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2 TË p 3 cña Dù th¶ o B¸ o ç o cuèi cïng bµ n chi tiÕ t vÒ dù b¸ o nhu cÇ u. 3 KÞ ch b¶ n ®∙ ®îc lË p víi sù t vÊ n cña Bé KH§T vµ ViÖ n CLPT. T× nh huèng cao gi¶ ®Þ nh tû lÖ t¨ ng trëng hµ ng n¨ m lµ 7.6%, 7.9% vµ

6.7% gi÷a 2000-2005, 2005-2010 vµ 2011-2020, trong khi t× nh huèng thÊ p gi¶ ® Þ nh 6.4%, 6.6% and 5.2% cho cïng ç c giai ®o¹ n 4 Lu© n chuyÓ n giao th«ng néi tØ nh kh«ng ®îc tÝ nh trong Dù b¸ o nhu cÇ u 5 Qu¸ tr× nh ph© n c«ng ®∙ ®îc m« t¶ chi tiÕ t trong TË p 3 cña b¸ o ç o. Mét lo¹ t ç c kho¸ ®µ o t¹ o ng¾ n ®∙ ®îc tiÕ n hµ nh cho mét sè

thµ nh viª n ®èi t¸ c cña ViÖ n CL vµ PT GTVT trong qu¸ tr× nh Nghiª n cøu.



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6 Tû lÖ néi hoµ n kinh tÕ (EIRR) ®îc íc tÝ nh cho hÇ u hÕ t ç c dù n CSHT nh» m lµ m râ tÇ m quan träng t¬ng ®èi cña tõng dù n. 7 Nh÷ng u tiª n cña ChÝ nh phñ ®èi víi ç c dù n GTVT nhá vµ khu vùc ®« thÞ , n«ng th«n cÇ n thiÕ t cho ph¸ t triÓ n ®Ê t níc nhng ngoµ i

ph¹ m vi VITRANSS còng ®∙ ®îc xem xÐ t trong viÖ c ph© n bæ nguån vèn t¬ng lai cã thÓ cã ®îc ®èi víi ngµ nh GTVT. 8 T¨ ng trëng GDP vµ ç c nguån cÊ p vèn tiÒ m n¨ ng ®∙ ®îc c© n nh¾ c.

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2-4

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2-5

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Nghiª n cøu ChiÕ n lîc GTVT Quèc gia (VITRANSS) B¸ o ç o cuèi cïng


2-6

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!" C«ng t¸ c chuÈ n bÞ / Nghiª n cøu khëi ®Ç u

!"§iÒ u tra vË n t¶ i

!"Nghiª n cøu ph¸ t triÓ n khu vùc

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ph¸ t triÓ n !"Dù b¸ o nhu cÇ u !"Nghiª n cøu m«i

trêng

!"Nghiª n cøu chuyª n ngµ nh − §êng bé − §êng s¾ t − §êng thñy − Hµ ng kh«ng

!"Nghiª n cøu ThÓ chÕ vµ Qu¶ n lý

!"Nghiª n cøu chuyª n ngµ nh

!"Nghiª n cøu thÓ

chÕ vµ qu¶ n lý !"Dù b¸ o nhu cÇ u !"§¸ nh gi¸ m«i

trêng

!"Quy ho¹ ch tæng

thÓ GTVT !"KÕ ho¹ ch ng¾ n

h¹ n

!"CSDL GTVT ®∙ cñng cè

!"!h.%2$]E%c)d% !"§µ o t¹ o t¹ i chç !"Th¶ o luË n nhãm (2 tuÇ n/lÇ n) !"!h.%2$]E%c&d%%!"§µ o t¹ o t¹ i chç !"Th¶ o luË n nhãm !"Kho¸ ®µ o t¹ o chuyª n s© u !"!h.%2$]E%c(d% !"§µ o t¹ o t¹ i chç !"Th¶ o luË n nhãm !"!h.%2$]E%cXd% !"§µ o t¹ o t¹ i chç !"Kho¸ ®µ o t¹ o !"Häp ç c nhµ tµ i trî !"!h.%2$]E%cYd%

!"Ç c chiÕ n lîc dµ i h¹ n (2020)

§iÒ u tra bæ sung



3-1

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2Qui m« cÊ p vèn c«ng céng theo GDP cho ngµ nh GTVT n¨ m 1996 nh sau: Brunei Darussalam (2,9%), Malaysia (2,4%), Myamar (2,3%), Philippines (2,0%) vµ Th¸ i Lan (7,3%): Ban Th kÝ ASEAN



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