Post on 21-Jun-2020
National Aeronautics andSpace Administration
STMD’s New Strategic Framework
Update
Presented by:Patrick Murphy, Director,
Jay Falker, Deputy Director, STMD Strategic Planning and Integration
Kevin D. Earle, William M . Cirillo,David Reeves
Systems Analysis & Concepts DirectorateNASA Langley Research Center
December 5, 2017
www.nasa.gov/spacetech
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Revising STMD’s Strategic Framework
Approach modeled after Aeronautics Research Mission Directorate’s (ARMD’s) highly successful strategic framework, incorporating lessons learned and changes where appropriate.
Overall Goal…is to reframe/repackage our strategy to focus our investment prioritization and communication onimpacts, outcomes, and challenges first, and on technologies & systems
second.
Customer derived framework.
Shift to customer-oriented, impact-centric focus, with the intent of more transparently communicating impacts to customers & stakeholders.
Increase use of quantifiable measures to increase traceability of decisions, provide clearer guidance, and empower management & technical workforce.
Planned Framework
Mega-Drivers“Overarching Trend”
Strategic Thrusts
“Vision for Future”
Outcomes“Overarching,
Measurable Goals”
Technical Challenges“STMD Technical
Deliveries”
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Revising STMD’s Strategic Framework
Planned Framework
Definitions Development Timeline & Status
Mega-Drivers“Overarching Trend”
Overarching trends that have, are, and will largely shape the course of civilian space research over many years. They are a product of analysis of space industry trends and conversations with STMD customers (e.g. HEOMD, SMD, commercial space, U.S. industry, & other governmental agencies).
May-Aug 2017Validating Externally
Strategic Thrusts
“Vision for Future”
Altogether the Strategic Thrusts constitute a vision for the future of civilian space, representing STMD’s overarching viewof the civilian space community’s response to the Mega-Drivers.
Jun-Dec 2017Validating Externally
Outcomes“Overarching,
Measurable Goals”
Measurable goals within the Strategic Thrusts that STMD chooses to pursue through joint efforts across the space community. These are goals that STMD can play a significant role in enabling, but are more than NASA alone can achieve.
Jun 2017 - Mar 2018Initial Development
Complete
Technical Challenges“STMD Technical
Deliveries”
Represents the product and/or capability to be delivered by STMD to enable the community-level outcomes. STMD projects and solicitations are formulated to directly address Technical Challenges.
Oct 2017 - Dec 2018Initial
DecompositionToday’s Focus
Mega Drivers
Increasing AccessMajor Trends:
• Lowering costs
• Increasing launch availability
• Decreasing travel time
• Diversifying platforms (e.g. CubeSats)
• Scalable transportation solutions
• New accessible destinations
Accelerating Paceof DiscoveryMajor Trends:
• Major discoveries of potentially life-harboring icy moons and exoplanets
• Growing urgency for Earth-Moon-Sun science discovery and understanding
• Humanity’s desire for ambitious exploration of the solar system and ultimately interstellar travel
Democratizationof SpaceMajor Trends:
• Broadening participation spectrum, from governments to citizens
• Growth in private investment in space
• Public-private partnerships
• International collaborations
Growing Utilizationof SpaceMajor Trends:
• Space market diversification (e.g. servicing, manufacturing, mining, debris removal, tourism)
• Space industry growth well surpassing U.S. average GDP growth
• Space-based solutions addressing growing global challenges
• Increasing resiliency and safety
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STMD Strategic Thrusts
STMD develops technologies to:
ST1. Expand Utilization of Space• Enable servicing, assembly, manufacturing, and resource utilization.
ST2. Enable Efficient and Safe Transportation Into and Through Space• Provide safe, affordable, and routine access to space• Provide cost-efficient, reliable propulsion for long duration missions• Enable significantly faster, more efficient deep space missions
ST3. Increase Access to Planetary Surfaces• Safely and precisely deliver humans & payloads to planetary surfaces• Increase access to high-value science sites across the solar system• Provide efficient, highly-reliable sample return reentry capability
ST4. Enable the Next Generations of Science Discoveries• Expand access to new environments and measurement platforms to enable high-value science• Enable substantial increase in the quantity and quality of science data returned
ST5. Enable Humans to Live and Explore in Space and on Planetary Surfaces• Provided shielded in-space habitation and enable humans to survive on other planets• Provide efficient/scalable infrastructure to support exploration at scale• Increase crew effectiveness and access to diverse, high-value sites
ST6. Grow & Utilize the U.S. Industrial and Academic Base• Transfer NASA technology to grow the U.S. industrial & technology base• Expand public-private partnerships for mutually-beneficial technology developments.• Drive U.S. innovation & expand opportunities to achieve the NASA dream
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Current STMD Investments
FY17 Operating Plan ($686M)
35%ST1: Expand Utilization of Space
19%
ST2: Enable Efficient & Safe Transportation Into and Through Space
13%
ST3: Increase Access to Planetary Surfaces
12%ST4: Enable the Next Generations of Science Discoveries
13%ST5: Enable Humans to Live and Explore in Space and on Planetary Surfaces 8%
ST6: Grow & Utilize the U.S. Industrial and Academic Base
Major FY17 Investments:
ST1: Satellite Servicing RESTORE-L, In-Space Robotic Manuf & Ass’y, Laser Comm Relay Demo, Small Spacecraft TechST2: Solar Electric Propulsion, Nuclear Thermal Propulsion, e-Cryo, Green Propellant Infusion MissionST3: Hypersonic Inflatable Aerodynamic Decelerator, Propulsive Descent Technology, MEDLI 2, Entry Systems ModelingST4: Deep Space Optical Comm, High Performance Spacecraft Computing, Coronagraph, Deep Space Atomic Clock ST5: Human Robotic Systems, Astrobee, Kilopower, Extreme Environment Solar Power, Next Generation Life SupportST6: Technology Transfer Program, Centennial Challenges, Regional Economic Development
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Outcome Recommendations (1 of 3)STMD develops technologies to enable the following outcomes:
2020s 2030s 2040s +
ST1Utilization
In-space autonomous manufacturing and assembly of complete systems demonstrated in Earth-Orbit
The economic value of the space sector grown by more than an order of magnitude
Reliable, large-scale refueling and maintenance services demonstrated in Low-Earth orbit.
Robust debris mitigation service sustained by the private space sector.
Robust in-space servicing sustained by the private space sector.
ST2Transport
Reduce the cost of access to space by factor of 5 while increasing the availability of launch.
On-demand small spacecraft launch capability
In space access cost, reliability, and yearly mass delivered to orbit improved by an order of magnitude
Seamless aerospace traffic system provided to manage a robust launch/entry transportation market.
The cost of transporting robotic systems in near-Earth and deep space reduced by a factor of 5.
The cost of transporting human systems in near-Earth and deep space reduced by a factor of 5.
Crew and cargo safely and rapidly delivered to and returned from another planet.
A propulsion technology that enables rapid interplanetary missions and relativistic intersteller flight is demonstrated in space.
Propulsion technology demonstrated to affordably deliver smallsats and cubesats to the inner planets and asteroid belt on demand.
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Outcome Recommendations (2 of 3)STMD develops technologies to enable the following outcomes:
2020s 2030s 2040s +
ST3EDL
Precisely deliver higher mass and volume science payloads to increasingly challenging sites of interest on Mars.
Precisely and affordably deliver commercial and scientific payloads to Lunar sites of interest.
A highly-reliable sample return delivered to Earth.
Deliver science payloads through the atmospheres of Outer planets.
Deliver surface or atmospheric science payloads to Venus.
Deliver science payloads to the surfaces of icy moons and ocean worlds.
Human-class payloads delivered precisely and safely to planetary destinations
Robotic payloads delivered precisely to previously-inaccessible planetary destinations
Human-class payloads delivered safely, routinely, and affordably to planetary surfaces
ST4Science
Existing remote sensing capabilities enhanced through advancement of cross-cutting technology
Expand the search for life by enabling exploration of extra-terrestrial oceans.
Enable the search for a second Earth through development of an order of magnitude larger-diameter space-based observatories (20-30m diameter).
Extend accurate Earth weather forecasting to 10 days.
Enable more information climate mitigation decisions by increasing real-time global climate data monitoring by 500%
Increase solar storm warning time to 5 days.
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Outcome Recommendations (3 of 3)STMD develops technologies to enable the following outcomes:
2020s 2030s 2040s +
ST5Live &
Explore
Humans kept safe and healthy in cis-lunar and deep space for durations of ~1 year
Humans kept safe and healthy on planetary surfaces for durations exceeding one year
Humans kept safe and healthy continuously in deep space and on planetary surfaces
Partially crew-tended space systems operations enabled in cis-lunar and deep-space
Crewed operations and science investigations performed up to 100 km from landing site on a planetary surface
Crewed operations performed at least 500 km from landing site on a planetary surface
ST6Industry
NASA technologies transferred to U.S. industry generates over $100B annually in commercial revenues and savings
NASA technologies transferred to U.S. industry generates over $100B annually in commercial revenues and savings
NASA technologies transferred to U.S. industry generates over $100B annually in commercial revenues and savings
Engagement with industry and academic partners increased to advance technologies to enable NASA goals
An entrepreneurial accelerator employed by NASA to more rapidly infuse technologies into NASA missions
Outcome Decomposition
Planned Framework
Mega-Drivers“Overarching Trend”
Strategic Thrusts
“Vision for Future”
Outcomes“Overarching,
Measurable Goals”
Technical Challenges“STMD Technical
Deliveries”
Outcomes Driving Need
Outcome Drivers and Barriers
Current Outcome Approach
Needs
Alternate Outcome Approach
Needs
Additional Outcome Approaches
Needs
Down-selected Outcome
Investment Areas
Technical Challenges
…
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Outcome Decomposition: Approaches
2030s Outcome:Precisely and safely deliver human-class
payloads to a planetary surface.
Driving Need: HEOMD is currently planning on crewed missions to the surface of Mars in the 2030s.
Outcome Drivers and Barriers: Under current plans, the most massive single-system delivered to the surface will be the ascent vehicle, driving the required lander payload capacity.
Outcome Approaches
N1: Current Outcome Approach:Reduce mass of ascent stage through surface ISRU propellant production,
resulting in required delivery capacity of ~20 t to within 50-m of existing
surface infrastructure.
N2: Alternative Outcome Approach:Reduce mass of ascent stage by only requiring
ascent to Low Mars Orbit and adding in-system taxi to in-space architecture. Shift to using
highly-reliable hypergolic engines instead of methane. Explored by EMC in 2016.
NX: Additional Outcome
Approaches:
• There will likely be multiple Approaches that could be used to address a given outcome. • Needs for each Approach will then be identified and assessed to support investment
decisions in the form of Technical Challenges.
…
…
.
.
.
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Outcome Decomposition: Needs Formulation
2030s Outcome:Human-class payloads delivered
precisely, reliably, and safely to Mars.
Outcome Strategies
N1: Current Outcome Approach:Reduce mass of ascent stage through surface ISRU propellant production,
resulting in required delivery capacity of ~20 t to within 50-m of existing
surface infrastructure.
N2: Alternative Outcome Approach:Reduce mass of ascent stage by only requiring
ascent to Low Mars Orbit and adding in-system taxi to in-space architecture. Shift to using
highly-reliable hypergolic engines instead of methane. Explored by EMC in 2016.
NX: Additional Outcome
Approaches:
N1: Current Outcome Approach Needs:Precision Landing: Ability to deliver payloads to Mars within [50 TBR] m of desired landing location to allow efficient base aggregation.EDL Capacity: Ability to safely deliver a [20 TBR] t system as a payload to the Mars surface in a single flight.Propellant Production: Produce, store, and transfer [30 TBR] t LO2 and [12 TBR] t CH4 on the Mars surface within a [2 TBR] year duration.Safety: Provide controlled, stable landing on local slopes of up to [15 TBR] degrees and avoid hazards greater than [TBD] m in size.ISRU Power: Provide [40 TBR] kW of sustained power for at least [2 TBR] years in order to support ISRU propellant generation and storage.
N2: Alternate Outcome Approach Needs:Need 1 …
Need 2 …
NX: …Needs:
• A subset of the Needs are likely common to multiple approaches, but will be assessed separately to develop Approach specific Technical Challenges.
• The Needs are used to develop the Technical Challenges, which are the implementation stage of the framework.
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Outcome Decomposition: Roadmaps
2030s Outcome:Precisely and safely deliver human-class
payloads to a planetary surface.
N1: Current Outcome Approach:Reduce mass of ascent stage through surface
ISRU propellant production, resulting in required delivery capacity of ~20 t to within
50-m of existing surface infrastructure.
N1: Current Approach Needs: Examples, list not inclusivePrecision Landing: Ability to deliver payloads to Mars within [50 TBR] m of desired landing location to allow efficient base aggregation.
EDL Capacity: Ability to safely deliver a [20 TBR] t system as a payload to the Mars surface in a single flight.
Propellant Production: Produce, store, and transfer [30 TBR] t LO2 and [12 TBR] t CH4 on the Mars surface within a [2 TBR] year duration.
Safety: Provide controlled, stable landing on local slopes of up to [15 TBR] degrees and avoid hazards greater than [TBD] m in size.
ISRU Power: Provide [40 TBR] kW of sustained power for at least [2 TBR] years in order to support ISRU propellant generation and storage.
For each Approach, roadmaps and systems analysis will be used to
define the TCs and guide the formulation of projects.
Roadmap:
Example ARMD Roadmap*Content is Notional
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Technical Challenge Development
2030s Outcome:Human-class payloads delivered precisely, reliably,
and safely to planetary destinations.
Needs will be used in a variety of ways to develop the Technical Challenges.
Needs Option 1: Need is Technical ChallengePrecision Landing: Ability to deliver payloads to Mars within [50 TBR] m of desired landing location to allow efficient base aggregation.
Precision Landing: Ability to deliver payloads to Mars within [50 TBR] m of desired landing location to allow efficient base aggregation.
Option 2: Need is Key Component of the TCPropellant Production: Produce, store, and transfer [30 TBR] t LO2 and [12 TBR] t CH4 on the Mars surface within a [2 TBR] year duration.
Demonstration: Produce and store 500 kg of LO2 and 500 kg of CH4 on the Mars surface within 3 months.
Option 3: Need Decomposed into Multiple TCs
Safety: Provide controlled, stable landing on local slopes of up to [15 TBR] degrees and avoid hazards greater than [TBD] m in size.
Sensor Development: Demonstrate an active visual sensor capable of mapping surface characteristics from an altitude of XX m with a resolution of XX cm.Algorithm Development: Demonstrate a visual recognition software that can correctly identify 99% of hazards within XX seconds. *Content is Notional
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Technical Challenge Implementation
MegaDrivers
Increasing Access
Accelerating Pace of
Discovery
Democratization of Space
Growing Utilization of
Space
Strategic Thrusts
ST 1Expand Utilization
of Space
ST 2Enable Efficient and Safe Transportation
Into and Through Space
ST 3Increase Access to Planetary Surfaces
ST 4Enable the Next
Generations Science
Discoveries
ST 5Enable Humans to Live and Explore in
Space and on Planetary Surfaces
ST 6Grow & Utilize the U.S. Industrial and
Academic Base
Outcomes OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC OC
Technical Challenges TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC TC
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
Proj
ect
TC STMD Lead
STMD Partner
STMD Follow/Watch
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Technical Challenge Development: Lead, Partner, Follow
2030s Outcome:Precisely and safely deliver human-class
payloads to a planetary surface.
TC
TCTC TC
TC
In performing the Outcome decomposition, some of the work necessary to accomplish the Outcome may be the responsibility of the broader community.
It is important to understand and track the progress of those items.
SpringIntegration
Mar2019
Nov2018
July2018
Mar2018
Nov2017
SpringIntegration
Mega-Drivers
Formulation
Validation
Planning
Outcomes
Path ForwardWe are here
Technical Challenges
Strategic Implementation Plan
StrategyRoll-out
2018 Strategy Roll-out
2018 Spring Integration
2019 Spring Integration
Decision Support Tool Development
Mar2019
Nov2018
July2018
Mar2018
Nov2017
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Backup
Near Term Schedule
• Dec 5: NAC TI&E Committee Meeting• Dec 1-22: Individual STT Outcome Formulation Meetings• Jan 8-12: AIAA SciTech Forum and Exposition• Mar 5-9: STMD Spring Integration Panel
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Customer Interaction Mechanisms
• Leadership Interactions• NAC Technology, Innovation and Engineering (TI&E) Committee • NRC Space Technology Industry-Government-University Roundtable
(STIGUR)• Mission Directorate, AA-levels• Mission Directorate POCs (e.g. Chris Moore, Mike Seablom)• Industry & Academia Discussions
• Staff Interactions• PT with Mission Directorate, private industry, and academic
counterparts/customers on individual basis• PT Workshops• OCT-led NTEC• Various space reports (e.g. Space Foundation Report, Commercial Space
Years in Review, IDA STPI Global Trends in Space, etc.)• Conference and journal publications
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