Too many wild pigs? Effects of different approaches on ...

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Too many wild pigs? Effects of different approaches on population management

Giovanna Massei 1, Barbara Franzetti 2, Simon Croft 1

1 National Wildlife Management Centre, UK2 Italian National Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, Italy

Pathways 2019 Human Dimensions of Wildlife, 22-26 September 2019, Estes Park, USA

Wild boar and feral swine

Snow et al. 2017

Pittiglio et al. 2018

Bengsen et al. 2017

Number of wild boar culled in Europe

Massei et al. 2015 Massei et al. 2014

Trends in hunters in Europe

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012

Num

ber

of h

unte

rs

Montenegro Belgium

Luxembourg Slovenia

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

1982 1992 2002 2012

Num

ber

of h

unte

rs

Croatia SerbiaCzech Republic Hungary

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012

Num

ber

of h

unte

rs

Poland Austria Portugal

Sweden Germany

0

500,000

1,000,000

1,500,000

2,000,000

2,500,000

3,000,000

3,500,000

1982 1987 1992 1997 2002 2007 2012

Num

ber

of h

unte

rs

Italy Spain

Russia France

Massei et al. 2014

Traffic accidents

Threats to native species

Disease transmission

Predation on livestock

Damage to crops, amenities, infrastructures

Impact

Attacks on dogs

$$$

Impact

2006-07 hunting season in Spain: US$ 32M in revenues

Wild boar numbers are increasing in urban areas

Methods to decrease wild boar impact

Fertility control

Toxicants

Recreational ground hunting

Professional shooters/trappers

Culling from helicopters

Methods to decrease wild boar impact

Fertility control

Toxicants

Recreational ground hunting

Professional shooters/trappers

Culling from helicopters

Fertility control & culling to reduce n. of wild pigs

• Maintaining infertile > 40% of sows/year:

in isolated populations: 50% more pop. reduction than culling alone

in open populations: 30% more pop. reduction than culling alone

Pepin et al. 2017

Aims and Methods

MethodsDefined a stochastic stage-specific matrix model and applied an Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) approach to derive parametervalues

AimEstimate effects of various levels of culling (0-80%) and fertility control (0-80%) on wild boar number in two isolated populations

Castelporziano (Italy) and Forest of Dean (UK)

Data on n. boar present and removed/year

Data on hunting and traffic accidents

~ 2000 wild boar in 6000 ha

Target: reduce population to 400 animals

Wild boar in Castelporziano

• ~ 30% of estimated wild boar population culled in fall-winter (park rangers only) to reduce impact

• Distance sampling and CMR used to estimate n of wild boar since 2001

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Target : reduce population to ~ 400 boar

Results – integrating culling with fertility control

X % Contraception

X %

Cu

llin

g

Time (20 yrs)

Log n

. of

wild

boar

Red line: target (400)

Black line: 50% probability to reach target

Dotted line: confidence intervals

Results Castelporziano: culling and fertility control

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Contraception

Culli

ng

Y axis: Log n boar

X axis: 20 years

Red line: target (400)

Black line: 50% probability (dotted line: confidence intervals)

Results Forest of Dean - culling and fertility control

0% 20% 40% 60%

40%

Contraception

Culli

ng

Red line: target (400) Black line: 50% probability

Time (20 yrs)

culling 40% maintains a stable populationculling 40% + 20% contraception 400 boar in ~18 yrs, 1000 boar in ~3 yrsculling 40% + 60% contraception 400 boar in ~3 yrs, 1000 boar in 1 yr

Log n

um

ber

wild

boar

Blue line: new target (1000)

Model summary and next steps

• Fertility control alone is incapable of reducing wild boar numbers

• Adding fertility control to feasible levels of culling can reduce the population faster than culling alone

Future work

• To estimate costs of current management (culling only) and compare with adding fertility control via oral & injectable contraceptives

Fertility control : when?

When lethal control is:

illegal

unacceptable

unfeasible

unsustainable

environmentally hazardous

ineffective when used as the sole method of management

Immunocontraception to manage wild boar in peri-

urban areas in Spain

Immunocontraception to manage wild boar in

Hong Kong

Hunters’ interest in fertility control!

Questions?

Giovanna.Massei@apha.gov.uk

Simon.Croft@apha.gov.uk

barbara.franzetti@isprambiente.it

Acknowledgements