Post on 24-Dec-2015
Status of the Wine industrySouth Africa
OIVMarch 2013
Yvette van der Merwe
2002 2007 2011
1-100 ton 2173 1717 1461
101-500 ton 1545 1475 1273
501-1000 ton 404 482 457
>1001 ton 224 325 336
250 750
1 2501 7502 2502 7503 2503 7504 2504 750
50%43% 41%
36%
37%36%
9%
12%13%
5%8%
10%
1-100 ton 101-500 ton 501-1000 ton >1001 ton
4 3463 999
3 527
NUMBER OF WINE GRAPE PRODUCERS“20% of producers produces 70%+ of the crop”
WINE CELLARS”10% – 15% of cellars crush 70% - 80% of crop”
2002 2007 2011
0-100 ton 171 263 258
100-500 ton 111 139 158
501-1000 ton 38 41 55
1001-5000 ton 56 62 58
5001-10000 ton 24 14 15
>10000 ton 28 41 38
50
150
250
350
450
550
650
40%47% 44%
26%
25% 27%9%
7% 9%
13%
11% 10%
6%
3% 3%
7%
7% 7%
0-100 ton 100-500 ton 501-1000 ton 1001-5000 ton 5001-10000 ton >10000 ton
428
560582
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
40.6 43.7 45.3 46.0 45.7 44.9 44.2 43.9 43.8 44.0 44.4
59.4 56.2 54.6 54.0 54.3 55.1 55.8 56.1 56.2 56.0 55.6
Red White Total
TOTAL SURFACE PLANTED TO WINE GRAPE VINEYARDS (excluding Sultana)
% of total
94 412 102 146
Total
100 568
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
5 662
6 241 5 887
4 895
4 032
3 535
2 886 2 839 2 800 2 417
4 661
3 828 4 095 4 062
3 942 4 114 4 070 3 663
3 958 3 722
Total plantings Total uprootings Capital maintenance
NEW PLANTINGS AND UPROOTINGS
Hectares
Cabernet Sauvignon
Cinsaut Merlot Pinot Noir Pinotage Ruby Cabernet
Shiraz0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
AREA – MOST PLANTED RED VARIETIES (2001 - 2011)
Colombar Semillon Muscat d'Alexandrie
Sauvignon blanc
Chenin blanc Chardonnay Viognier0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
AREA – MOST PLANTED WHITE VARIETIES (2001 - 2011)
WINE GRAPE HARVEST & AREA
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
0
200 000
400 000
600 000
800 000
1 000 000
1 200 000
1 400 000
1 600 000
Area under vines Production
hectares tons
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
*
2013
*0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
65 71 68 75 69 69 70 70 7078 79 82 78 78
31 3
58 9 8 10 8
7 4 3 6 416
15 1513
14 14 15 14 1512 12 11 13 1317 13 14 7 9 7 7 6 7 3 5 4 3 5
Wine Wine for brandy Distilling wine Grape juice and concentrate
UTILISATION OF THE CROP
* Estimate/Forecast
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012*
2013*
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
Stock Production Sales
Pro
du
cti
on
an
d s
ale
s
Sto
ck
31
/12
WINE – PRODUCTION, SALES AND STOCK
* Estimate/Forecast
million litres
200
250
300
350
400
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Natural wine Fortified wine Sparkling wine
Na
tura
l
Fo
rtif
ied
an
d S
pa
rkli
ng
DOMESTIC SALES OF WINE
million litres
SALES OF NATURAL WINE - HP, MP AND SP
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
32 33 34 35 36 36 38 38 40 41 43 45 48 49 48 48 51 52
86 89 89 87 87 86 86 8482 80 79 79 81 82 85 87 89 95
193 206 199 188 194 208 214 215 174 178 172 172 183 181 163 170 171 173
HP MP SP* 2012 - Estimate
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Glass Plastic Bag-in-box Foil Tetra
DOMESTIC SALES – PACKAGING TYPE
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Brandy WhiskyWhite spirits Rum and liqueurs
DOMESTIC SALES OF SPIRITS
million litres
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 20120
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
0.00
50.00
100.00
150.00
200.00
250.00
300.00
350.00
400.00
450.00
White-packaged White-bulk Red-packagedRed-bulk Rosé Total
Pac
kag
ed a
nd
bu
lk
To
tal e
xpo
rts
EXPORTS OF NATURAL WINE
million litres
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
35 38
45 39 40
49
61
65 62 55 61 60
51 39
BULK PACKAGED TOTAL
million litres
VOLUME OF NATURAL WINE EXPORTED
TOP TEN PACKAGED (incl > 2l) MARKETS
2007 Rank 2012% of total
Rank
UK 34.5 1 18.7 1
SWEDEN 13.6 2 13.7 2
GERMANY 8.0 4 10.0 3
NETHERLANDS 9.8 3 9.6 4
USA 5.0 6 5.8 5
CANADA 3.8 7 4.9 6
DENMARK 5.2 5 3.9 7
FINLAND 1.8 10 3.3 8
CHINA 0.4 21 3.3 9
BELGIUM 2.6 8 2.8 10
% of top ten 86.8 76.0
AFRICA * ±2.5 6.5
* Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania, Angola, Zimbabwe
TOP TEN BULK MARKETS
2007 Rank 2012% of total
Rank
GERMANY 37.2 1 24.7 1
UK 17.8 2 24.6 2
RUSSIA 0.8 13 12.1 3
USA 0.9 11 5.6 4
CANADA 5.2 5
FRANCE 3.0 9 4.6 6
SWEDEN 4.9 6 4.4 7
DENMARK 5.4 5 3.8 8
NETHERLANDS 8.7 3 2.8 9
ITALY 4.0 8 2.4 10
% of top ten 94.6 90.3
BULK WINE PRICES (c/litre)Increase of 27% since 2007
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012100
200
300
400
500
600
700
215 212229
299
378354 338 338 335 341
384413 425 438
568604 608
625643
547
440406
374 387
459
503534
558
164 146 156
216
292 288 298 311 314 315345
365 372 383
All Red White
WINE SUPPLY AND DEMAND
2011 2012 (e) 2013 (f) % +-
Grape harvest (ton) 1 302 530 1 395 158 1 381 248 -1.0
Total wine production (m ) 1012.8 1 083.5 1 067.9 -1.4
Wine 831.2 843.8 834.9 -1.1
Wine for brandy 34.2 62.4 43.0 -31.1
Non alcoholic 40.2 39.9 53.3 +33.7
Distilling wine 107.2 137.4 136.7 -0.5
Wine sales (m ) 742.5 819.3 842.8 +2.9
Wine stock (m ) – 31/12 417.5 419.2 388.1 -7.4
Imports of concentrate for sweetening purposes (m )
15.4 17.2 10.1
Imports of raw wine spirits (LAA) 5.8 2.26 1.92
QUESTIONS ?
www.sawis.co.za