentation

The true product of the transformational

innovation effort is the business model NOT the

solution

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For managing transformational

innovations in large corporations

Lean start-up

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Lean Start-UpBusiness Model

Minimum Viable Prototype

Very early customer/user visits

Uses the business model as a converging tool for

brainstorming for transformational

business hypothesis

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2. Early and abundant customer visits

We often wait too long to talk with customers

Adopted from Blank and Dorf, The Startup Owner’s Manual, KS Ranch, 2012

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3. VERY EARLY, fast low fidelity prototyping

Show this

Don’t wait for this

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4. Rapid Learning

Business Model

Customer Visits

Prototype

Business Model

Customer Visits

Prototype

Business Model

Customer Visits

Prototype

Experiences with large corporations

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5Lessons Learned

62

All of the companies struggled with getting to the

right problem

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Many innovations fail not because of a fatal flaw in the innovation itself, but because

the company fails to understand the problem they

are solving

Newton: Enamored by technology. PC in your pocket. Not what functions are needed by mobile user

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Segway: A transportation device for everyone NOT for someone. Not determining which users have a problem requiring the attributes of a Segway

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Google Glass: A mobile device for everyone. Not determining which users have a problem requiring it

68

“….Google didn’t improve Glass in specific ways for an application to attract users from a target market to buy Glass. In the end, by trying to be a “cool tool” for everyone Glass ended up being something nobody really needed”

-Forbes, Feb 12, 2015, Adam Hartung

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Apple Watch: What problem are they trying to solve and for whom?

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What is the right problem?

Incubators for 3rd world rural regions

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Is this the problem?

Rural clinics in India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Cambodia and Indonesia

need a much lower cost and maintenance free incubator

so that they can prevent premature babies from dying.

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Neonuture Incubator

Is this the problem?

Desperate parents living in remote villages without electricity and are far from clinics

needs the means to give her dying baby

a chance to live

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2

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Confuse solution attributes with the solution

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Solution Attributes Map

81

Coffee TasteRich Flavor

Notes

Easy to use

Ready to drink

Importance

5 sec1 min

SeamlessComplicated

Bland

Time to clean< 1 min> 10 min

3

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Osterwalder’s Business Model Canvas does not work in the FEI

for transformational innovations

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85

86

To use as a brainstorming tool each item on the canvas MUST be distinct and explicit

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FEI Canvas

Developed specifically for large companies

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4

FEI teams focus on the wrong customers

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91

Standard Products Available

laggards

routine users

early adopters

Peo

ple

who

nee

d ne

w p

rodu

ct

lead users

lead users create custom

solutions

92

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5

Most envision the prototype as a fully featured solution

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The initial prototype is often much more minimum than

you think

Courtesy of IDEO

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…and in conclusion

98

Lean start-up should be used to manage transformational

innovations in large corporations

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5Implementation Lessons Learned

Focus on the problem you are solving

Reframe it as a POV

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Don’t confuse the solution with the solution attributes

Focus on lead users and early adopters NOT

routine users

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Use the FEIcanvas for transformational

innovations

Sustaining Transformational

Embrace very early prototyping as a collaborative

and communication tool

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www.frontendinnovation.com

Lean startup