Post on 14-Jan-2015
description
THE END OF THE OIL AGE HAS BEEN LONG COMING
1859
1800sStart of oil age
Peak Oil production per capita
1979
2007Runaway oil price
Food price hike
Ecological and ClimateSystem destabilisation?
Peak of Oil Discovery1968
Activities surpass biocapacity
1988
Peak soil, phosphorous, water, etc
The end of the oil age has been coming a long time
Oil production surpasses discovery
1980
2005Peak of cheap oil
production
2008 Global Economic downturn
Oil production per capita globally in time
1990Carbon Dioxide levels
surpass 350 ppm
Geologist M King Hubbert: peak will come 2000s
1956
2009 three of nineBoundaries exceeded
TRANSITION TOWNS-...the story so far
Naresh Giangrandewww.transitiontowns.orgwww.transitionculture.org
“The problems of the world cannot possibly be solved by sceptics or cynics whose horizons are limited by the obvious realities. We need people who can dream of things that never were”
John F Kennedy
Transition Oxford
Bath
OIL IS IN EVERYTHING WE DO AND USE. WE ARE STUCK.
Transition Training 2007
Transition Training 2008
Even the egg is the end result of a long, complex, chemical, industrial supply chain
Even in your breakfast egg
TRANSITION AIMS TO MOVE AWAY FROM OIL DEPENDENCY IN SIX STEPS
• Starting up• From Ideas to Initiative• Deepening• Outreach• Scaling up to community level• Impacting National Policy
CRITICAL THINKING
Starting up
CRITICAL THINKING
Starting up
Understanding Scale
Starting up
Starting up
Awareness Raising
From Ideas to Initiative
From Ideas to Initiative
From Ideas to Initiative
Building networks
Deepening
Work groups
Deepening
Visibly manifest progress
Deepening
Revive local knowledge and skills
Deepening
Resolving conflict, reflecting on failures
and successes
Deepening
Outreach
Use community brainstorming/backcasting
Outreach
Outreach
Scaling up to community level
Scaling up
Scaling up to community level
Impacting National Policy
• http://www.transitionnetwork.org/• http://avbp.net• http://Transitionsweden.se
• staff@avbp.net