EU Energy Policy after Fukushima

Olga Sihmane, Directorate General for Energy, European CommissionEU-Japan Policy Seminar, Tokyo, Japan

2 December 2011

G h E g R bl

The 20-20-20 EU policyBy 2020

Greenhousegas levels

Energyconsumption

Renewablesin energy mix

100%

-20% -20%

+20%

2

SEnergy Strategy 2020

5 P i iti5 Priorities:Efficient use of energyEfficient use of energy

Integrated energy marketIntegrated energy market

Secure, safe and affordable energySecure, safe and affordable energy

Technological leadershipTechnological leadership

Strong international partnership3

Strong international partnership

PRIORITY 1: EFFICIENT USE OF ENERGY

Use energy better: multi-sector plan to boost energy efficiency

Savings expected to be achieved with already existing measures

Remaining saving potential to beRemaining saving potential to be addressed with new measures

4Source: European Commission

ff f

PRIORITY 1: EFFICIENT USE OF ENERGY

What improving energy efficiency means for a single family house of the 70s (150 m2 in D)

No Renovation to Renovation toNo renovation

Renovation to new build standard

Renovation to low energy

house standard

Annual CO2 emissionsi tin tonnes

ConsumptionConsumption of heating oil per year

5

÷2,5

÷ 2

PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE

Complete the internal energy market by 2014

.Energy markets remain highly concentrated:» need to encourage new entrants andneed to encourage new entrants and

independent suppliers» need to give consumers (business and g (

households) a choice.Private actors need legal certainty and g yadequate market design to plan and invest.EU needs:» Integrated and competitive energy markets» interconnected and smart infrastructure

6

EU strongest renewable

PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE

EU strongest renewableenergy potentials

Wind energy onshore

Solar energy

Wave energy

Si lifi d M

7

Simplified Map

PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE

Energy system investment needs

Total investment needs in the electricity and gas sector y gbetween 2010-20: over 1 trillion €

Power generation: ~ 500 bn Transmission and distribution: ~ 600 bn

Distribution: ~ 400 bn

T i i 200 b

RES: ~ 310-370 bn

Transmission: ~ 200 bn

NB: approximative figures mainlyNB: approximative figures, mainly from DG ENER calculations based on data from PRIMES, ENTSO-E,

KEMA, ECOFYS etc.

8

f

PRIORITY 2: INTEGRATED ENERGY MARKET & PAN-EUROPEAN INFRASTRUCTURE

European infrastructures priorities

Southerngas corridor

LNG terminals

Baltic inter-connection plan

Mediterraneanenergy ring

North southelectricity & gasinterconnectionsin central-southEurope

9

North Seaoffshore grid

D l t f bli di R&D

PRIORITY 4: TECHNOLOGICAL LEADERSHIP

Development of public spending on energy R&Din selected EU Member States, the USA and Japan - 1991-2005

EU (17 MS) USA JAPANin 2005 in %

20

10 +22%

-10

1991=100

-13%10

-20

-13%

-30

-40 -40%

10

Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) and own calculations

C f

PRIORITY 3: SECURE, SAFE AND AFFORDABLE ENERGY

Continuous improvement in safety and security

.Nuclear risk and safety assessments» Commission Interim Report to be presented to p p

the European Council on 9 December» Peer review process in 2012» Review of the legal and regulatory framework» Review of the legal and regulatory framework

for the nuclear safety installations.Offshore safety regulation» Ensure best practices are applied by industry y y

and public authorities» Promote better compliance

11

EU-27 Import dependency(based on 2009 baseline scenario)

2005 2008 2020 2030 2005 2008 2020 2030in %

100

80 84 3%

92,7%84,1%

80

60

82,4%84,3%

62,3%

75,9%

82,8%

40

57,7%

20

12

GASOIL

Th J 2009 i i d it i t

PRIORITY 5: STRONG INTERNATIONAL PARTNERSHIP

The January 2009 gas crisis and its impact(6-20 January 2009)

> 75 %

% of missing gas supply – 300 mcm/d for 14 days

50 - 75 %

25 – 50 %

< 25% 25%

0%

Ukraine

13| 13

CLow-Carbon Economy Roadmap 2050

100% 100%

80%

100%

80%

100%

Power Sector

60%

80%

60%

80%Current policy

Residential & Tertiary

40%

60%

40%

60%

Industry

20%

40%

20%

40%

Transport

0%

20%

0%

20%

Non CO2 Other Sectors

Non CO2 Agriculture

14

0%1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

0%

A longer term strategy

Upcoming Energy Roadmap 2050.Consider direction speed and milestones.Consider direction, speed and milestones.Put together national energy mixes.Assess the infrastructure implications and.Assess the infrastructure implications and look for the most cost-effective pathways

15

f fFor further information

http://ec.europa.eu/energy/index_en.htm

16