PETROLEUM AS PART OF THE PACFIC ISLANDS …PETROLEUM AS PART OF THE PACFIC ISLANDS ENERGY MIX ......

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PETROLEUM AS PART OF THE PACFIC ISLANDS ENERGY MIX

SPC Petroleum Workshop Solomone Fifita

1st December 2014

2

FAESP

1. Leadership, Governance, Coordination and Partnerships

2. Energy planning, policy / regulatory frameworks and capacity building

3. Energy Production and Supply

• 3.1 Petroleum and alternative liquid fuels

• 3.2 Renewable energy

4. Energy Conversion

• 4.1 Electric power

5. End-use Energy Consumption

• 5.1 Transportation

• 5.2 Energy efficiency

6. Energy data and information

7. Financing, monitoring and evaluation

7 THEMES

34%

45%

80%

95%

99%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120%

World

Asia Pacific

Caribbean

Pacific Islands Countries

PICs exlcuding PNG & Fiji

Extreme Petroleum Dependency

Source: International Energy Agency (2009) & ADB Report (2009)

75%

25%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Transport

Electricity

Petroleum Fuel end-use in PICs

LAND, AIR & SEA

DIESEL GENERATOR

$0

$50,000,000

$100,000,000

$150,000,000

$200,000,000

$250,000,000

$300,000,000

$350,000,000

$400,000,000

Fuel Imports in USD (2009)

TOTAL = USD 873 million / 1.3 B litres

TOTAL IMPORTS = 1.3 billion litres

0

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

Vo

lum

e (

kl)

Fuel Consumed for Power Generation

TOTAL for electricity = 204 million

litres (16%)

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

Cook Islands

Fiji

FSM

Kiribati

Nauru

Niue

Palau

PNG

RMI

Samoa

Solomon

Tonga

Tuvalu

Vanuatu

Fuel Supply Security (Days)

Fuel Supply Security…

0.03%

8.81%

0.04% 0.11% 0.05% 0.33%

0.05%

9.01%

0.02%

5.60%

0.04% 0.03% 0.20% 0.03% 0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

9.00%

10.00%

Contribution from traditional use of biomass such as household cooking is excluded in analysis

Renewable energy share - 2009

0.29% 0.26%

0.65%

0.31%

1.85%

0.30% 0.22%

0.64%

0.29%

1.64%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

CookIslands -

TAU

FSM -ave.

Kiribati -PUB

Nauru -NUA

Niue -NPC

Palau -PPUC

RMI -MEC

Solomon -SIEA

Tonga -TPL

Tuvalu -TEC

Excluding - Fiji, PNG, Samoa & Vanuatu

Clean Electricity Contribution

The current fuel price decrease and

possible implications on the RE

drive

0.80

0.85

0.90

0.95

1.00

1.05

1.10

1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Mogas Diesel Kerosene

Fuel Prices in Fiji (USD/litre and excluding tax and duty)

Fuel Prices in Tonga (USD/litre and excluding tax and duty)

0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1.40

1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14

Mogas Diesel Kerosene

With international crude oil prices declining further in the month of November, the cost of diesel in Tonga has decreased accordingly by 2.47 seniti per litre, as announced by Government for October-November from $1.8029 to $1.7781 seniti per litre.

A power tariff drop effective today (1/12/14) of 3.34 seniti or 3.31%

The pioneering renewable energy

projects with some co-relation to

fuel prices

Monasavu Hydro (FJ - 80MW)

Wailoa Hydro (FJ - 20 MW)

Afulilo Hydro (Sam – 4 MW)

The follow up renewable energy

projects with some weak co-relation

to fuel prices

0

Nadarivatu Hydro (FJ - 42 MW)

Maama Mai Solar (TON - 1 MW)

Faleata Solar (SAM - 2 MW)

Devils Point Wind (VAN – 2.75 MW)

Devils Point Wind – Vanuatu

Faleata Solar – Samoa

Pacific Energy Summit

(REG – NZD 635 M) UAE-Pacific Partnership Fund

(REG – USD 50 M)

PEC Fund (REG – USD 66 M)

Nadarivatu Hydro (FJ – USD 150 M)

Very strong political commitments to

Renewable Energy

Country Energy Target Timeframe

Cook Islands

50% of inhabited islands electricity needs to be provided

by renewable energy

2015

100% of inhabited islands electricity needs to be provided

by renewable

2020

Fiji 90% renewables in power generation 2015

FSM

Decrease the import and use of imported petroleum fuels

by 50%

2020

10% of electricity in urban centres and 50% in rural areas

will be generated using renewable energy sources

2020

Kiribati

Fuel reduction target for electricity generation in

Kiribati by 2025:

1. South Tarawa: 45%

2. Kiritimati: 60%

3. Rural public infrastructure: 60%

4. Rural public and private institutions: 100%

2025

Marshall Islands

Electrification of 100% of urban households and

95% of rural outer atoll households by

2015

The provision of 20% of energy through

indigenous renewable resources by

2020

Improved efficiency of energy use in 50% of

households and businesses, and 75% of

government buildings by

2020

A 20% efficiency improvement in transportation sector

fuel use by

2020

Nauru 50% of electricity generation to be provided by

renewables

2020

Niue 100% of electricity generation from renewables 2020

Palau

20% contribution of renewable energy to the energy

mix 2020

30% reduction in energy consumption though

energy efficiency and conservation

2020

PNG Decrease GHG emissions by at least 50% before 2030

Become carbon neutral before 2050

Samoa

To reduce the growth rate in the volume of imported

fossil fuels by 10% by

2016

a. Energy Sector Plan launched and implemented

with at least 75% of targets achieved by

2016

b. Increase in the contribution of RE to total energy

consumption by 10% by

2016

c. Increase in the supply of RE for energy services by

10% by

2016

Solomon

Islands

100% replacement of imported fossil fuel for electricity

generation

2030

Increase access to reliable, affordable and stable electricity grid

by 50% from the current 12%

2030

Reduce the price of electricity by half the present tariff rate 2020

Increase access to Solar-Home-Systems by remote rural

dwellers located far from electricity grid from current 8.7% to

30%

2020

Tonga

50% renewable energy in power generation 2020

improve efficiency of electricity supply and demand by 18% 2020

Tuvalu

100% of power generation from renewable 2020

Energy Efficiency improvements of 30% at Funafuti 2020

Vanuatu

100% of energy from renewables & 40% of power generation

through renewables 2015

65% of power generation through renewables 2020

Source: Majuro Declaration for Climate Leadership

• Cook Is Election – July

• Fiji – Sept

• Solomone Is – 19th Nov

• Tonga – 27th Nov

Key election campaign message

“lower the electricity tariff”

• Continuous reliance on grant aid

• Move to more business and

commercial arrangements

China is willing to deepen cooperation with the island countries in trade,

agriculture and fishery, marine industry, energy and resources,

infrastructure construction and other sectors, said Xi, adding that China

will offer zero-tariff preference for 97 percent of tax items imported from

the least developed countries.

China will continue to provide support for the island countries' major

projects, infrastructure construction and projects involving people's

livelihoods, Xi said.

“Development assistance in the sectors of agriculture, education, health and

energy are priority areas of economic cooperation that Tonga seeks to pursue

with India, stated the Lord Prime Minister.”

• He reaffirmed that France would push for a percentage of contributions from the Green Climate Fund to be allocated to the Pacific region and would endeavour to mobilise funds

from the European Union and the World Bank so climate change response efforts in the Pacific could be as

novel and effective as possible.

ADB Funds Major Solar Power Project In Cook Islands $24 million effort to install renewable systems on six islands

The Cook Islands' dependence on fossil fuels should be slashed by a project to

build solar-powered plants on six of its islands.

• The systems are being paid for by the ADB, the EU and the Cook Islands

government. An ADB official, Woo Yul Lee, says lowering the country's

reliance on fossil fuels will help free up government funds for other needs

while improving national energy security and sustainability. He says it

will help the Cooks fulfill its goal of delivering renewable

energy to all its islands by 2020.

• The 24 million US dollar project will install systems on the southern

islands and give total installed power generation capacity of about 3

megawatts, which should save more than a million litres of diesel fuel.

• The project complements ongoing support for solar power in the Cook

Islands from New Zealand.

Would this price change the

perception of policy makers?

• No major change in perception

on Energy Security

/Sustainable Energy for All

What to propose?

• Make hay while the sun shines

• Generate some extra revenue

• Get the enabling fiscal and

monetary instruments in place

Words of Caution

• If we don’t watch our fuel

pricing practices, contracts and

methodologies now, gains in

RE installations can be easily

lost (and not enjoyed by our

communities).

Thank You