World Population. Population Geography The study of the distribution, composition, migration and...

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World Population

Population Geography

• The study of the distribution, composition, migration and growth of population. Makes use of demographics.

• Demography – statistics of human population ito size, development and structure

Growth of World Population

• Activity 1

• Activity 2

• Activity 3

HECTIC DAYS

World Population Clock

• http://www.health24.com/Graphics/Graphics_World_Population/3561-3604,36539.asp

• http://math.berkeley.edu/~galen/popclk.html• http://www.census.gov/main/www/popclock.html• http://www.poodwaddle.com/worldclock.swf

Important Population Concepts

Population Density

Arithmetic Density• Population density = total population

area km²

Examples• Johannesburg: 350 people/km²• Northern cape: 2 people/km²

Isopleths – lines joining places of the same density

Population Density

Nutritional Density

• Density = Total population

Total area of cultivated land

Population Distribution

• Refers to the way in which population is distributed over the earth

• E.g. There are more people in the wetter Eastern half of South Africa than in the drier Western part of South Africa

Birth Rate

• BR = Number of live births

total population

In developed countries there is a BR crisis

In developing countries there is a BR crisis

Explain….

Population projections from the 1900's to 2050

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:World_population_%28UN%29.svg

Birth Rate Meltdownin Rich Nations?

CountryNatural decrease annually By 2050 pop decrease

Russia: -0.6% -22%Bulgaria -0.5%; -34%Hungary -0.3%; -11%Croatia -0.2%; -14%Germany -0.2%; -9%Czech Republic -0.1%; -8%Japan 0%; -21%Poland 0%; -17%Austria 0%; + 8% Italy 0%; -5%Greece 0%; -4%

Why?

• Children seen as an economic burden

• Adolescence extended

• Education taking longer

• Travelling easier

• Day care is expensive,

• Part time work doesn’t have perks

• Difficult to get family responsibility leave

What are some of the measures

the Governments of developed nations

are putting in place to

INCREASE their birth rate?

Germany

• Parents of babies born on or after 1 January 2007will be entitled to up to R250 000 to ease the financial burden of parenthood. The cash subsidies are part of a government initiative to boost Germany's dwindling birth rate.

 • Singapore PM Lee Kuan Yew predicted that just

such aggressive moves would be necessary to avert Europe's coming population meltdown. The notion that national governments can take a laissez-faire attitude toward the citizenry's procreation, he said, was dangerously outdated.

Russia

• September 12 is “day of conception” day

• Don’t come to work , stay home and…

• So if you give birth on June 12 you may win approximately R80 000 and other contestants may win video cameras, TVs, refrigerators and washing machines.

Japan

• The Japanese even have a name for this trend, ‘Shoshika,' which means "a society without children" (http://www.lifesite.net/ldn/2004/dec/04120604.html)

• In an effort to remedy “Shoshika”, local Japanese government groups are sponsoring “speed dating” events to facilitate marriages. (LifeSiteNews.com)

Australia

• Baby Bonus of approximately R30 000

• Daycare and milk etc are subsidised through paying less tax

Norway

• Maternity leave of 2 years

• Paternity leave of 1 year!!!!

• In South Africa you get 3 days

Other Options

• Encourage immigration

• Allow people to work longer e.g. until 70

• Flexi – time

• See children as an investment? Not a liability. It costs approx R1.5 Million to raise 1 child!

Overpopulation

Mostly in the …….World?

Developing

Overpopulation means

• Less jobs

• Shortage of space

• Shortage of resources

• Education?

• Poverty

• More pollution

China 2007

• Population: 1,321,851,888

(July 2007 est.) • Birth rate:

13.45 births/1,000• Death rate:

7 deaths/1,000 • Net increase?

In China

• One child policy aka planned birth policy

• Parents with more than one child pay a “social compensation fee”

• Male to female ratio117:100 (natural baseline ranges between 103:100 and 107:100)

Does this contradict one’s Human Rights?

The "One-Two-Four" problem

As the one-child policy approaches the third generation, one adult child supports two parents and four grandparents. This leaves the oldest and most vulnerable generation with increased dependency on retirement funds, the state, or charity for support. If personal savings, pensions, or state welfare should fail, then the most senior citizens would be left entirely dependent upon their very small family or neighbors for support.

In India

Population: 1,129,866,154 (July 2007 est.)

Death Rate

• DR = Number of deaths x 1000

total population

• A.k.a mortality (death) rate

Other Concepts

• Life expectancy – average number of years a person can expect to live

• Infant mortality rate – the number of infant deaths per 1000 live births

• Natural Increase – the rate at which a country’s population is growing. Subtract DR from BR. Expressed as a percentage.

Other Concepts

• Fertility rate – the number of children born per woman of child bearing age

• Literacy rate - % of the total population that can read and write

• GDP/capita – income of a country divided by the population of that country

• % urbanised - % of total population in towns and cities

• Maternal mortality rate – the number of mothers who die in childbirth

Activity 5

Gender Discrimination

Woman are unfairly treated in many parts of

the world;

Gender Discrimination

Gender Discrimination

• May not own property• Often may not be

educated• House/land based,

not business-based• Paid less• Greater

unemployment rates

• Rights protections lacking

• Suffer in times of war• Unpaid work, look

after children and animals, collect water and firewood etc

• Domestic violence• Sexual exploitation

Female Infanticide

It's raining men in China

China will have 30 million more men of marriageable age than women by 2020, making it difficult for them to find wives.

Why?

Population Pyramids

+

Population Pyramids• How many old/young

people are there?• Are there more females

than males per age group?

• Is population expanding/shrinking?

• Mass emigration /immigration

• How did war affect population?

• Level of economic development

South Africa’s Population

  

http://www.statssa.gov.za/PublicationsHTML/P03022007/html/P03022007.html

Canada’s Population Pyramid

Why women live longer than men

• For Canada 1901-2001

• http://www12.statcan.ca/english/census01/products/analytic/companion/age/cda01pymd.cfm

So what’s the problem?

• More people leaving the workforce than entering it – who’s going to do the work?

• Pension funds strain

• Medical aids strain

• Town and regional planning needs to adapt e.g. more …need to be built?

Dependency Ratio

• 15 – 60 Years of producing income i.e. economically active/productive years

• The number of people dependant on the economically productive portion of society

Dependency Ratio

• Dep Ratio = Children under 15 + Adults over 60 x 100

People 15 – 59

• Work out Sweden and Zimbabwe’s Dependency Ratio

p174 Focus

• Zimbabwe: 74.9• Sweden: 61,45

Dependency ratio

• In EU countries this ratio is doubling in many cases

Activity 9

Demographics

The study of human population and its structure and change.

http://tools.google.com/gapminder/

(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics)

Activity 11

Sustainable Development

Current generations meeting their needs without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their needs

IMPLIES:• Future generations have rights over resources• Current generation has a duty to include

future generations’ needs in its decision-making

The BIG question

How many people can

our planet support?

Carrying capacity

• Carrying capacity is the number of people an area (our planet) can support on a sustainable basis given the available space, resources and available technology

• Is the carrying capacity of the earth is limited?

What do we need to consider?

• Water

• Cropland

• Forest

• Food

• Urbanisation

• Quality of life

Are there limits to population growth?

• Yes

• No

• Perhaps, if…

YOUR ANSWER?

The Impact of AIDS

Effect Of Aids

• Create a “cross-word-search” with at least 10 of the different (population, economic, health care and human suffering [p183]) effects of aids.

• You need to write clues out too.

MIGRATION

Migration

• Migration is the change of a person’s place of residence

Migration

• Voluntary or forced

• Semi-permanent (daily, seasonal or yearly)• It can be legal or illegal…

Reasons why people migrate

• Economic

• Political

• Religious

• Social

• Safety

• Quality of life

• Health

Emmigration

The Brain Drain

"South Africa has one engineer for every 3 200 people; countries like China and India have one engineer for every 150 people and in Europe the ratio is 1:250-300. Artisans in Australia are paid three times the South African wage," Solidarity Trade Union

The opposite of Brain Drain is…

Brain Gain

Activity 2

Activity 4

Illegal immigrants

Ha Ha

The latest poll taken by the Governor of California yielded results on whether or not people who live in California think illegal immigration is a serious problem:

a) 41% of the respondents answered: "Yes, it is a serious problem."

b) 59% of the respondents answered: "No, es un problema."

What’s Happening

One million fleeing Zimbabwe for South Africa By Sebastien Berger in Musina:Te Telegraph (UK) 26/09/2007

More than a million Zimbabweans will have fled into South Africa by the end of the year, according to a new report.

Consequences for South Africa?

Consequences for SA?

POSITIVE• Help to create more

wealth• Hard workers

NEGATIVE• Crime• Xenophobia• Burgeoning informal /

squatter settlements• Jobs for South African

residents taken

Refugees

A refugee is someone who…

owing to a well-founded fear of being persecuted for reasons of race, religion, nationality,

membership of a particular social group, or political opinion, is outside the country of their nationality, and is unable to or, owing to such

fear, is unwilling to avail him/herself of the protection of that country.

According to the 1951 United Nations Convention Relating to the Status of Refugees

Refugees can be…

• International – refugees that have moved to another country

• Internal – people who have moved to another part of the same country. This is especially true for countries where the central government is secondary to the state/provincial governments e.g. USA

Asylum

• They then seek “asylum” in the country they migrate to

• Asylum is the giving by a government to a person from another country the right to be in their country because it would be unsafe for that person to return to their country

Types of refugees

Environmental triggers• Natural changes • Human change• Deterioration of QOL

Human triggers• Political • Religious• Racial• War• Land invasion

Problems faced by refugees

• Lack of services • Poor accommodation• Unemployment• Trauma• Dislocated families• Discrimination• Lack of medical

services• Poverty

A Refugee Camp

People and Organisations

Chapter 9

Include in Table

• WHO• WWF• Nepad• AU• SADC

• SATOUR• COSATU• Starfish• TAC• Greenpeace

Create a Table…

Acronym Full Name Level of Organisation

Main Purpose

UN United Nations Global International Peace

FAO Food and Agrcicultural Organisation

Global Provide food through improving agriculture and reduce hunger

UNICEF United Naitions Childrens Fund

Global Child welfare, Children rights, gender equality, health and education

Acronym Full Name Level of Organisation

Main Purpose

WWF World Wildlife Fund

Global Conservation of endangered species

NEPAD New Partnership for Africa’s Development

Regional Development of Africa

SADC Southern African Development Community

Regional Co-operation between countries and economic development. Democracy.

Acronym Full Name Level of Organisation

Main Purpose

SATOUR South African Tourism

National Promoting tourism in South Africa

Starfish … National Helping those with HIV/AIDS

TAC Treatment Action Campaign

Civic (NGO) Aids

Global Organisations

African Organisations

National Organisations

Civic Organisations