REPORT National Senior Certificate

Examination Results 2009

Presentation by Nkosinathi Sishi –Chief Director: National Examinations and Assessmentto the ANC STUDY GROUP on Basic Education, Parliament, Republic of South Africa

Enhancing a world-class national examination and assessment system for the 21 st century

Report 2009

1. Examinations in South Africa-Origin and Context2. Magnitude and Size3. Marking4. SBA5. Support Programmes6. Analysis7. National Stats (Overall and per Subject)8. Provincial Stats9. District Stats10. Subject Statistics Annexure: A Provincial Results Annexure: B District Performance Annexure: C Subjects per province Annexure: D List of schools divided into percentage intervals Annexure: E List of Schools in Quintile 1 Annexure: E2 List of Schools in Quintile 5

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Timelines

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1. 2nd NSC Examination completed on 4 December 20092. Marking completed on 21 December 20093. Mark capture completed by 22 December 20094. Standardisation process 28 - 30 December 20095. Umalusi statement on results 4 January 20106. Results to schools on 7 January 20107. Results to media and public on 7 January 2010

Standardisation of Results

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1. 57 subjects were presented to Umalusi for standardisation

2. 41 Subjects were accepted as raw scores

3. 6 subjects were adjusted downwards

4. 10 subjects were adjusted upwards

5. In all cases presented no adjustments exceeded the 10% allowed either upwards or downwards

6. In the case of Mathematics: In 2008 298 821 took Mathematics. 136 503 passed and of these 63 038 passed at 50% desired for entry into most science and engineering HE fields. There was an outcry that P1 and p2 were too easy. Umalusi indicated that discrimination at the upper levels should be greater. In 2009 national examiners moved in that direction while strategically within the subject assessment guidelines laid down by the Department of Basic Education.

7. In 2009 296 165 wrote Mathematics, 133 789 passed, 85 491 passed on 40% and above and 52 866 passed on 50% and above.

Magnitude and SizeNational Examination System: 1 229 937

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Schools:1. Enrolments: Increased-biggest in history2. National: 620 192 (includes 39 255 repeater candidates)3. EC-15.6 % increase4. GP-4.3% increase5. LP-10.7 % increase6. WC-6.3% increase Colleges1. National: 520 2352. 122 921 NC (V)3. 213 900 Engineering4. 183 414 General Studies

ABETNational: 89 510

Magnitude and Size

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1. Examination Centres: 7 2 54 NSC2. Marking Centres: 1143. Markers: 35 0004. Chief markers: 8285. National examiners: 92 6. External moderators: 927. Question papers: 197 (130 National Question papers and 67 foreign languages)8. QP adapted for Braille: 579. 48 QP adapted for deaf learners10. All QP, excluding English and African languages, prepared in English and Afrikaans11. Subjects Entries: 4 014 732 12. Moderation of SBA: A minimum of 10% portfolios moderated per subject per school

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  2008   2009  

ProvinceTotal wrote

Total Achieved Total wrote

Total Achieved

EC 60294 30496 68129 34731

FS 29963 21503 29808 20680

GP 92723 70822 98659 70871

KZN 136743 78747 132176 80733

LP 84614 45958 83350 40776

MP 42153 21815 53978 25854

NW 33157 22554 30665 20700

NC 9948 7230 10377 6356

WC 43966 34479 44931 34017

National 533561 333604 552073 334718

Numbers Wrote/Passed Per Province

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0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

35.0%

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

28.6%

26.5%

25.6%

25.5%

24.2%

24.4%

24.5%

25.4%

25.7%

24.9%

24.4%

23.2%

31.2%

32.7%

Endorsement % based on numbers Passed

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Significant Gains

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1. 18 512 more candidates wrote the 2009 NSC examination.2. 39 255 Candidates offered a second opportunity.3. The quality of performances is starting to show - 40% pass and above.4. Increased numbers qualifying for HE bachelor entries5. 2 423 More candidates allowed admission to Bachelor studies.6. 32% of candidates passing in 2009 obtained HE Bachelor qualification7. 6 777 More candidates allowed admission to diploma studies.8. Gap between Female & Male is closing (178 925 – Female: 155 791 Male)9. Bachelor passes higher than historical trends e.g. 61 147 female and 48

550 male qualified for bachelor studies )10. Two rural provinces with greater share of poverty showing an upward

trend in performance (EC & KZN)

External Quality Assurance

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1. Umalusi approved the release of the 2009 NSC results for 8 provinces, excluding Mpumalanga

2. Mpumalanga results released on 6 January 2010. After further investigation into alleged leakage of national question papers prior to the start of the examinations

SUBJECT RESULTS

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1999-2004

Priorities 1999-20041. Co-operative governance

2. Improving illiteracy amongst youth and adults

3. Schools as centres of community life

4. End degradation in South African Schools

5. Develop the professional quality of the teaching force

6. Ensure the success of active learning

7. Equip youth to and adults to meet the social and economic needs of the 21st century

8. Develop a rational, seamless Higher Education

9. Life skills

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Making Schools work(COLT)1999-2004

1. School effectiveness project-classroom management, school development plans, and time on task

2. National policy on school evaluation3. Education Action Zones (EAZ) to enhance COLT-Deploying transversal teams to schools to

provide learner/teacher support4. Leadership, Management and governance development5. Partnerships-CBOs and NGOs6. Whole School Development-School Transformation Model7. Conditional Grants8. Special Attention to dysfunctional schools-National Forum for Learner Performance, National

Strategy for Learner Attainment, QUIDS UP.9. National Literacy Campaign10. South African National Literacy Initiative (SANLI)

Improvement of Learner Attainment

1. Advanced certificate in Education-150 teachers per province graduating since 2003

2. National Strategy for Mathematics, Science and Technology-25 June 2001

3. National literacy and Numeracy Strategy-20034. Dinaledi schools-2001-20095. National Forum for Learner Performance 1999-20046. National Strategy for Learner Attainment

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Leaner Retention in the South African Education System (May 2008)

1. Drop out rate below grade 9 is statistically insignificant2. Drop out rate increases sharply in Grades 10-12 (Report disputes SAHRC and

Mail and Guardian version)3. No evidence of anomalies between Grades 1 and 2 (High repetition of Grade 1

cited)4. Retention is improving, so are the levels of education attainment5. Younger age groups have a better chance of progressing to secondary school

than older age groups6. South Africa compares favorably to other developing countries on progression

rates, enrolment rates and levels of educational attainment7. Survival rate estimates indicates improving trends in general education: This

means younger age groups have a better chance of ultimately completing compulsory education than older age groups

Learner Retention in the South African Education SystemMay 2008

GET Group Birth Rates Age in 2007 % ultimately completing Grade 9

1. 1970-74 33-37 71.6

2. 1975-79 28-32 78.8

3. 1980-84 23-27 81.1

4. 1985-89 18-22 86.2

5. 1990-94 13-17 Too soon to tell

Leaner Retention in the South African Education System (May 2008)

FET Group Birth dates Age in 2007 Level Percentage with Grade 9 reaching level

Grade 10 89.0

1. 1970-74 33-37 Grade 11 75.0

Grade 12 59.7

Grade 10 89.5

2. 1975-79 28-32 Grade 11 75.6

Grade 12 57.5

Grade 10 89.2

3. 1980-84 23-27 Grade 11 74.9

Grade 12 56.7

4. 1984-89 18-22 Too early to tell