Post on 09-Jul-2015
Employment Self Sufficiency
Good Policy or Pipe Dream
Three Parts
1. Commuting to work – problem definition
2. Using employment terms correctly
3. Responsibilities for delivering jobs
1. Commuting to Work
Commuting for Work
Show of hands
Average about 28 mins
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Av
era
ge c
om
mu
nti
ng
tim
es
(Min
ute
s)
International Situation
US average about 28 mins
OECD average 37 mins
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5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
Av
era
ge C
om
mu
te T
ime (
Min
ute
s)
The Tipping Point
Travel times don’t increase indefinitely
Most cities are around 30 mins
Why don’t they just keep increasing?
Like most things, its about economics
Our urban structure
Has the residents on the outside and the jobs on the
inside
Has the ‘high quality’ jobs in a handful of places
(greater CBD, airport, universities, Henderson)
Is putting job-enabling infrastructure in these places
– reinforcing the status quo
Strategies
Bring the jobs to the people
More employment
infrastructure to new
activity centres on the
fringe
Bring the people to the Jobs
Increased infill in the
central sub-region
Increased public transport
infrastructure
Bring the Jobs to the People
D2031 advocates this approach, but some questions
arise:
How many jobs?
What types of jobs?
What infrastructure do these jobs require?
Who is responsible for providing the infrastructure?
In NW corridor between 2006 and
2011:New population 43,868
New workforce 24,127
New Jobs 14,100Joondalup AC – 2,590
Wangara AC – 4,236
Jobs gap 10,000
ESS went from 42% to 43% (target 60%)
2. Using Employment Terms
Correctly
Employment Self Sufficiency
Sub-regional measure
Appropriate for allocating employment on large scale
Employment Self Containment
Goodness of fit between local jobs and local labour
force
What we are actually trying to achieve is increased
ESC
ESS and ESC – The Relationship
ESC is strongly
correlated with ESS
An increase in ESS
does not imply an
increase in ESC, and
vice versa
Because ESC is sticky
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
ESS ESC
Wanneroo
2006
2011
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
ESS ESC
Kalamunda
2006
2011
Application of ESS Targets
625% 8.04
%
7.58
%
3. Responsibilities for delivering jobs
State government should
Set employment targets for different centre types
Balance targets to achieve sub-regional ESS
Coordinate job-creating BIG infrastructure, involving
Commonwealth
Local government should
Address employment directly in commercial
strategies
Prioritise development of high-potential employment
centres
Address local access issues
4. What developers should do
about employment
Say yes to
Maximising centre-based retail/consumer service
employment
Understand the maturity of your centre
Endorsed employment number targets for each
centre type
Local employment infrastructure issues being taken
into account
Say no to
Inappropriate use of regional terms and metrics to
individual centres
Excessive, unachievable employment expectations
on shopping centres
Final Thought
Contrary to popular belief, the economy does not
exist to provide jobs
The economy exists to create and distribute goods
and services
The chances of individual activity centre owners
being able to provide jobs on the fringe beyond retail
and other basic population driven activity are
virtually nil