Post on 26-Jun-2020
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11 April 2017
QR DeCode
Playmates Toys – A new generation
Playmates Toys, the global master toy partner for four famous
animations which include Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (TMNT) and
Voltron, is expected to witness a new up cycle as soon as 2018. Three
brand new toy lines are coming out successively in 2017, and with the
new generation of Ninja Turtle expected to be launched in Fall 2018,
the company might be able to repeat its glorious history again.
Promising toy pipeline – Playmates is principally engaged in the design,
development, marketing and distribution of toys and made making its name
with the TMNT series since 2012. The company is expecting to launch a
new generation of TMNT toys to tie in with the brand new TV series of
TMNT in Fall 2018. Besides, an initial success has been scored with
Voltron, a highly rated animation developed by DreamWorks and is currently
showing on Netflix. Playmates is also the global master toy partner of two
new cartoons, namely Ben 10 and Mysticons, and the toys for both
animation are expected to be launched in 2H17.
Healthy financial position with stable dividend payment – As at the end
of 2016, the company had net cash of about HKD1bn, equivalent to
HKD0.826/share or about 58.6% of the current share price. The
management believes that the company’s sound financial position would
help it to obtain new toy license IPs in the future. Since 2H13, the company
has maintained a basic dividend payment of 5 HK cents every six months,
while a special dividend of 10 and 5 HK cents were declared in FY13 and
14 respectively due to the outstanding performances in those years. Given
its ample cash reserve, it is expected to maintain stable dividend payments
in the near future.
Limited downside risk – We attribute the strong support in share price of
Playmates to its dividend yield which currently stands at about 7.1%.
Furthermore, the company has bought back shares from the market in Nov
2016 at a price range of HK$1.18-1.20 and another round at a price range
of HK$1.38-1.43 in Jan 2017. We consider these are strong signals from
the management that the current price level is under-rated by the market.
As such, we believe that the expected yield, share repurchase, as well as
the cash backing combine for decent downside protection at the current
price level.
Share Information
Stock Code 869 HK
Quam’s Rating Not Rated
Last Closing (HK$) HK$1.41
52-week range (HK$) 1.15 – 2.15
3-mth ADT (HK$’mn) 5
Market Cap. (HK$’mn) 1,706
Shares outstanding (‘mn) 1,210
Free float 48.8%
SH-HK Stock Connect No
SZ-HK Stock Connect No
Substantial Shareholders
Chan Chun Hoo, Thomas 49.49%
FIL Limited 6.41%
Share Price Performance
Source: Bloomberg
Key Financials – FY DEC
HKD’mn FY14 FY15 FY16
Revenue 2,160 1,551 993
EBITDA 652 401 na
Net profit 491 276 110
EPS (HKD) 0.414 0.228 0.091
Growth na (0.449) (0.602)
DPS (HKD) 0.100 0.100 0.100
BVPS (HKD) 0.859 0.937 0.931
PER (x) 4.2 8.6 15.7
PBR (x) 2.0 2.1 1.5
EV/EBITDA (x) 2.0 3.7 na
Dividend Yield (%) 5.7 5.1 7.0
Source: Bloomberg
Poon Tsz Wang
: +852 2971 5432
: edwin.poon@quamgroup.com
Playmates Toys (869 HK) 2
Comprehensive product portfolio Currently, Playmates is the global master toy partner of four cartoons, namely Voltron, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (TMNT), Ben 10 and Mysticons. Previously, the company had mainly targeted 3-6 year-old boys as it only produced TMNT toys. With the addition of a brand new product, Voltron, the potential customers of the company is likely to be extended to boys below the age of 12. In addition, Playmates intends to use the Mysticons toys to break into the girls’ market. Voltron Figure 1: Voltron
Source: IMDb, Playmates Toys, Amazon.com
With the launch of the new DreamWorks animated series Voltron: Legendary Defender as a Netflix Original Series in Jun 2016, the global master toy licensee, Playmates, has launched a brand new line of Voltron toys in 1H17. The retail price of these robot lions are selling for between US$10 and US$50 for different sizes and materials. Players could forge those 5 lions into a large human-type robot. Thus the actual spending per player is expected to be more than US$50 on this product in order to complete the transformation. Furthermore, Netflix had released Season 2 in Jan 2017 after receiving positive response from viewers in Season 1. Currently, Voltron is rated at 100% tomato with 93% likes at Rotten Tomatoes. We have looked up the Voltron toys on some famous toy retailers online, and there are only a few left on Amazon, while all of the them are out of stock in Toys ’R’ us. It seems that Playmates is benefiting from the huge popularity of Voltron. It is our understanding that a feature film version of Voltron is likely to be made as soon as 2018. Figure 2: Voltron’s rating on Rotten Tomatoes
Screen captured on 3 Apr 2017
Source: Rotten Tomatoes
Playmates Toys (869 HK) 3
Figure 3: Voltron toys on online stores
Screens captured on 3 Apr 201
Source: Toys"R"Us, Amazon.com
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (TMNT)
Figure 4: TMNT
Source: IMDb, Playmates Toys
The current generation of TMNT TV series on Nickelodeon started back in Sep, 2012. Two feature films were made in Aug 2014 and Jun 2016. As Playmates had been selling only TMNT toys in the past few years, its revenue was highly driven by the popularity of TMNT. However, as these toys target 3-6 years old boys, the lifecycle of a generation of TMNT is estimated to be around 5 years. Figure 5: Playmates’ half-yearly revenue between 2012 and 2016
Source: Company Data, Quam Securities
Going forward, Nickelodeon will re-imagine the TMNT franchise in an all-new animated series, Rise of the TMNT. The new series is expected to be launched in Fall 2018, while Nickelodeon will take the characters in a different direction, with more humor, a younger and lighter feel and
Playmates Toys (869 HK) 4
all-new dimensions to explore. Playmates is now developing a whole new line of TMNT products to be introduced in tandem with the new TV series. In preparation of the new generation of TMNT toys in 2018, the management hopes to sell out all the older generation TMNT toys within 2017 in order to give a fresh image of the new generation to its customers. As a result, the sales of its TMNT toys are likely to be lower in FY17 compare to FY16.
Ben 10 & Mysticons
Figure 6: Ben 10 & Mysticons
Source: IMDb
Playmates Toys is also the global master toy partner for Cartoon Network’s re-launch of Ben 10. The new series will introduce a new generation of fans to the story of Ben, a 10 year old kid who can transform into 10 alien heroes with a mysterious watch. The new Ben 10 animated TV series has already been on-air in selected markets since Oct 2016 and will premiere across North America in Apr 2017. Playmates’ Ben 10 toy line is expected to reach the market in 2H17. To further strengthened its product portfolio, Playmates has secured the global master license for Mysticons, a brand new animated action TV series targeting the girls’ market. The IP is developed by Nelvana Studio, in partnership with Nickelodeon and The Topps Company. Mysticons, which tells the epic tale of four girls who transform into legendary warriors, will debut globally in 2017. Products from Playmates are also expected to be in stores as soon as 2H17.
Playmates Toys (869 HK) 5
Valuation Taking into consideration its product range, we have selected some toy developers listed in Hong Kong for comparison purpose. Figure 4 shows that Playmates Toys has the highest dividend yield compared to its peers, while having a very competitive gross profit margin. Figure 7: Peers comparison
Source: Bloomberg, Quam Securities
Risk factors
New toys or existing toys might not be popular in the future, which would adversely affect
the profitability of the company;
The company could be adversely affected by any unauthorised copying or imitation of its products;
The company might reduce the dividend payment in the future.
Company overview
Figure 8: Shareholding Structure
As of 29 Mar 2017
Source: Company data, HKEX, Quam Securities
Hist Current Next P/B T/O
Net
Profit ROE ROA
Company Name Ticker (HK$) (HK$'bn) (x) (x) (x) (x) (%) ('mn) ('mn) (x) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Currency
PLAYMATES TOY 869 HK 1.41 1.71 15.5 N/A N/A 1.46 7.1 993 110 2.2 61.6 11.1 -60.2 19.4 22.7 HKD
Toy company
SOUTH CHINA HOLD 413 HK 0.35 4.63 25.3 N/A N/A 0.50 0.0 3,731 152 52.1 14.8 4.1 (21.3) -3.4 0.3 HKD
DREAM INTL LTD 1126 HK 2.90 1.96 6.6 11.6 10.7 1.76 0.3 2,151 296 2.5 23.5 13.7 96.0 18.1 17.9 HKD
KADER HLDGS CO 180 HK 0.74 0.70 5.7 N/A N/A 0.41 4.1 754 123 4.6 N/A 16.3 (1.1) 7.0 7.2 HKD
CMON LTD 8278 HK 0.24 0.43 43.4 N/A N/A N/A N/A 21 1 N/A 51.3 4.9 N/A 31.3 19.4 USD
Simple average 20.3 11.6 10.7 0.89 1.5 29.9 9.7 24.5
Last Price
Trailing 12 mthP/E EPS
Growth
EV /
EBITDA GPM
Net
Margin
Div
Yield
Market
Cap
53.20%
49.49% 6.41% 44.10%
Stock code: 869 HK
Chan Chun Hoo, Thomas
Playmates Holdings (635 HK) FIL Limited Public
Playmates Toys (869 HK) 6
Appendix: Financial Statements & Ratios Income Statement (HKD mn) 2014 2015 2016
Revenue 2,160 1,551 993
Cost of goods sold (824) (595) (397)
Gross profit 1,336 956 596
Other income and gains, net 3 0 0
Selling and distribution expenses (529) (415) (289)
Administration expenses (159) (144) (132)
Other operating expenses (0) 3 0
Operating profit 651 399 175
Finance costs 0 0 (5)
Other gains/ (expenses) (15) (9) 6
Profit before tax 636 390 176
Income tax expense (145) (113) (66)
Profit after tax 491 276 110
Attributable profit to shareholders 491 276 110
Minority interest na na na
Key Ratios 2014 2015 2016
Debt to equity (%) 0.0 0.0 0.0
Net debt to equity (%) (75.8) (80.1) (91.5)
SG&A to revenue (%) 31.9 36.1 42.3
Current ratio (x) 3.44 5.32 6.55
Quick ratio (x) 3.28 4.84 6.15
Interest coverage (x) na na na
Days inventory (days) 18 22 8
Days receivable (days) 80 99 89
Days payable (days) 30 40 12
Cash conversion cycle (days) 67 81 85
Ratio Analysis 2014 2015 2016
Growth (YoY%)
Revenue 30.2 (28.2) (36.0)
EBITDA 19.1 (38.5) na
Net profit (8.0) (43.7) (60.1)
Diluted EPS (8.8) (44.5) (60.1)
Margins (%)
Gross profit margin 61.9 61.6 60.0
EBIT margin 30.2 25.8 na
Net profit margin 22.7 17.8 11.1
Other ratios (%)
Return on average assets 39.5 19.6 na
Return on average equity 54.9 25.5 na
Dividend payout ratio 36.9 43.8 110.0
Balance Sheet (HKD mn) 2014 2015 2016
Non-current assets
PPE 4 6 5
Intangible assets 0 0 0
LT investments & receivables 0 0 0
Others 54 40 34
Total non-current assets 58 46 39
Current assets
Inventories 44 28 15
Account receivables 530 311 175
Others 20 122 87
Bank balances and cash 786 877 1,007
Total current assets 1,379 1,339 1,283
Total assets 1,437 1,385 1,322
Current liabilities
Account payables 78 49 16
ST borrowings 0 0 0
Others 323 203 180
Total current liabilities 401 252 196
Non-current liabilities
LT borrowings 0 0 0
Other non-current liabilities 0 0 0
Total non-current liabilities 0 0 0
Total liabilities 401 252 196
Shareholders’ equity
Share capital 20 23 12
Reserves 1,016 1,111 1,114
Total shareholders’ equity 1,036 1,134 1,126
Minority interest 0 0 0
Total equity 1,036 1,134 1,126
Net Cash / (Debt) 786 909 1,030
Cash Flow Statement (HKD'mn) 2014 2015 2016
Operating cash in/(out) flow 494 308 na
Investing cash in/(out) flow (4) (34) na
Financing cash in/(out) flow (223) (182) na
Net change in cash 266 92 129
Per Share (HKD) 2014 2015 2016
EPS 0.414 0.228 0.091
Diluted EPS 0.408 0.226 0.090
DPS 0.100 0.100 0.100
BVPS 0.859 0.937 0.931
Source: Bloomberg
Playmates Toys (869 HK) 7
Disclaimer and Risk Statement This document is published by Quam Securities Company Limited ("Quam Securities"), a licensed corporation (CE number AAC577) regulated by the Securities and Futures Commission in Hong Kong. Quam Securities is an affiliate of Quam Limited (0952.hk) and its group of companies (collectively "Quam Group"). This document is not intended for distribution to or use by, any person or entity who is a citizen or resident of any jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to applicable law or regulation within such jurisdiction. In particular but without limitation, neither this document nor any copy hereof may be taken or transmitted into Japan, Canada or the United States or distributed, directly or indirectly, into the United States or to any U.S person (within the meaning of Regulation S under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933) or general public located in Mainland China (but not including people in Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan). This document is circulated to addresses solely and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person or published, in whole or in part, for any purpose. This document does not constitute an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. Any recommendation does not have regard to specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific addressee. Quam Securities accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this document. The opinions and/or recommendations of this document do not take into account the recipients' own investment objectives, investment experience, financial situation and other personal circumstances. The recipients of this document shall be solely responsible for making their own independent investigation of the business, financial condition and prospects of companies referred to in this document. The research is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but Quam Securities does not make any representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness. This document is for informational purpose only and should not be treated as a recommendation on any particular securities, financial instrument, investment portfolio or trading strategy. Opinions and/or recommendations expressed in this document are subject to change without prior notice to all recipients. The prices of securities may move up or down, and past performance is not an indication of future performance. Investors shal l consider seeking separate legal or financial advice before making investment decisions. The following analyst hereby certify that their views about the issuer and its securities discussed in this report are accurately expressed and that they have not received and will not receive direct or indirect compensation in exchange for expressing specific recommendations or views in this report: Tsz Wang POON (CE No. BIB419) and their associates declare that as of the date of the publication of this report, they do not hold any financial interest in the company.