Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)

Post on 13-Jul-2015

58 views 0 download

Tags:

Transcript of Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)

1

Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)

Simulates the dominant processes involved in wetland conversions during long term

sea level rise

Applied and improved since 1985

Used throughout the world

http://www.warrenpinnacle.com/prof/SLAMM/

2

Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)

Distance Inland

Ele

vatio

n

Tidal Flat Saltmarsh Scrub-Shrub or Brackish

Tidal Fresh and Dry Land MLW

MTL

MHW

Salt Boundary

3

Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)

Distance Inland

Ele

vatio

n

Tidal Flat Saltmarsh Scrub-Shrub or Brackish

Tidal Fresh and Dry Land

MLW

MTL

MHW

Salt Boundary

Water

4

Model Parameters

Accretion = 3.8 mm/yr • Observations from NBNERR

(Raposa) • Consistent with Median Value

from Literature

105 Sub-Sites • Historic SLR Trend to estimate

subsidence/lift • Direction offshore • Erosion/sedimentation • Storm Frequency • Tidal Data

• Range • Datum Adjustment

5

Model Limitations

Uncertainty in Sea Level Rise Projections Ground Conditions

• Some uplands may be more suitable than others • Multiple stressors on salt marshes • Freshwater wetlands may convert to open water

Model Simplifications

• Accretion rates are variable • Salinity dynamics are simplified

Changing Coastline

• Storm events • Barrier migration

6

Model Input: LiDAR 2011

7

Model Input: NWI 2010

8

Model Results

9

Model Results

10

Model Results

11

Model Results

12

Model Results

13

Model Results

14

Model Results

15

Model Results

16

Model Results

17

Model Results

18

Model Results

19

Model Results

20

Model Results

21

Model Results

22

Model Results

23

Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM)

Simulates the dominant processes involved in wetland conversions during long term

sea level rise

Applied and improved since 1985

Used throughout the world

http://www.warrenpinnacle.com/prof/SLAMM/