Vicki Allan2010

Looking for students for two NSF funded

grants

Encourage Taking CS6100 (Spring)

Funded Projects 2008-2011

• CPATH – Computing Concepts– Educational– Curriculum Development

• COAL – Coalition Formation– Research in Multi-agent systems

CPATH• There is a need for more computer

science graduates. • There is a lack of exposure to computer

science.• Introductory classes are unattractive to

many.• Women are not being attracted to

computer science despite forces which should attract women – good pay, flexible hours, interesting problems.

Create a library of multi-function Interactive Learning

Modules (ILMs) • Showcase computational thinking• De-emphasize programming

• Website: CSILM.USU.EDU• The following are examples created by our

students:

Algorithm designAbstraction

Boolean Expressions

Need Students

• Good programmers to program interactive learning modules in Java.

• Students with ideas for how to revitalize undergraduate education

COAL

Second project involves multi-agent systems

Prefer to hire someone who has taken (or is taking) CS6100 – multi-agent systems.

AI experience is an advantage

If two heads are better than one, how about 2000?

Monetary Auction

• Object for sale: a five dollar bill• Rules

– Highest bidder gets it– Highest bidder and the second highest bidder

pay their bids– New bids must beat old bids by 5¢.– Bidding starts at 5¢. – What would your strategy be?

Give Away

• Bags of candy to give away• If everyone in the class says “share”, the

candy is split equally.• If only one person says “I want it”, he/she

gets the candy to himself.• If more than one person says “I want it”, I

keep the candy.

The point?

• You are competing against others who are as smart as you are.

• If there is a “weakness” that someone can exploit to their benefit, someone will find it.

• You don’t have a central planner who is making the decision.

• Decisions happen in parallel.

Cooperation

• Hiring a new professor this year.• Committee of three people to make

decision• Have narrowed it down to four candidates.• Each person has a different ranking for the

candidates.• How do we make a decision?• Termed a social choice function

Binary ProtocolOne voter ranks c > d > b > aOne voter ranks a > c > d > bOne voter ranks b > a > c > d

Binary ProtocolOne voter ranks c > d > b > aOne voter ranks a > c > d > bOne voter ranks b > a > c > d

winner (c, (winner (a, winner(b,d)))=awinner (d, (winner (b, winner(c,a)))=d

winner (c, (winner (b, winner(a,d)))=c

winner (b, (winner (a, winner(c,d)))=b

surprisingly, order of pairing yields different winner!

Suppose we have seven votersHow choose winner?

• a > b > c >d • a > b > c >d • a > b > c >d • a > b > c >d • b > c > d> a• b > c > d> a• b > c > d> a

Who is really the most preferred candidate?.

Are they honest?

Borda protocol

assigns an alternative |O| points for the highest preference, |O|-1 points for the second, and so on

The counts are summed across the voters and the alternative with the highest count becomes the social choice

17

reasonable???

Borda Paradox• a > b > c >d • b > c > d >a• c > d > a > b• a > b > c > d• b > c > d> a• c >d > a >b• a <b <c < da=18, b=19, c=20,

d=13

Is this a good way?

Clear loser

Borda Paradox – remove loser (d), winner changes

• a > b > c >d • b > c > d >a• c > d > a > b• a > b > c > d• b > c > d> a• c >d > a >b• a <b <c < da=18, b=19, c=20,d=13

a > b > c b > c >a c > a > b a > b > c b > c > a c > a >b a <b <c

a=15,b=14, c=13

When loser is removed, third choice becomes winner!

Conclusion

• Finding the correct mechanism is not easy

Coalition Formation Overview

• Tasks: Various skills and numbers• Agents form coalitions• Agent types - Differing policies• How do policies interact?

Multi-Agent Coalitions

• “A coalition is a set of agents that work together to achieve a mutually beneficial goal” (Klusch and Shehory, 1996)

• Reasons agent would join Coalition– Cannot complete task alone– Complete task more quickly

Scenario 1 – Bargain Buy(supply-demand)

• Store “Bargain Buy” advertises a great price

• 300 people show up• 5 in stock• Everyone sees the advertised

price, but it just isn’t possible for all to achieve it

Scenario 2 – selecting a spouse(agency)

• Bob knows all the characteristics of the perfect wife

• Bob seeks out such a wife

• Why would the perfect woman want Bob?

Scenario 3 – hiring a new PhD(strategy)

• Universities ranked 1,2,3• Students ranked a,b,c

Dilemma for second tier university

• offer to “a” student• likely rejected• delay for acceptance• “b” students are gone

Scenario 4 (trust)What if one person talks a good story, but his claims of skills are really inflated?

He isn’t capable of performing. the task.

Scenario 5

The coalition is completed and rewards are earned. How are they fairly divided among agents with various contributions?If organizer is greedy, why wouldn’t others replace him with a cheaper agent?

Scenario 5You consult with local traffic to find a good route home from work

But so does everyone else

Who Works Together in Agent Coalition Formation?

Vicki Allan – Utah State University

Kevin Westwood – Utah State University

Presented September 2007, Netherlands

(Work also presented in Hong Kong, Finland, Australia, California)

CIA 2007

Overview

• Tasks: Various skills and numbers• Agents form coalitions• Agent types - Differing policies• How do policies interact?

Multi-Agent Coalitions

• “A coalition is a set of agents that work together to achieve a mutually beneficial goal” (Klusch and Shehory, 1996)

• Reasons agent would join Coalition– Cannot complete task alone– Complete task more quickly

Skilled Request For Proposal (SRFP) Environment

Inspired by RFP (Kraus, Shehory, and Taase 2003)• Provide set of tasks T = {T1…Ti…Tn}

– Divided into multiple subtasks– In our model, task requires skill/level– Has a payment value V(Ti)

• Service Agents, A = {A1…Ak…Ap}– Associated cost fk of providing service– In the original model, ability do a task is determined probabilistically – no two agents alike.– In our model, skill/level– Higher skill is more flexible (can do any task with lower level skill)

Why this model?• Enough realism to be interesting

– An agent with specific skills has realistic properties.

– More skilled can work on more tasks, (more expensive) is also realistic

• Not too much realism to harm analysis– Can’t work on several tasks at once – Can’t alter its cost

Auctioning Protocol• Variation of a reverse auction

– One “buyer” lots of sellers– Agents compete for opportunity to perform services– Efficient way of matching goods to services

• Central Manager (ease of programming)1) Randomly orders Agents

2) Each agent gets a turn• Proposes or Accepts previous offer

3) Coalitions are awarded task

• Multiple Rounds {0,…,rz}

Agent Costs by Level

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Skill Level

Co

sts

General upward trend

05

10152025

3035

Agent 3 Agent 2 Agent 5

Costs

Agent Cost Profit

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

Agent 11 Agent 2 Agent 5

Costs

Agent Cost Profit

Agent costBase cost derived from skill and skill level Agent costs deviate from base cost Agent payment

cost + proportional portion of net gain

Only Change in coalition

How do I decide what to propose?

The setup

• Tasks to choose from include skills needed and total pay

• List of agents – (skill, cost) • Which task will you choose to do?

Decisions

If I make an offer…• What task should I propose doing?• What other agents should I

recruit?If others have made me an offer…• How do I decide whether to

accept?

Coalition Calculation Algorithms• Calculating all possible coalitions

– Requires exponential time– Not feasible in most problems in which

tasks/agents are entering/leaving the system• Divide into two steps

1) Task Selection

2) Other Agents Selected for Team– polynomial time algorithms

Task Selection- 4 Agent Types1. Individual Profit – obvious, greedy

approach

Competitive: best for me

Why not always be greedy?• Others may not accept – your membership is

questioned• Individual profit may not be your goal

2. Global Profit

3. Best Fit

4. Co-opetitive

Task Selection- 4 Agent Types

1. Individual Profit

2. Global Profit – somebody should do this task

I’ll sacrificeWouldn’t this always be a noble thing to do?• Task might be better done by others• I might be more profitable elsewhere

3. Best Fit – uses my skills wisely

4. Co-opetitive

Task Selection- 4 Agent Types1. Individual Profit

2. Global Profit

3. Best Fit – Cooperative: uses skills wisely

Perhaps no one else can do it

Maybe it shouldn’t be done

4. Co-opetitive

4th type: Co-opetitive Agent

• Co-opetition– Phrase coined by business professors

Brandenburger and Nalebuff (1996), to emphasize the need to consider both competitive and cooperative strategies.

• Co-opetitive Task Selection– Select the best fit task if profit is within P% of

the maximum profit available

What about accepting offers?Melting – same deal gone later• Compare to what you could

achieve with a proposal• Compare best proposal with

best offer• Use utility based on agent type

Some amount of compromise is necessary…

We term the fraction of the total possible you demand – the compromising ratio

Resources Shrink

• Even in a task rich environment the number of tasks an agent has to choose from shrinks– Tasks get taken

• Number of agents shrinks as others are assigned

Resources Task Rich

010

2030

4050

6070

80

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Rounds

Availab

le R

eso

urc

es

My Tasks

Total Tasks

Total Agents

My tasks parallel total tasks

Task Rich: 2 tasks for every agent

Scenario 1 – Bargain Buy

• Store “Bargain Buy” advertises a great price

• 300 people show up• 5 in stock• Everyone sees the

advertised price, but it just isn’t possible for all to achieve it

Scenario 2 – selecting a spouse

• Bob knows all the characteristics of the perfect wife

• Bob seeks out such a wife

• Why would the perfect woman want Bob?

Scenario 3 – hiring a new PhD

• Universities ranked 1,2,3• Students ranked a,b,c

Dilemma for second tier university

• offer to “a” student• likely rejected• delay for acceptance• “b” students are gone

Affect of Compromising Ratio

• equal distribution of each agent type• Vary compromising ratio of only one type

(local profit agent)• Shows profit ratio = profit achieved/ideal

profit (given best possible task and partners)

Local Profit Agents (Task Rich)

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95

Compromising Ratio of Local Profit

Pro

fit/

Idea

l Agent/Task .5

Agent/Task 1

Agent/Task 2

Agent/Task 3

Achieved/theoretical bestNote how profit is affect by load

Profit only of scheduled agents

Scheduled Agent Profit (Task Rich)

0.440.46

0.480.5

0.520.54

0.560.58

0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95

Compromising Ratio of Local Profit

Pro

fit/

Idea

l LocalProf

GlobProf

Coopet

BestFit

Only Local Profit agentschange compromising ratio

Yet others slightly increase too

Note

• Demanding local profit agents reject the proposals of others.

• They are blind about whether they belong in a coalition.

• They are NOT blind to attributes of others.• Proposals are fairly good

Balanced Proposers

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

LocalProf GlobProf Coopet BestFit

Rat

io t

o E

xpec

ted

LocalProf

GlobProf

Coopet

BestFit

For every agent type, the most likely proposer was a Local Profit agent.

Balanced Proposers

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

LocalProf GlobProf Coopet BestFit

Rat

io t

o E

xpec

ted

LocalProf

GlobProf

Coopet

BestFit

No reciprocity: Coopetitive eager to accept Local Profit proposals, but Local Profit agent doesn’t acceptCoopetitive proposals especially well

Balanced Proposers

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

LocalProf GlobProf Coopet BestFit

Rat

io t

o E

xpec

ted

LocalProf

GlobProf

Coopet

BestFit

For every agent type,Best Fit is a strong acceptor.

Perhaps because it isn’t accepted well as a proposer

Coopetitive agents function better as proposers to Local Profit agents in balanced or task rich environment.– When they have more choices, they tend to

propose coalitions local profit agents like– More tasks give a Coopetitive agent a better

sense of its own profit-potential

Load balance seems to affect roles

Coopetitive Agents look at fit as long as it isn’t too bad

compared to profit.

Agent rich: 3 agents/task

Agent Rich Proposers

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

LocalProf GlobProf Coopet BestFit

LocalProf

GlobProf

Coopet

BestFit

Coopetitive accepts most proposals from agents like itself

in agent rich environments

• Do agents generally want to work with agents of the same type? – Would seem logical as agents of the same

type value the same things – utility functions are similar.

– Coopetitive and Best Fit agents’ proposal success is stable with increasing percentages of their own type and negatively correlated to increasing percentages of agents of other types.

Look at function with increasing numbers of one other type.

Local Profit, Task Rich

0123456

Proposers

Joiners

What happens as we change relative percents of each agent?

• Interesting correlation with profit ratio.

• Some agents do better and better as their dominance increases. Others do worse.

Individual Profit Ratio (std dev 5)

0.58

0.59

0.6

0.61

0.62

0.63

0.64

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Agent %

Ind

ivid

ual

Pro

fit

Rat

io

Individual Profit

Global Profit

Best Fit

Co-opetitive

shows relationship if all equal percent

Best fit does better and better as more

dominant in set

Best fit does better and better as more

dominant in set

Local Profitdoes better whenit isn’t dominant

So who joins and who proposes?

• Agents with a wider range of acceptable coalitions make better joiners.

• Fussier agents make better proposers.• However, the joiner/proposer roles are

affected by the ratio of agents to work.

Conclusions

• Some agent types are very good in selecting between many tasks, but not as impressive when there are only a few choices.

• In any environment, choices diminish rapidly over time.

• Agents naturally fall into role of proposer or joiner.

Future Work

• Lots of experiments are possible• All agents are similar in what they value.

What would happen if agents deliberately proposed bad coalitions?