The Sixth Wave of Innovation: New business models and … · James Bradfield Moody . Cisco Live...

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James Bradfield Moody Cisco Live 2013

The Sixth Wave of Innovation: New business models and opportunities for a

resource-limited world

What is innovation?

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Need/Market

Technology

Institutions

What is innovation?

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Textiles Cotton, Iron, Coal

Canals Owner manager

Wave 1: Water & Steam

Power (Industrial Revolution)

Railways & Steam ships

Coal Telegraph Hierarchy

Wave 2: Railways

Electricity Heavy Engineering

Synthetic Dyes Telephone Divisions

Wave 3: Electrification Autos

Airlines Oil & gas Plastics Matrix

management

Wave 4: Mass

Production Computers Telecoms Software Networks

Wave 5: Information & Communications

1780 1840 1890 1940 1970 2010

Source: from Freeman, C., Louca, F., As Time Goes By: From the Industrial Revolutions to the Information Revolution, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2002

Waves of Innovation

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Waves of Innovation

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Need/Market

Technology

Institutions

What happened in the fifth wave?

Waves of Innovation

Resource Efficiency

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Need: Increasing Demand

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Institutions: Ecosystem Services

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Investments in Technology

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Source: IEA: http://iea.org/papers/2010/glo

bal_gaps.pdf

Old Mode of Operation

New Mode of Operation

Harvesting resources that

are plentiful and cheap

Managing resources that are scarce and

valuable

In a resource-constrained world:

The Winning Formula

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

The Next Wave?

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Markets: Waste = Opportunity

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Institutions: Sell the Service, not the Product

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Bio- Sphere

(circular)

Techno-sphere

(service)

Biosphere vs. Technosphere

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Technology: Digital and Natural Converge

http://static.guim.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2010/3/20/1269125712641/Augmented-reality-001.jpg

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Systems: Bits are Global, Atoms are Local

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Integrating: If in doubt, look to nature

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

The Future

James Bradfield Moody, Cisco Live 2013, www.sixthwave.org

Thank you

e: james.bradfield.moody@gmail.com w: http://www.sixthwave.org

f: The Sixth Wave t: @jamesbmoody