Post on 21-Feb-2021
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)20080726
Population and Development
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Human Development Trends 2005
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
State ofWorldPopulation2007
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Population• a count of the number of residents within a political
or geographical boundary such as a town, a nationor the world
• (collective) the people living within a political orgeographical boundary
Source: http://en.wiktionary.org
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Development• The process of developing; growth
• Something which has developed
Source: http://en.wiktionary.org
• The application of new ideas to practical problems
• The active placement of the pieces, or the process ofachieving it
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDWhat is development?
EconomicDevelopment
Economic and SocialDevelopment Sustainable
Development
Economic, Social, andEnvironment Development Human Resource
Development
?Normative Concept
Development
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
What isthe developmentin your definition?
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Better quality of life
Human context
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
International Development
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Under developed countriesDeveloped countriesDeveloping countriesLess developed countriesMore developed countriesLeast developed countries
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDThe origins of era of development
3. the start of the Cold War and the desire of US. And its allies
to prevent the Third World from drifting towards communism.
Source: Wikepredia
1. the need for reconstruction in after World War II
2. the evolution of colonialism or colonization into globalization
and the establishment of new free trade policies between
so-called ‘developed’ and ‘underdeveloped’ nations.
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDInternational Development
1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 20000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 78 9
World War II
The United Nations
World Bank
International Monetary Fund
UNICEF
World Health Organization
Modernization Theory
United Nations Development Programme
United Nations Population Fund
Dependency Theory
Structural Adjustment Programs
UNAIDS
Human Development Report
The Global Fund
Millennium Development Goals
UN: Universal Declaration of Human Rights
Marshall Plan
UNESCO
UNIDO
UNODC
UNECAF UNESCAP
FAO
The World Population Conference
Second World Population Plan ofAction Mexico City
UNFPA: Integrate population policy andeconomic and social policies
Friends of the Earth
USAID
The International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center
UN: Decade of Development
Greenpeace
UNEP
Ban the products of GMOs
The World System
Sustainable Development
The World Summit onSustainable Development
Baby Boom in USA. Generation X Generation Y
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDThe Human Development Index: HDI
Source: www.answers.com
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDThe Human Development Index: HDI
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
HumanDevelopmentIndexTrends
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
TheMillenniumDevelopmentGoals United Nation
20072007
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
2007The Millennium Development GoalsThe Millennium Development Goals
Goal 1 Eradicate extreme poverty & hungerGoal 2 Achieve universal primary educationGoal 3 Promote gender equality and empower womenGoal 4 Reduce child mortalityGoal 5 Improve maternal healthGoal 6 Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria & other diseasesGoal 7 Ensure environmental sustainabilityGoal 8 Develop a global partnership for development
United Nation
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDเป้าหมายการพฒันาแห่งสหสัวรรษของประเทศไทย (MDGs)
• เป้าหมายหลกัที 1 ขจดัความยากจนและความหิวโหย• เป้าหมายหลกัที 2 ใหเ้ดก็ทุกคนไดรั้บการศึกษาระดบัประถมศึกษา• เป้าหมายหลกัที 3 ส่งเสริมความเท่าเทียมกนัทางเพศและส่งเสริมบทบาทสตรี• เป้าหมายหลกัที 4 ลดอตัราเดก็ตาย• เป้าหมายหลกัที 5 พฒันาสุขภาพของสตรีมีครรภ์• เป้าหมายหลกัที 6 ต่อสู้โรคเอดส์ มาเลเรีย และโรคสาํคญัอืนๆ• เป้าหมายหลกัที 7 รักษาและจดัการสิงแวดลอ้มอยา่งย ังยนื• เป้าหมายหลกัที 8 ส่งเสริมการเป็นหุน้ส่วนเพือการพฒันาในประชาคมโลก
ทีมา: ตวัชีวดัเพือพฒันาจงัหวดั (TDP Info), สาํนกังานสถิติแห่งชาติ
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Goal 1 Eradicate extreme poverty & hunger
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Goal 2 Achieve universal primary education
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Goal 4 Reduce child mortality
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Goal 5 Improve maternal health
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Goal 6 Combat HIV/AIDS, malaria & other diseases
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Goal 7 Ensure environmental sustainability
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Goal 8 Develop a global partnership for development
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Human Development Report 2007/2008
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
• Feature Voices > Climate Change TV
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
World Population
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
WorldPopulation
Clock
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
6,711,455,5016,711,455,501July 21, 2008Source: U.S. Census Bureau
215.77Year2,589.30Month
77,678.88Day1,864,293.19Hour
111,857,591.68Minute
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
1371512154Minute197,004217,9713,383221,354Day
71,906,58779,559,3111,234,90780,794,218Year
LessDevelopedCountries(less China)
LessDevelopedCountries
MoreDevelopedCountriesWorld
NaturalIncrease per
World Population Growth Through History
Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations,World Population Projections to 2100 (1998).
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
World Population Growth Through History
Source: Population Reference Bureau; and United Nations,World Population Projections to 2100 (1998).
A.D.2000
A.D.1000
A.D.1
1000B.C.
2000B.C.
3000B.C.
4000B.C.
5000B.C.
6000B.C.
7000B.C.
1+ millionyears
8
7
6
5
2
1
4
3
OldStone
Age New Stone AgeBronze
AgeIronAge
MiddleAges
ModernAge
Black Death — The Plague
9
10
11
12
A.D.3000
A.D.4000
A.D.5000
18001900
1950
1975
2000
2100
Future
Billions
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
World Population Growth, in Billions
Source: First and second billion: Population Reference Bureau.Third through ninth billion: United Nations,World Population Prospects: The 2004 Revision(medium scenario), 2005.
All of Human History (1800)
130 (1930)
30 (1960)
15 (1975)
12 (1987)
12 (1999)
14 (2013)
14 (2027)
21 (2048)Ninth
Eighth
Seventh
Sixth
Fifth
Fourth
Third
Second
First Billion
Number of years to add each billion (year)
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Growth in more, less developed countries
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 2050
Less Developed Regions
More Developed Regions
Billions
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDWorld population and countries with more than
100 million people
WorldChinaIndiaUnited StatesIndonesiaBarzilPakistanBangkadeshRussiaNigeriaJapanMexico
Country-1234567891011
Rank6,591,444,0001,317,844,0001,125,000,000
301,574,000222,781,000190,000,000164,000,000149,900,000142,800,000131,530,000127,000,000107,000,000
Population43
13632830
12622
2021,002
813933754
Density (people/km2)
Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population;Jun 11, 2007
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Map of populations by country
Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population;Jun 11, 2007
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Age distribution of the world’s population
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
Population Structures by Age and Sex, 2005Millions
Less DevelopedRegions
More DevelopedRegions
Male Female Male Female
80+75-7970-7465-6960-6455-5950-5445-4940-4435-3930-3425-2920-2415-1910-14
5-90-4
Age
300 100 100 300300 200 100 0 100 200 300
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Trends in life expectancy, by regionLife expectancy at birth, in years
49
6772
76
6565
77 80 8275
Africa Asia Latin Americaand the
Caribbean
More DevelopedRegions
World
2000-2005 2045 -2050
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Trends in urbanization, by region
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
Urban population, in percent
29
15 17
5347
37 37
76
55
42
74
85
54
61
82
World Africa Asia Latin Americaand the Caribbean
More DevelopedRegions
1950 2000 2030
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Trends in aging, by world region
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
Population Ages 65 and OlderPercent
7
3
6 6
14
11
4
10 10
21
World Africa Asia Latin Americaand the Caribbean
More DevelopedRegions
2000 2025
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Ratio of workers to dependents, by region
Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects:The 2004 Revision (medium scenario), 2005.
Note: People 15 to 64 are considered to be workers; people 14 and younger and those over 65 are considered to be dependents.
0
0 .5
1
1 .5
2
2 .5
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
Africa
Asia
Latin America and the Caribbean
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Number of people who lack access to safe drinking water
Source: The state of the world’s children, UNICEF, 2005
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Satellite image of the world at night
Source: http:// www.christianlibraryinternational.org ;Jun 11, 2007
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDThe U.S. per capita energy consumption continues
to be far above the world average
Source: http://fti.neep.wisc.edu/neep602/LEC24/IMAGES/GlobalPower.GIF ;Jun 11, 2007
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Competition for fossil energy can lead to conflict
Source: http://fti.neep.wisc.edu/neep602/LEC24/IMAGES/War.JPG ;Jun 11, 2007
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Population & Development
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Population Development
ขนาดประชากรโครงสรา้งประชากร
การกระจายตวั
รายได ้การจา้งงานอาหารและโภชนาการการศกึษา การเลอืนชันทางสงัคมสขุภาพและสขุอนามยัทอียูอ่าศยัและสิงแวดลอ้มคุณภาพชวีติและความปลอดภยัการคมนาคม การสอืสาร ฯลฯ
ภาวะพงึพงิทางอายุการใชท้รพัยากรฯความไมเ่ทา่เทยีมมลภาวะและขยะภาระคา่ใชจ้า่ยรฐั
แรงงานความตอ้งการโอกาสในการลงทุน
ภาวะการเจรญิพนัธุ์มบุีตรน้อย การคุมกาํเนิดถูกและทั วถงึ มกีารทาํแทง้มากขนึรปูแบบการแต่งงานเปลียน Cohabitation มมีากขนึภาวะการตายเดก็ตายน้อยลง อายยุนืยาวหรอือายขุยัเฉลียเพิมขนึสาเหตุและรปูแบบการตายเปลียนแปลงการยา้ยถินการเขา้มาหางานทาํในเขตเมอืงการเขา้มาของแรงงานขา้มชาติ
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Demographic / Epidemiologic transition frameworkStage of Epidemiologic transition
Stage of Demographic transitionPost-LateEarlyPre-
Pestilenceand Famine
RecedingPandemics
Degenerativeand Man-Made
Diseases
DelayedDegenerativeDiseases and
EmergingInfections(Hybristic)
Crude birth rate
Crude death rate
Vital rate
Natural increase
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Demographic transition in Thailand
Crude birth rate
Crude death rate
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80 Vital rate per 1,000Population per 1,000,000
1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999
Source: Pramote Prasartkul, 2000
Population
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
The Role of Populationin Development Plan
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRDThe Role of Population in Development Plans
• Development Indexes
• Benefit
• Abuse
• Population Projection
• Benefit• Limitation
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
เครืองชี วัดการพฒันาประเทศไทย พ.ศ.2546• จาํนวนประชากร• โครงสร้างอายขุองประชากร• อตัราเพิมประชากร• อตัราเจริญพนัธ์ุรวมของหญิง• อตัราร้อยละการคุมกาํเนิด• อตัราการตายของทารก• อตัราการตายของมารดา• อตัราการแพร่ระบาด• อตัราการตายจากโรค…
• ประชากร• อนามยัเจริญพนัธ์ุ• ภาวการณ์ตาย• ภาวะโภชนาการ• การป้องกนัโรค• สุขอนามยั• พฤติกรรมเสียงต่อสุขภาพ• แรงงาน• การศึกษา• ดชันีทางสังคมอืนๆ• สิงแวดลอ้มและพลงังาน• เศรษฐกิจและความยากจน
(Gender, เคหะ, เทคโนฯ) ทีมา: สํานกังานสถิติแห่งชาติ
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD
Population Projection
Thanut Wongsaichue, Ph.D. (Demography)
Human and Community Resource DevelopmentFaculty of Education and Development ScienceKasetsart University at Kamphaeng Saen
190611 Philosophy of HCRD