PREDICTIVE MODELING

• EFFECTS• HAZARDS• RISKS• DAMAGES

(LOSSES)• MITIGATION

EXAMPLES

• WEATHER FORECASTS

• SLOSH• HURREVAC• HAZUS

WEATHER FORECASTS

SLOSH

• MODELS STORM SURGE

• TAILORED TO INDIVIDUAL BASINS

SLOSH • MEOWS• MOMS• NOT REAL TIME

YET

HURREVAC

• FORECAST TRACKING

• STORM SURGE• WIND FIELDS• EVACUATION

TIMING

HURREVAC

• FORECAST TRACKING

HURREVAC

• STORM SURGE

HURREVAC

• WIND FIELDS

HURREVAC

• EVACUATION TIMING

HAZUS

• ADVANCED GIS BASED LOSS ESTIMATION MODEL

• CURRENTLY AVAILABLE FOR EARTHQUAKES, WIND, AND RIVERINE FLOODING