The Adaptation ChallengeThe Adaptation Challenge

What is the challenge?What is the challenge?

• See how well your group has adapted Scott’s house to See how well your group has adapted Scott’s house to climate changeclimate change

• How well you’ve adapted will be measured by how many How well you’ve adapted will be measured by how many tokens your group has at the end of the gametokens your group has at the end of the game

The winning group will have the most tokens at the end!The winning group will have the most tokens at the end!

For each time period (2040; 2060) we are going change: For each time period (2040; 2060) we are going change: • Your personal circumstancesYour personal circumstances• Government supportGovernment support• Natural eventsNatural events

We’ll throw the dice and dependent on the outcome, your group We’ll throw the dice and dependent on the outcome, your group will LOSE or GAIN tokenswill LOSE or GAIN tokens

Tokens at startTokens at start

12 per group12 per group

20402040DID YOU ADAPT SCOTT’S HOUSE?DID YOU ADAPT SCOTT’S HOUSE?

If you did, adaptation cost = 3 tokensIf you did, adaptation cost = 3 tokens

Over the next decades …..Over the next decades …..

Scott’s personal circumstances Scott’s personal circumstances change ….change ….

Throw your die

Scott’s personal circumstances Scott’s personal circumstances change ….change ….

11 His insurer goes bankrupt – LOSE 2 TOKENS His insurer goes bankrupt – LOSE 2 TOKENS 22 He has difficulty getting house insurance - He has difficulty getting house insurance -

LOSE 1 TOKENSLOSE 1 TOKENS33 He falls behind on mortgage payments – LOSE He falls behind on mortgage payments – LOSE

1 TOKEN1 TOKEN44 His partner inherits a fortune – GAIN 3 His partner inherits a fortune – GAIN 3

TOKENS TOKENS 55 He develops a water-based tourist business – He develops a water-based tourist business –

GAIN 2 TOKENSGAIN 2 TOKENS66 He wins the lottery – GAIN 4 TOKENSHe wins the lottery – GAIN 4 TOKENS

Government support changes …Government support changes …

Throw your die

Government support changes …Government support changes …

11 Large rise in council tax – LOSE 2 TOKENSLarge rise in council tax – LOSE 2 TOKENS22 Small increase in council tax – LOSE 1 Small increase in council tax – LOSE 1

TOKENTOKEN33 Rise in fuel tax – LOSE 1 TOKENRise in fuel tax – LOSE 1 TOKEN44 Small government grant for house Small government grant for house

adaptation – GAIN 1 TOKENadaptation – GAIN 1 TOKEN55 Large government grant for house Large government grant for house

adaptation – GAIN 2 TOKENadaptation – GAIN 2 TOKEN66 Government provides river defences – Government provides river defences –

GAIN 3 TOKENSGAIN 3 TOKENS

Natural events occurNatural events occur

Throw your die

Natural events occurNatural events occur

11 Drought – LOSE 1 TOKENDrought – LOSE 1 TOKEN

22 Big freeze – LOSE 1 TOKENBig freeze – LOSE 1 TOKEN

33 Perfect summer days – GAIN 1 TOKENPerfect summer days – GAIN 1 TOKEN

44 No major eventNo major event

55 River floods – LOSE 1 TOKEN River floods – LOSE 1 TOKEN or 2 if his or 2 if his insurance company went bankruptinsurance company went bankrupt

66 Major storm – LOSE 3 TOKENS Major storm – LOSE 3 TOKENS or 4 if his or 4 if his insurance company went bankruptinsurance company went bankrupt

Your score so far …Your score so far …

20602060DID YOU ADAPT SCOTT’S HOUSE?DID YOU ADAPT SCOTT’S HOUSE?

If you did adaptation cost If you did adaptation cost = 4 tokens= 4 tokens

Over the next decade …..Over the next decade …..

Scott’s personal circumstances Scott’s personal circumstances change ….change ….

Throw your die

Scott’s personal circumstances Scott’s personal circumstances change …change …

11 No house insurance - LOSE 2 TOKENSNo house insurance - LOSE 2 TOKENS22 Difficulty getting house insurance - LOSE 1 Difficulty getting house insurance - LOSE 1

TOKENTOKEN33 His pension arrangements fail – LOSE 3 His pension arrangements fail – LOSE 3

TOKENSTOKENS44 He owns a thriving vineyard – GAIN 2 TOKENSHe owns a thriving vineyard – GAIN 2 TOKENS55 Village community pays for flood proofing – Village community pays for flood proofing –

GAIN 2 TOKENSGAIN 2 TOKENS66 Village clubs together for flood defences – Village clubs together for flood defences –

GAIN 3 TOKENSGAIN 3 TOKENS

Government support changes …Government support changes …

Throw your die

Government support changes …Government support changes …

11 Major rise in council tax – LOSE 2 TOKENSMajor rise in council tax – LOSE 2 TOKENS

22 Small increase in council tax – LOSE 1 Small increase in council tax – LOSE 1 TOKENTOKEN

33 Huge rise in fuel tax – LOSE 2 TOKENSHuge rise in fuel tax – LOSE 2 TOKENS

44 Small rise in fuel tax – LOSE 1 TOKENSmall rise in fuel tax – LOSE 1 TOKEN

55 Government grant for house adaptation – Government grant for house adaptation – GAIN 1 TOKENGAIN 1 TOKEN

66 Government provides sea defences – GAIN Government provides sea defences – GAIN 3 TOKENS3 TOKENS

Natural events occurNatural events occur

Throw your die

Natural eventsNatural events

11 Alien species pollute water supply – Alien species pollute water supply – LOSE 2 TOKENS LOSE 2 TOKENS

22 Famine following drought – LOSE 3 Famine following drought – LOSE 3 TOKENSTOKENS

33 Major flu epidemic – LOSE 2 TOKENSMajor flu epidemic – LOSE 2 TOKENS44 No major eventNo major event55 Major storm surge – LOSE 2 TOKENS Major storm surge – LOSE 2 TOKENS

or 4 TOKENS if no house insuranceor 4 TOKENS if no house insurance66 Tsunami strikes – LOSE 10 TOKENSTsunami strikes – LOSE 10 TOKENS

Final scoresFinal scores

What this game has told us What this game has told us

Various factors will affect your ability to Various factors will affect your ability to adapt to future climate changeadapt to future climate change

Some of these are ‘chance’ factors e.g. Some of these are ‘chance’ factors e.g.

winning the lotterywinning the lottery

Others you or government can plan for Others you or government can plan for