Post on 14-Mar-2020
MEAT RE-IMAGINEDThe global emergence of alternative proteins - what does it mean for Australia?
Meat Re-Imagined
FOREWORDOur food system is undergoing its greatest transformation of the last century. We are facing the prospect of a global population 10 billion strong in the age of potentially devastating climatic shifts and severe public health challenges. Traditional methods of production are insufficient to meet the challenges and demands confronting us. New technologies offer the prospect of producing nutritious, sustainable foods to feed a hungry world.
The rise of alternative proteins, from humble and ancient
beginnings to the modern technological advances of plant-
based meat alternatives and cellular agriculture, has enormous
potential as a tool for addressing today’s food system challenges
– especially given the extent to which these innovations are being
embraced by consumers of all dietary habits.
To date, leading researchers and companies in the U.S., Europe
and Asia have forged ahead with new production processes and
products, while Australia has largely remained an observer. This
paper intends to kick-start a distinctly Australian discussion on
alternative proteins that considers our unique consumer base,
skills, production systems and economy.
The emergent alternative protein industry is complementary to
Australia’s strong agricultural tradition – simultaneously increasing
sustainability and system efficiency, and addressing public health
challenges. Investments by the world’s largest meat companies
into alternative proteins, and their re-positioning as ‘protein’
providers, signals how conventional agriculture and alternative
proteins can coexist, inviting new cooperative opportunities such
as supplying primary inputs and producing new crop varieties.
Australia’s globally trusted brand is synonymous with safe, high-
quality food – a testament to the integrity of our production systems
and manufacturing capabilities. With a growing international
consumer base seeking safe, sustainable, healthy food, Australia is
ideally placed to leverage our wealth of research and manufacturing
capabilities as well as the production and marketing expertise of the
conventional protein sector to rapidly scale-up.
A diversified protein sector offers Australia new industrial
opportunities and job creation across a variety of fields, the
implications and quantum of which this paper identifies as an area
in need of further research. Government has a role to play by
providing support and countering the siren-calls of those intent
on protecting the status-quo with positive, progressive policy.
Alternative proteins are a reality; Australia now faces the choice
of sitting on the side-lines or becoming a sectoral leader.
To achieve success, the scientific, business, government
and conventional food and manufacturing sectors must work
collaboratively to overcome challenges and fulfil the potential
of a new and vibrant industry.
I am grateful to the authors and researchers who devoted so
much time and effort to compile this paper, particularly Sam
Lawrence, Food Frontier’s Managing Director, agricultural
specialist and the paper’s principal author. While not exhaustive,
the paper specifically focuses on the three main pathways of
plant-based, cell-based and hybrid products as realistic, healthier,
sustainable and scalable options to feed our growing population.
I would like to acknowledge and thank the Lord Mayor’s
Charitable Foundation whose generous support made this
project possible.
Thomas King
CEO, Food Frontier
Young Australian of the Year VIC 2015
Funded by
2
Food Frontier is Australia and New Zealand’s leading think tank and industry accelerator for plant-based meat alternatives and cell-based meat. Funded by philanthropy, Food Frontier is proudly independent.
We believe food innovation is critical to feeding the growing global population
in coming decades. By driving science-based solutions to the need and
demand for sustainable, healthier proteins, we are working to create a more
diversified, efficient and future-proof food supply that is good for people,
great for business and better for the planet.
Globally renowned for world-class food research, production, and exports,
Australia and New Zealand are exceptionally well-placed to become the Asia
Pacific’s leaders of the rapidly emerging alternative protein sector.
Through research, advocacy, consulting and events, Food Frontier advises
and connects stakeholders across the supply chain, from agriculture and
science to government and business. We support existing and emerging
leaders to capitalise on the opportunities to create and supply plant-
based and cell-based meat in the world’s most populous region, where
diversification is most urgently needed.
Paper Review Panel
Food Frontier would like to thank our
exceptional review panellists for their insights.
Our Approach
Angeline AchariyaCEO, Monash Food Innovation Centre
Dr David Welch Director of Science & Technology, The Good Food Institute
Dr Liz Specht Senior Scientist, The Good Food Institute
Terence Jeyaretnam Partner EY, Climate Change & Sustainability Services
Sarah Nolet Partner & CEO, AgThentic
Dr Peter Whittle CEO and co-founder, AgKonect
About Food Frontier
Activating Development of, and investment in, new
applications for plant proteins and cellular agriculture
by working with scientists, entrepreneurs and investors.
Accelerating Supply of new products to market by working
with food businesses, industry groups and regulators.
Advocating Adoption of new choices within the market by
working with food outlets, consumers and the media.
Suggested citation for this paper: Lawrence S, King T, Fish L, Baird Walsh J, Byrd
E. Meat Re-Imagined: The global emergence
of alternative proteins - What does it mean for
Australia? Melbourne: Food Frontier; 2019.
Meat Re-Imagined
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTIONProspects for Australia
PLANT-BASED MEAT ALTERNATIVES
FOREWORD
Conclusion
Cell-based meat Endnotes
Hybrids
05 3511
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Meat Re-Imagined
Our ability to meet the increasing protein demands of the world’s growing population is reaching a critical inflection point. Leading authorities have warned that our current food production systems will fail to sustainably feed the world without urgent changes.1,2
Today’s methods of protein production have far-reaching implications, from threats to food safety and security, to environmental degradation and dwindling natural resources – threats from which Australia is not immune.
Rapidly emerging technologies in plant-based meat alternatives, cell-based meats and hybrid proteins are offering innovative solutions. If properly harnessed by industry and supported by government, these foods promise new ways to meet consumer demand for familiar products, while increasing the sustainability of our food systems.
INTRODUCTION
6Introduction
Today’s food system feeds a global population of 7.6 billion,3 and is rapidly approaching its productive limits. The food system of 2050 will need to feed a projected population of 9.8 billion,4 with estimates that food demand will rise by more than 50 percent, and demand for animal-based foods by nearly 70 percent.5
Australians consumed approximately 110 kilograms of meat per person in 2015 – more
than three times the global average (excluding seafood).6 Australians eat more than four
times the global per capita average of beef and veal,7 rivaling countries like Brazil and the
U.S.8 Annual chicken consumption has also skyrocketed in Australia, growing tenfold from
4.6 kilograms per person in 1965 to 47 kilograms in 2016.9
Globally, meat production increased four to five fold since 1961 to meet the demands of
a growing population10 and increasingly affluent consumers in developing and middle-
income nations such as China, India and Brazil who are consuming greater amounts of
meat.11 There is simply not enough productive land left to meet the increasing global
population’s protein needs without a significant shift in production efficiency.12,13 Today,
raising livestock requires about 80 percent of the world’s agricultural land14 and produces
just 18 percent of the world’s calories.15 A third of global croplands are currently used
to grow feed for farm animals, while more than a quarter of the planet’s habitable land
is used for livestock grazing.16 The pressure to innovate is falling on the shoulders of
industry to find more sustainable methods of protein production, and governments to
encourage changes in consumption patterns.
0
10
20
30
40
50 kg per capita
1964-67 1974-76 1984-86 1994-96 1997-99 2015 2030
3x THE GLOBAL AVERAGE
Australians’ meat consumption IS
Figure 1. Global meat consumption trend.
Current Protein Supply
Meat Re-Imagined
Excess meat consumption and current production have significant effects on human health, livelihoods and the economy. Meat thus poses a special challenge to the future development of the global food system.” 17
– World Economic Forum
80%of the world’s agricultural
land AND PRODUCES
18%of the world's calories
livestock uses
1/4of the planet’s
habitable land is used for livestock grazing
1/3of global croplands
are used to grow feed for farm animals
8Introduction
Nearly a third of the water used in
agriculture globally is used to produce
animal-based products,18 while manure
runoff from intensive farming operations
and pesticide runoff from animal feed-
crops are major causes of freshwater
contamination.19 Increased levels of
nutrients from manure runoff have led to
algal blooms, and contribute to oceanic
‘dead zones’ where oxygen levels are too
low for some marine life to survive.20,21
The global scale of animal agriculture is
reflected in a recent report examining the
biomass distribution on Earth published in
the Proceedings of the National Academy
of Sciences in 2018.22 The report found
that farmed poultry now makes up 70
percent of all bird life on the planet, with
just 30 percent being wild. The story for
mammals is even more stark, with 60
percent of all mammals on Earth being
livestock, 36 percent humans and just 4
percent wild mammals.23
Animal agriculture is a leading cause
of deforestation, land degradation,
biodiversity loss, and habitat destruction
worldwide.24 In the Australian context, from
2013–2015, livestock grazing accounted
for 91 percent of deforestation in
Queensland, which diminished the habitat
of native species including the koala.25
Across the border, the New South Wales
Department of Primary Industries (NSW
DPI) highlighted the critical importance
and challenge of preserving high-quality
water sources in Australia – a problem
exacerbated by many practices common
in conventional animal agriculture.26
Despite the recommendations by NSW
DPI, no formal policies have been created
to guide improvements in resource use
and preservation.
International commentators from scientists
to business leaders are beginning to
fundamentally question the efficiency of
conventional animal agriculture.27,28 In the
context of U.S. farming, it’s estimated that
a chicken must be fed eight calories of
feed to generate one calorie of chicken
meat. In the case of beef, 34 calories of
feed are required to produce one calorie
of meat.29 While the Australian agricultural
system is significantly different to that
of the U.S., these estimates serve to
highlight the fact that every kilogram
of meat produced from an animal
represents a significant loss of calories
from the food system.
It is widely recognised that conventional
animal agriculture has an outsized impact
on atmospheric greenhouse gases.
A Food and Agriculture Organization
report from 2013 estimated that livestock
accounts for 14.5 percent of all human-
induced greenhouse gas emissions.31
Beef in particular has a major impact,
with the World Resources Institute stating
that if cattle were able to form their own
nation, they would rank third behind China
and the United States on the list of the
world’s largest greenhouse gas emitters.32
According to leading international policy
institute Chatham House, it is unlikely that
world governments will be able to meet
the goals laid out in the Paris Climate
Accord without addressing emissions
from animal agriculture.33
Environmental Challenges
For every 10 kilograms of grain...we get 1 kilogram of beef in return. The calorie kick-back is just too low to feed a growing world population.” 30
– BILL GATES
8 : 1chicken calorie conversion
34 : 1beef calorieconversion
Meat Re-Imagined
Public Health Challenges
Current meat consumption levels and methods of production pose public health challenges, particularly in the context of intensive animal agriculture.
On a global level, widespread use of
antibiotics in intensive animal agriculture
production is directly linked with issues
of rising antibiotic resistance around the
world.34,35 The World Health Organization
estimates that in some countries “80% of
total consumption of medically important
antibiotics is in the animal sector.”36
Further, the potential of breeding new
zoonotic diseases within high-density
farm environments – such as swine and
avian influenza – presents a significant
public health risk.37
Additionally, faecal bacteria contamination
during meat processing is among the
leading causes of foodborne illnesses
in consumers.38 In the local Australian
context, a study by Food Standards
Australia and New Zealand found
that more than four in five portions of
raw chicken were contaminated with
campylobacter bacteria, and that nearly
two in five were contaminated with
salmonella.39
A number of peer-reviewed studies from
sources including the National Institutes
of Health, the World Health Organization,
and Harvard School of Public Health,
link high levels of conventional meat
consumption to diseases including
cardiovascular disease, type 2 diabetes,
and colorectal cancer, partly due to risk
factors including LDL cholesterol and
saturated fat.40,41,42 These diseases are
among the leading causes of death in
Australia,43 and could be reduced through
greater adoption of plant-based foods.44
10Introduction
Despite the challenges presented by conventional meat production, meat remains a large part of diets and economies worldwide.
In 2015, Australia was the world’s largest
exporter of beef and veal, with the red
meat industry alone accounting for
approximately 440,000 direct and indirect
jobs across the country.45 Governments
and industry will need to understand and
implement new models of production
that mitigate or eliminate the health,
environmental, and economic challenges
posed by the current system. These
may include efficiency and sustainability
improvements to existing systems,
however, research has shown this alone
will not be sufficient, warranting solutions
that don’t rely on animal agriculture.46
Data shows that an increasing number of
consumers are demanding alternatives to
conventional meat. As most consumers’
food choices are driven by taste, price
and convenience, a growing number of
companies are producing affordable and
accessible meat alternatives that offer
the sensory experience that consumers
are accustomed to in meat. Groups of
scientists and entrepreneurs around the
world are demonstrating that food science,
nature and human ingenuity can produce
popular foods – from burgers to dumplings
– without reliance on animal agriculture.
Aggregate growth in the consumption of
conventional meat is expected to slow,
according to McKinsey & Company, to
1-1.5 percent per year overall growth.47
Conversely, consumer and investor
interest in alternative proteins is rising
with plant-based product launches more
than doubling in the past five years.
Consumers are increasingly embracing
a ‘flexitarian’ diet, which places an
emphasis on consuming plants without
eliminating animal protein entirely.48,49
Younger generations in particular are
leading the trend toward reducing
conventional meat consumption, wielding
their significant buying power and citing
health and environmental concerns as
primary motivators.50
Euromonitor ranked Australia as the most
favorable market for plant-based products,
citing a large population of millennials, and
high rates of plant-based eating.51 Market
research has predicted a combined annual
growth rate of 7.7 percent globally and 9.4
percent in Asia between 2018 and 2025
for ‘meat substitutes.’52
This paper seeks to provide insights on
the most promising growth areas across
a range of alternative protein sources,
including the context necessary for
Australian innovators and policy makers
to determine the most effective paths
toward a sustainable food future.
Plant-based meat alternatives and cell-
based meat represent viable alternatives
to conventional meat. Other forms of
alternative protein such as algae and
insects, are being pursued as protein
supplements, however functional
limitations and cultural norms restrict
their utility as realistic meat alternatives.
Consequently, this paper focuses
primarily on plant-based meat alternatives
and cell-based meat as the two principal
meat alternative categories.
Opportunities in Today’s Protein Market
Meat Re-Imagined
PLANT-BASED MEAT ALTERNATIVES
Innovators in today’s market for plant-based meat alternatives are redefining what it means to eat meat.
New options that replicate the familiar textures and flavours of
conventional meat are encouraging more consumers to move
plant-based meat alternatives to the centre of the plate.
Plant-based meat alternatives come in a variety of forms, from
whole-food meat mimics such as ‘pulled’ jackfruit and fermentation-
based products such as those made by Quorn, to technologically
advanced plant-based meats including the Beyond Burger and
Impossible Burger.
Though the plant-based trend may be considered relatively
modern, plant-based meat alternatives such as tofu and seitan
have been a part of dietary habits for centuries. There is evidence
that tofu was specifically promoted as ‘mock lamb chops’ as
early as 965CE.1 The 20th century saw the development of
plant-based meat alternatives including Protose, a seitan-like
meat alternative.2 Following the Second World War, significant
advances in production and packaging technology contributed
to the development of products based on plant protein isolates,
concentrates and textured proteins.
Today, technology is enabling the development of a new generation
of plant-based meats that appeal to mainstream consumers. These
products are marketed toward omnivores and aim to mimic the
sensory experience of eating conventional meat. The consumer
response to this emerging category has been significant, with
demand for some products now outpacing supply.3 Restaurant
chains around the world are putting next generation plant-based
meats on the menu,4 grocery chains are stocking them in the
meat aisle alongside conventional meat,5 and conventional meat
companies are launching and acquiring plant-based brands at a
frenetic pace.6
The consumer shift towards plant-based meat alternatives and
plant-based foods more generally is happening at a moment when
industry incumbents and governments are seeking to mitigate
some of the negative externalities of conventional meat production.
background
Impossible Burger; base ingredients
12Plant-Based Meat Alternatives
Growth
In 2018, the value of the global plant-based meat
alternatives market was estimated at US$4.33B.10 Market
research firms are projecting record growth in the plant
protein sector in 2019 and beyond,11 with Lux Research
estimating a doubling in demand for alternative proteins
by 2024.12 Quorn, a veteran alternative protein company,
has announced it is on track to be a billion-dollar business
by 2027.13 Although plant-based meats still comprise less
than one percent of the global meat market, the sector
has seen remarkable levels of year-on-year growth,
registering a 24 percent increase in sales from June 2017-
2018 alone.14 Comparably, Nielsen reports overall plant-
based food and beverages sales growth of 14.7 percent in
the U.S. from 2016-2017.15
Some niche products have shown tremendous growth,
including jackfruit-containing prepared foods, which grew
377 percent from 2016-2017.16 Assuming plant-based
meats continue to advance in terms of taste, flavour and
health benefits, CB Insights postulates that “we could
see direct competitors to meat incumbent brands across
virtually all frozen and prepared food categories.”17
6%Plant-basedmeats 2017*
24%Plant-based
meats 2018**
2%Animal meats
2018**
*52 weeks dollar sales ending August 2017. **52 weeks dollar sales ending June 2018. PBFA-commissioned data from Nielsen
Plant-based chicken produced by Sunfed Meats
Figure 2. Growth of plant-based meats and animal meats in U.S retail market.
Commercial Market
The growth of the plant-based meat alternatives sector is reflective of a number of broader social and consumer trends occurring globally. Increasing awareness about the health and sustainability implications of our diets, and a growing desire for convenience, are significant factors in the rising demand for plant-based meat alternatives.7,8 The entry of new plant-based meat products and brands into the market9 is expected to significantly diversify protein options available to consumers, much like plant-based milk products have offered choices beyond conventional dairy.
Meat Re-Imagined
Marketing
Many of the companies behind popular
plant-based meats are utilising forward-
thinking marketing to appeal to a far
broader consumer base than vegetarians
and vegans. By balancing messaging and
imagery to highlight taste, experience,
health and sustainability, and by putting an
emphasis on innovation, new plant-based
meats have largely overcome previous
associations with dietary restriction and
flavour or textural deficiencies.
Two companies – Beyond Meat and
Impossible Foods – exemplify this
approach to marketing. Beyond Meat
features popular athletes in its advertising,
emphasising the performance and health
benefits of its products.18 The start-up
couples this approach with appeals
to sustainability and naturalness and
highlights its “free-from” status with
regard to soy, gluten, and cholesterol.19
Taking a distinctly more Silicon-Valley
approach, Impossible Foods has
successfully positioned its plant-based
meats as high-tech advancements.20
By embracing novelty and an iPhone-
like product release pattern, Impossible
Foods has earned itself a notable amount
of publicity and social media attention,
thus generating significant public
interest – particularly from millennials.21
In January 2019, the company presented
it’s Impossible Burger 2.0 at the
Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas,
We’re not going to solve this problem by pleading with consumers to eat beans and tofu instead of meat and fish … we're making meat for uncompromising meat lovers, but with a fraction of the environmental impact.”– Pat Brown, Impossible Foods CEO
where it received a highly enthusiastic
reception and was awarded the ‘Top
Tech of 2019’ by tech publisher Digital
Trends.22 Consumer research conducted
by Impossible Foods has indicated
that approximately 70 percent of their
customers eat conventional meat.23
Beyond Meat branding featuring professional basketball player, Kyrie Irving
14Plant-Based Meat Alternatives
Product Availability
Across the world, plant-based meats are
rapidly expanding into the mainstream.
According to Shama Lee, founder and
CEO of New Zealand’s Sunfed Meats,
“we’ve got a good problem, which is
that we can’t meet demand.” Sunfed
Meats launched its plant-based chicken
alternative in Progressive Enterprises and
Foodstuffs Markets in New Zealand in
2017, selling out within days of its debut.24
In the Australian fast food sector, Hungry
Jack’s (whose menu already features a
vegetarian burger) began trialling a plant-
based meat burger called ‘Kinda Meat
Burger’ in the Australian Capital Territory
and Goulburn25 (regional New South
Wales) in early 2019, at a comparable
price to conventional beef burgers. White
Castle, the oldest fast-food burger chain in
the U.S., sells a slider made by Impossible
Foods for US$1.99,26 while retailers such
as Tesco in the United Kingdom now stock
Beyond Meat burgers and have launched
fully plant-based products developed by
in-house innovation centers.27
Placement inside meat cases within
supermarkets has proven to be a strong
accelerator for sales of plant-based
meats. Figures from one of the largest
conventional retailers in the US reveal that
out of all its grocery stores in southern
California, the Beyond Burger was the
number-one-selling burger patty in the
meat case over a five-week period.28
The Beyond Burger is now available at
more than 20,000 grocery stores and in
more than 11,000 restaurants,29 including
throughout Australia at retailers such as
Coles and IGA.
86%of U.S. consumers who regularly
consume plant-based alternatives
do not consider themselves
vegetarian or vegan.
Impossible Foods production line in Oakland, California
Meat Re-Imagined
Figure 3. Retail price comparison of plant-based meat and equivalent, specialty conventional meat products in Australia – Woolworths Supermarket (online at woolworths.com.au) and Hungry Jack’s fast food outlet (ACT).
Meat Type Plant-based Meat Product Plant-based Meat per kilogram (AUD)
Conventional Meat Equivalent
Conventional Meat per kilogram (AUD)
Mince Funky Fields Minced 400g $8 $20 Grasslands Premium Mince
500g $8
$16
Burger Patties Beyond Burger Patties 227g $12.99 $57 Woolworths Gourmet
Angus Salt & Pepper
Burger 250g $6.50
$26
Sausages Vegie Delights Vegie Sausage 300g $6 $20 Beak & Sons Gourmet Beef
Sausages 500g $7.50
$15
Nuggets Fry’s Meat Free Nuggets 240g $6 $25 Ingham’s Free-Range
Chicken Nuggets
$20.75
Fast Food Burger Hungry Jack’s Kinda Meat Vegan
Cheese Burger $7.30
N/A Hungry Jack’s Whopper
w/ Cheese $6.90
N/A
Consumer Trends
The percentage of vegetarians in Australia is on the rise,
increasing from 9.7 percent in 2012 to 11.2 percent in 2016, and
jumping by 30 percent in NSW.30 While vegetarians and vegans
will naturally be early adopters of plant-based meats, these
consumers are not the primary target for many plant-based
meat companies. Consumers actively seeking to reduce their
consumption of conventional meat are more likely to purchase
plant-based meats.31,32,33 Of U.S. consumers who regularly
consume plant-based meat alternatives, 86 percent do not
consider themselves vegetarian or vegan.34
Beyond Meat, Impossible Foods and other start-ups are directly
targeting the most valuable market for plant-based meats:
omnivorous millennials. This approach appears to be working,
with Beyond Meat’s sales increasing 70 percent in 2018.35 More
than half of U.S. non-millennials eat meat alternatives, rising to
nearly eight-in-ten millennials. Almost one-third of millennials
report that they are trying to a eat a more plant-based diet.36
Costs
Plant-based meats are, in some instances, already achieving
price parity with conventionally produced equivalents; however,
many are yet to become competitive with conventional meat in
terms of scale and cost.
16Plant-Based Meat Alternatives
If we are not aware of it and participating in our own disruption, we basically deserve what we get.” – Tom Mastrobuoni, Chief Financial Officer, Tyson Ventures
The pace and magnitude of consumer adoption of plant-based meats is evidence of latent demand. However, continued growth in the sector is largely contingent on funding to scale production and distribution.
Investors have shown significant and increasing interest in the
market for plant-based meats. In 2016, Tyson Foods, one of
the largest meat processing companies in the world, launched
a US$150 million venture fund to support “breakthrough
technologies, business models and products to sustainably feed
the growing world population.”37 The fund’s first action was to
purchase a stake in Beyond Meat.38 General Mills’ venture capital
arm soon followed suit with its own investment in Beyond Meat.39
Former McDonald’s CEO Don Thompson’s venture capital fund,
Cleveland Avenue, also counts Beyond Meat among its portfolio
brands.40 Tyson Foods has even announced its intention to
launch its own line of protein alternatives.41
Other food industry actors have chosen the path of acquisition
to enter the market for plant-based meat alternatives. Following
Pinnacle Foods’ acquisition of Gardein for US$154 million in
2014 – to add the brand to the Birds Eye Frozen Division –
Pinnacle’s CEO Bob Gamgort stated that “plant-based protein
is at the tipping point of becoming mainstream, making Gardein
an exciting new growth platform for the Birds Eye business.”42
In 2017, Canada’s largest meat producer, Maple Leaf Foods,
acquired Field Roast Grain Meat Co. for US$120 million.43 Other
notable acquisitions include Monde Nissin’s purchase of Quorn
for US$832.37 million in 2015,44 and Nestle’s purchase of Sweet
Earth Foods for an undisclosed amount in 2017.45
In late 2018, plant-based meat companies Impossible Foods
and Beyond Meat were the joint recipients of the UN’s highest
environmental honour, the Champion of the Earth Award.46 The
novel technology and sustainability benefits of plant-based
meats have attracted funding from high-profile tech investors
and environmentalists including Leonardo DiCaprio and Twitter
co-founders Biz Stone and Evan Williams.47,48 Impossible Foods is
currently the top-funded start-up in the alternative protein space,
raising nearly US$400 million from high-profile investors like
Gates and Hong Kong business magnate Li Ka-Shing.49 Google
Ventures, the investment arm of Google’s parent company,
Alphabet, has also invested in Impossible Foods. Speaking at
the 2016 Milken Institute Global Conference, Alphabet Executive
Chairman Eric Schmidt named plant-based meat as the number
one game-changing technology, surpassing 3D printing,
autonomous cars, and other notable technologies.50
In New Zealand, Sunfed Meats closed a NZD$10 million Series A
fundraising round in November 2018, led by Australia’s Blackbird
Ventures,51 to fund the company’s next stage of growth and
international expansion.
Investment
Meat Re-Imagined
Plant-Based Meats
Plant-based meats consist wholly of
plant-based ingredients, and aim to
replicate the experience of cooking
and eating conventional meat – from
preparation methods to appearance,
texture and flavour. To achieve this,
food technologists develop unique
combinations of plant proteins, fats,
gums, spices and seasonings. Some
of these ingredients are processed
using extruders or unique processing
technology that controls the moisture,
heating, cooling and pressure to create
functional, taste and textural properties.
Varieties of plant-based meat alternatives
Beyond Meat began releasing pre-
packaged ready-to-cook plant-based
meats in 2016.52 The products contain
no soy, genetically modified organisms
or gluten.53
Examples:
Similar to Beyond Meat, Sunfed Meats
uses Canadian yellow pea protein
as its primary base, though it also
incorporates ingredients sourced from
New Zealand, including pumpkin and
maize starch. Sunfed’s pre-packaged,
frozen chicken alternative contains 62
percent more protein than a lean, skinless
chicken breast and employs proprietary
processing technology to mimic the
texture of conventional chicken.54,55
Impossible Foods debuted the Impossible
Burger in 2016 with an update launched
in 2019.56 The Impossible Burger uses
a plant-based ‘heme’, found in the root
nodules of soybean plants, which the
company claims is responsible for the
‘bloody’ effect and unique meat aromas.57
Funky Fields’ “Minced” was launched
across Australia in 2018 through
Woolworths supermarkets, selling out
in hundreds of stores within the first
week. Made in Denmark from soy, wheat,
almonds and mushrooms, the product is
stocked alongside conventional meat in
Woolworths stores.58,59
18Plant-Based Meat Alternatives
Nature’s Meat Mimics
Naturally occurring plant products including jackfruit and banana
blossom can be prepared as meat alternatives due to their meat-like
appearance, texture or ability to absorb flavours. These products
appeal to consumers seeking minimally processed options that are
similar to the experience of eating conventional meat.
Examples:
Banana blossom is comprised of tear-shaped
flowers found at the end of a banana cluster. When
battered and fried, the colour and texture bears
a striking resemblance to fish. Due to increasing
popularity for plant-based fish alternatives, Sutton
and Sons from East London has developed a
process to marinate the banana blossom in spices
before mixing it with seaweed and frying it to
create plant-based fish and chips.60
Together with Ocean Hugger Foods, leading
American chef, Certified Master Chef James
Corwell, created Ahimi, an alternative to raw tuna.
Ahimi is made by combining roma tomatoes with
ingredients such as sesame oil and sugar and
subjecting it to a sous-vide cooking process to
produce a flesh-like product that is firm and juicy,
with a savoury bite.61 Ocean Hugger Foods is also
developing eggplant eel called Unami and carrot-
based salmon sashimi named Sakimi.62
Jackfruit has gained popularity as a substitute for
pulled pork. When cooked it has a shredded and
chewy texture.63 Jackfruit is now available in a wide
variety of restaurant dishes and in packaged form
by food suppliers such as Upton’s Natural and The
Jackfruit Company,64,65 which are available at IGA
stores in Australia.
Fermentation-Based Meat Alternatives
Proteins produced through fermentation can be derived from
certain varieties of fungi. The typical production process for these
meat alternatives involves the use of fermenters similar to those
found in a brewery. Fungi are introduced to a nutrient solution,
predominantly comprised of water and glucose, and given a
continuous feed of nutrients – with pH balance, temperature,
nutrient concentration and oxygen continuously controlled to
promote optimum growth. The product is heated to remove
excess ribonucleic acids, harvested, seasoned and mixed with
a binding ingredient. This mix is then steam cooked, chilled and
shaped into the final product prior to freezing to facilitate the
consolidation of fibres to create a final meat-like texture.66
Examples:
UK company Quorn initially introduced
their fungi-based meat alternatives in
1985, and now offers a range of pre-
packaged meats and meals ranging from
nuggets to lasagne.67 The company is on
track to become a billion dollar business
by 2027.68
Koji is a fungus that has been used for
thousands of years in foods such as miso
soup, soy sauce and in the production of
sake. The start-up company Prime Roots,
formerly known as Terramino Foods, is
utilising it as a key ingredient to create
burgers that offer a complete protein
source, taste like salmon and offer a
lower fat content.69
Meat Re-Imagined
Plant-based meat production requires significantly fewer natural resources than conventional meat and emits far less greenhouse gases.
Environmental Impact
Figure 4. Environmental impact comparisons with conventional beef. Figures based on U.S production systems.
Land use
Water use
GHG Emissions(CO2 eq/KG)
99%less water
93%less land
90%fewer GHGemissions
75%less water
95%less land
87%fewer GHGemissions
90%less water
97%less land
96%fewer GHGemissions
Utilising land to produce crops for human consumption instead
of animal feed would reduce the overall environmental footprint
of food production, preserve land and water resources, and
represent an important step towards the goal of feeding a
growing population within planetary boundaries.
70 71 72
20Plant-Based Meat Alternatives
Plant-based meats are generally moderate to high in protein content. The nine amino acids that are essential to the human body are now recognised to be readily available in certain plant-based foods, with common ingredients in plant-based meat – such as soy and quinoa – being rich in all nine.73
Unlike conventional meat, plant-based meat
alternatives contain no cholesterol, and
can be produced with no trans fats. Levels
of monounsaturated, polyunsaturated and
saturated fats vary greatly across plant
sources, with plant-based meats that contain
coconut or palm oils being generally higher
in saturated fat.74 Improvements can be made
to plant-based meat alternatives to optimise
the nutritional profile, taste and texture.
Some companies producing plant-based
meat alternatives fortify their products
with essential micronutrients. One such
example is Australian-made Vegie Delights
sausages, which provide 100 percent of the
recommended daily intake of B12, 30 percent
of iron and 35 percent of zinc per serving.75
Comparable nutrient levels are found in
the Impossible Burger.76 Further, dietary
fibre and phytonutrients are found only in
plants, meaning plant-based meat products
containing these nutrients can offer additional
benefit over conventional meat products.77
Some concerns about the processed nature
of plant-based meats have been raised,78,79
including levels of sodium and saturated fats.
However, comparisons with pre-seasoned
conventional products are favourable.
Burgers (per 100g)
Nuggets (per 100g)
*Based on nutrition panel averages of Coles Beef Burgers, Woolworths
Market Value Beef Burgers, and Beyond Burger (all pre-seasoned products).
*Based on nutrition panel averages of Coles Chicken Nuggets, Woolworths
Essentials Chicken Nuggets and Fry’s Meat Free (chicken-style) nuggets.
Figure 5. Nutritional comparison between plant-based meat alternatives and equivalent conventional meat product.80
Health & Nutrition
Conventional beef burgers*
Beyond Burger*
Energy (calories) 273 241
Protein (g) 12 18
Fat (g) 23.2 18
-of which saturated (g)
11.3 4
Carbohydrate (g) 4.2 4
Dietary Fibre (g) 0 3
Sodium (mg) 515.5 339
Conventional chicken nuggets*
Fry’s Meat Free (chicken-style) nuggets*
Energy (calories) 237.5 321
Protein (g) 10.6 10
Fat (g) 13.9 22
-of which saturated (g)
2.7 3
Carbohydrate (g) 17.6 14.7
Dietary Fibre (g) 0 5.8
Sodium (mg) 545.5 669
Meat Re-Imagined
Processing Technology
Despite significant product innovation
in the category of plant-based meat
alternatives, processing innovation
remains limited and would benefit from
significant efficiency and quality-control
improvements. Many plant-based
meat alternatives are produced via
extruders – machines that apply heat
and mechanical shear stress to coax
plant proteins into desired textures such
as aligned fibers. Though extruders
have proved valuable in the production
of plant-based meat alternatives, they
were initially designed for – and are still
used to produce – various non-food
products, as well as dried foodstuffs such
as breakfast cereals and pasta. Very few
design improvements have been made
to optimise extruders for the purpose of
plant-based meat production, which has
unique requirements. Other lower-tech
methods of production, like mixing and
press-forming, simply require optimisation
and automation for greater throughput.
Couette Cell (also known as shear-cell)
technology, researched as part of a public-
private partnership in the Netherlands,
is among the most novel approaches
to the production of plant-based meat
alternatives.81 Using a shearing approach,
as opposed to the application of heat and
pressure, the Couette Cell is more energy
efficient and results in a plant-based meat
alternative with a steak-like texture.82
Protein Discovery and Characterisation
The vast majority of plant proteins have
not yet been examined for their potential
use in plant-based meat alternatives,84
and it is impossible to quantify the
potential applications of plants that are
not commonly used in today’s food
supply. Alternative protein company JUST
(formerly know as Hampton Creek), has
stated that it is using its robotics platform
to screen thousands of plant species
for protein characterisation, and has
promised to share this information in
the form of a public database at a later
date.85 However, the timeline and relative
success of this project remains unclear.
Given the sizeable potential benefits
of new protein discovery, additional
research efforts are needed.
Challenges, Opportunities & Risks
There are thousands of plant proteins in the world, and many of them have yet to be explored for use in the production of meat alternatives. Current investigations of the world’s vast array of plant proteins could fundamentally reshape our food supply for the better.” 83
– Bill Gates
The rise of plant-based meat alternatives
presents opportunities for conventional
agriculture through increased demand
for more specialised crops, for example,
Canadian yellow pea protein,86 which is
used by both Beyond Meat and Sunfed.
Good Catch’s fish-free tuna incorporates
six types of plant proteins to achieve
a tuna-like texture and high nutrient
content.87 These examples illustrate
a critical benefit of plant-based meat
alternatives: innovation in this sector
supports the creation of new value
throughout the supply chain and could
encourage crop diversity, soil health
preservation, and promote new business
opportunities for farmers.
22Plant-Based Meat Alternatives
Plant-Based Meat Alternatives as Ingredients
Significant opportunity exists in marketing plant-based meat
alternatives as ingredients, as opposed to creating branded,
standalone products. Such partnerships are increasing in
popularity in the plant-based sector, where soy and nut-
based cheese companies are selling products to brands that
specialise in pre-packaged pizzas and pasta dishes.
Given the rise in popularity of convenience options, companies
producing plant-based meat alternatives could find significant
additional revenue streams by supplying buyers in the frozen-
food and institutional foodservice markets.88 One company
taking this approach is Hungry Planet, whose range of plant-
based burgers, chicken and sausage is used in restaurants
such as Mesa Burger, and is available to chefs in bulk
commercial quantities.
Regulatory Status
Many major players in the conventional meat industry are
seeking to capitalise on the trend toward plant-based protein
consumption. Tyson Foods, for example, has re-positioned
itself as a protein company, rather than a meat company – a
subtle shift that marks a big change in approach.89
While some businesses see opportunity, other industry
incumbents view the emergence of plant-based meats as
a competitive threat, and are actively seeking regulation in
favour of the status quo. Some countries have seen efforts to
ban the use of the term ‘meat’ and related sub-categories in
the labeling and marketing of plant-based meat alternatives.90
While it’s unclear what effect this will have on consumers’
willingness and ability to purchase these products, this early
push-back could foreshadow stronger resistance led by some
conventional meat industry groups.
Meat Re-Imagined
CELL-BASED MEAT
background
Advances in cell-culturing technology have made it possible to grow meat directly from cells, obviating the need to breed, feed and kill animals. This emerging field is known as cellular agriculture. Cell-based meat, also referred to as ‘clean meat’ due to its environmental and food safety benefits, has emerged as a potential solution to meet the world’s growing protein demands.
Cell-based meatball produced by Memphis Meats in 2016
Cell-based meat involves taking a small sample of animal cells
and housing them in a bioreactor – also known as a cultivator
– where the sample is fed a mixture of nutrients and signaling
proteins, causing cells to grow and divide. The process mimics
that of growing flesh on an animal, but removes the need for a
live animal to produce the desired end-product.
In 2005, NASA conducted initial investigations into the feasibility
of cell-based meat as a way to feed astronauts on long-haul
spaceflights, providing funding to culture turkey muscle cells in-
vitro.1 Researchers immediately saw the technology’s potential
to alleviate food supply and safety issues on Earth.2
While this technology has only recently become a reality and is
still not commercialised, its rapid development has caught the
eyes of governments, business and environmentalists around
the world.
24Cell-Based Meat
In 2013, Professor Mark Post of Maastricht University captured the public’s interest at a London press conference, where he unveiled the world’s first beef burger created without killing cattle.3
Commercial Market & Prototypes
Taking his project out of academia, Post launched Mosa Meats, courted millions in
funding and reduced production costs considerably from an estimated A$400,000
prototype to an anticipated A$15 once at industrial scale, with plans to reduce costs
further to the price of conventional supermarket burgers in the next decade.4
As the prospect of cell-based meat moves from hypothetical to commercially viable,
Mosa Meats has been joined by more than 20 cell-based meat companies globally,
including Memphis Meats in the U.S., SuperMeat in Israel, Higher Steaks in the
UK, Shiok Meats in Singapore and Meatable in the Netherlands. Meanwhile, other
companies are using cell-culturing technology to produce different animal products,
from egg whites (Clara Foods), to dairy (Perfect Day) to gelatin (Geltor).
Several companies have developed prototypes of cell-based meat since Post’s
burger. Memphis Meats has produced prototypes of meatballs and poultry products,5
Finless Foods has prototyped cell-based tuna croquettes,6 and New Age Meats
launched cell-based pork sausage prototypes to journalists and potential investors
in September 2018.7 JUST has also given journalists samples of its cell-based chicken
nugget prototype.8
Examples:
Meat Re-Imagined
Future predictions:
With technological advancements and production efficiency gains, the cost of producing cell-based meat has continued to fall,9 with some predictions of a high-end product being available on the market as early as 2020.10 Some cell-based meat companies aim to be cost competitive with conventional meat in supermarkets within five to 10 years.
Date Product Company (Location)
Cost (AUD) per kilogram unless otherwise stated
202017 Minced Meat
Future Meat Technologies (Israel)
$7-14
Prediction – near future18
Minced Meat
JUST (USA) Within 30% of price of conventional meat
Prediction – when scaled to industrial size19
Beef Patty Mosa Meats (Netherlands)
$14.24/burger
Prediction – unspecified20
Pork Sausage
New Age Meats (USA)
$7/sausage
Prediction – next decade21
Beef Patty Mosa Meats (Netherlands)
$1.60/patty
costs
Figure 6. Declining production costs for cell-based meat.
Date Product Company (Location)
Cost (AUD) per kilogram unless otherwise stated
201311 Beef Patty Mosa Meats (Netherlands)
$3.2M
March, 201712 Southern Fried Chicken
Memphis Meats (USA)
$27,000
March, 201713 Duck à l’orange
Memphis Meats (USA)
$27,000
Mid-201814 Minced Meat
Memphis Meats (USA)
$6,000
May 201815 Minced Meat
Future Meat Technologies (Israel)
$1,122
October 201816
Pork Sausage
New Age Meats (USA)
$303/sausage
Memphis Meats, San Francisco
26Cell-Based Meat
Like their plant-based counterparts, cell-based meat companies have rapidly attracted attention from major investors including conventional meat corporations, high-profile investors such as Richard Branson, and tech moguls including Google co-founder Sergey Brin – who funded the very first cell-based burger.22
Modern Meadow
Perfect Day
Geltor
Memphis Meats
Mosa Meats
Finless Foods
Meatable
Clara Foods
Future Meat Technology
New Age Meats
$0 $50M$25M
$53.5M
$40M
$23M
$20M
$8.8M
$6.7M
$3.5M
$3.5M
$2.2M
$0.25M
Investment
If we can grow the meat without the animal, why wouldn’t we?”– Tom Hayes, former CEO, Tyson Foods
Figure 7. Capital raised by dedicated cellular agriculture companies (USD).
Source: Crunchbase.com
Memphis Meats, one of the best-known
start-ups in the sector, has received
US$20 million in total funding from Cargill
and Tyson Foods, DFJ, Bill Gates, Kimbal
Musk, and others.23 JUST, which began as
a plant-protein company and which has
raised more than US$220 million from an
investor pool including Khosla Ventures,
Eduardo Saverin (Facebook co-founder),
Marc Benioff (Salesforce founder), and
Hong Kong business magnate Li-Ka-shing,
announced its expansion into cell-based
meat in 2017.24
Conventional meat companies,
observing the confluence of technology
and consumer sentiment, have been
incentivised to participate in the
transformation of the protein industry,
rather than risk being disrupted by
outside competition. PHW-Gruppe, one
of Europe’s largest poultry producers,
invested in Israeli cell-based meat start-up
SuperMeat and made it clear that they
intended to partner with SuperMeat on
research, development and strategic
product positioning.25 Multinational life
science industry leaders such as Merck
KGaA, through its investment in Mosa
Meats, are also demonstrating interest.26
Given the nascent stage of the industry,
investment in cell-based meat is a high-
risk, high-reward proposition.
Governments are also buying in.
Singapore – with its confined geography,
heavy reliance on food imports and
focus on food security – has pledged
nearly US$14 billion for research and
development.27 In February 2019, the
Maharashtra government in Western India
announced it was establishing a centre
for excellence in cellular agriculture, set to
be the “world’s first dedicated centre on
cellular agriculture” in order to promote
research, development and production of
cell-based meat.28
Meat Re-Imagined
Producing cell-based meat requires four critical technologies: cell lines, culture medium (also called nutrient medium or feed), scaffolding and bioreactors (also called cultivators). These components are at various degrees of development, and none are yet fully optimised for industrial-scale production of cell-based meat.
Phase 2:Tissue PerfusionA change in culture conditions pushes the cells to di�erentiate into muscle, fat, and connective tissue.
Phase 1:Cell ProliferationThe cells are added to a bioreactor along with cell culture media, which causes the cells to proliferate.
Cell Line DerivationA small sample of cells is obtained from an animal.
Cell Starter Culture Cells at MaturationPrimarily muscle, fat, and connective tissue.
Fat Cell
Muscle Cell
FibroblastCell
Sca�olding
Final Product
Medium recycling
Figure 8. Cell-based meat production process.
Source: The Good Food Institute.
Cell Lines
Cell lines provide the species-specific starter material for
cell-based meat. While cells can be isolated from samples
from animals in an essentially painless procedure, the
proliferative potential of most adult-derived cells is small; they
can typically only divide about 20 to 50 times, depending
on the cell type.29,30 While these adult cells may be suitable
for some products and processes, many companies are
developing immortalised cell lines that can proliferate
indefinitely. Immortalisation can be achieved through genetic
modification; however, some pluripotent and multipotent stem
cells – cells that can grow and differentiate into all of the
cell types required for meat – already exhibit this capacity.31
Developing, maintaining, and storing these cell lines may
become a vertically integrated aspect of cell-based meat
production, or it could be outsourced to third-party partners.
Culture Medium
The cell culture medium contains the nutrients that the cells
metabolise to support their growth (including amino acids,
sugars and vitamins), as well as components that maintain a
stable osmolarity and pH. It also contains a suite of signaling
proteins called growth factors that provide instructions to
guide the cells. For example, to encourage proliferation or
to trigger differentiation down pathways to mature into the
desired final cell types (muscle, fat, connective tissue, etc.).
The cost of most cell culture media is currently very high
as animal cell culture has traditionally been used for high-
cost applications like biomedical research, cell therapies
and biopharmaceutical therapeutics. Thus, it has not been
subjected to the cost constraints of the food industry, nor has
it been specifically optimised to support the growth of the cell
types and species that are relevant for cell-based meat.
Production Overview
28Cell-Based Meat
Growth factors are currently the major cost drivers of cell-based
meat, and present the greatest opportunity for cost reduction.
Historically, growth factors have been most easily obtained
through fetal bovine serum (FBS), which is a byproduct of meat
processing. FBS has batch consistency problems, is the main
contributor to the costliness of growth media, and is in short
supply. Ethical issues also arise through the extraction method for
those working to create cell-based meat production, where the
aim is to remove animals from the process entirely.32 Cell-based
meat companies have stated their commitment to replacing this
input with an animal-origin-free alternative.33
Future Meat Technologies, based in Israel, uses a serum-free
process that cleans and recycles their media, which is important
as it constitutes their largest expense.34 Mosa Meats, who say
media comprises 80 percent of production cost,35 have developed
a working serum-free medium, but indicate that it still requires
optimisation.36 Israeli start-up Aleph Farms has also developed
an animal-friendly alternative to FBS.37 Meatable, a relatively new
Dutch start-up, has developed a bovine pluripotent stem cell line
that does not require FBS and will proliferate indefinitely.38
Animal-origin-free media are available in the biomedical industry,
but they are currently cost-prohibitive in the context of food
production. Despite this fact, cross-industry collaboration is
already ameliorating concerns that affordable, meat-optimised
growth media will pose obstacles,39 with projections suggesting
that growth media could be made significantly less expensive
through scaled production and research into cost-effective
growth factors.40 One of the few analyses of media that focuses
specifically on cell-based meat production concluded that,
despite the engineering and biological challenges involved in
reducing the cost of media and removing animal components,
none of these challenges will require wholly novel inventions or
‘moonshot’ technological breakthroughs.41
As the primary input of cell-based meat, successfully reducing the
cost of growth media will be essential for economic viability.
Scaffolding
Scaffolding is a physical support structure that allows cells to
adhere to it as they differentiate into the necessary cell types
and spatial arrangement to create the familiar look and texture of
popular cuts of meat.
There are two primary approaches to creating cell-based meat
scaffolds. The first is to use an edible, food-grade, taste-neutral
material that can be consumed along with the final product.
Research is presently underway to refine existing examples such
as alginate, an algal derived polysaccharide currently used as a
gum in the food industry, and develop new materials. The second
is to use biodegradable materials that the cells will break down
as they grow and create their own self-made scaffold called the
extracellular matrix.42
While scaffolding is important for replicating cuts of meat that
require high textural variation such as a marbled steak, complex
scaffolding is not necessarily required for all cell-based meat
products. Many popular conventional meat products get their
texture from downstream processing, such as the formation
of chicken patties, minced beef or sausages. As long as the
necessary muscle, fat and connective tissue are present in
sufficient quantities, these products can be created without
significant scaffolding innovation.
Bioreactors
Bioreactors, which are commonly referred to as ‘cultivators’
within the industry, are the proverbial barns for cell-based meat
production. Bioreactors are the closed systems wherein the cells
are maintained at optimal conditions to support high-efficiency
proliferation and differentiation. While a variety of bioreactors
have been designed to mimic the natural growth environment
for various cell types, including a scalable modular bioreactor
prototype funded by New Harvest,43 none have yet been
optimised for mass cell-based meat production.
At scale, novel problems may arise, such as oxygenation and
recycling of growth media. Additionally, engineers must develop
a method for continuous – as opposed to batch – processing to
ensure maximum time and cost efficiency.
Scaling up production from working models of tissue-growth in
the biomedical industry to low-cost commercial food production
in bioreactors remains a hurdle to large-scale cell-based meat
production, however advances are being made. Notable
advances include the development of a method to cultivate cells
on beads in suspension within bioreactors called microcarriers.44
Meatable claims to have made progress developing technology
to overcome scalability issues – including establishing cells
that do not require surface attachment in the initial proliferative
stage – and is working on the development of an animal-free
edible or biodegradable scaffolding material.45 Meanwhile, Israel-
based Aleph Farms has developed a three-dimensional process
incorporating the four elements of meat (muscle, fat, connective
tissue and blood vessels).46
Meat Re-Imagined
At scale, cell-based meat is projected to require significantly less land and water than feeding and raising cattle. Initial lifecycle analyses have shown that cell-based meat could require as little as 1 percent of the land that meat production requires today.47
Study 1: Tuomisto & Mattos 201150
Study 2: Tuomisto & Roy 201251
Study 3: Tuomisto, Ellis & Haastrup 201452
Figure 9. Environmental impact comparisons with conventional beef. Figures based on European production systems.
Land use
Water use
GHG Emissions(CO2 eq/KG)
82-96%less water
99%less land
78-96%Less emissions
94%less water
99.7%less land
98.8%Less emissions
48%less water
94%less land
95%Less emissions
The results of a recent study from the
University of Oxford,48 modelling potential
climatic impacts of cell-based meat versus
conventional beef cattle systems, were
released in February 2019. This study
highlighted the difficulties in making such
predictions in the absence of accurate
life cycle assessments for scaled up
cell-based meat production, as well as
the importance of utilising decarbonised
energy sources to power facilities and
transportation. However, even without an
almost inevitable transition to renewable
energy, and assuming no new efficiencies
with scaling up of cell-based meat, the
benefits across all models in the study
were strongly in favour of cell-based meat
for the first 100 years.49
While creating the same, or potentially
improved, sources of protein with markedly
fewer resources, cell-based meat frees up
some non-rangeland arable land to grow
crops for human consumption, as opposed
to growing crops for animal feed. This has
the potential to compound the positive
impacts on food system productivity and
food security.
Environmental Impact
East Gippsland, Victoria, Australia
Meat Re-Imagined
Cell-based meat, essentially the same as conventional meat at the cellular level, provides an opportunity to produce a protein with identical levels of amino acids and micronutrients as conventional meat.
There is potential to tailor the fat profile and quantity of cell-
based meats53 or to enrich it with essential micronutrients
such as vitamin B1254 – provided these are supplied in the
growth medium. Professor Mark Post of Mosa Meats claims the
company can produce cell-based meat containing omega-3 fatty
acids and other healthy fats.55 While the nutritional profile of cell-
based meat could be enhanced, it is identical to conventional
meat on a cellular level, meaning that it will likely present similar
health implications to those posed by conventional meat.
Through the environmental and hygiene control of production
facilities, cell-based meat will be free of many issues that
plague conventional animal agriculture, including bacterial
contamination and widespread antibiotic use.56,57 Cell-based
meat does not require the antibiotics used in some forms of
livestock farming, similarly obviating the need for abattoirs, and
avoiding the potential for contamination from faecal matter,
E.coli, Salmonella enterica, Campylobacter spp. and other
common contaminants in conventional meat.58
Animals have biological limits, and manipulating these limits is a source of constant interest and risk within the conventional meat industry.
Despite selective breeding and genetic modification to produce
fast-growing animals, and the use of antibiotics to keep animals
alive in highly confined conditions, there are limitations to the
volume of meat an animal can produce and the number of
animals that can be fed and raised on a given tract of land.
As global demand for meat increases, conventional animal
agriculture is hitting the limits of its productive feasibility.
Cell-based meat is a tech-driven response to the risks of
conventional animal agriculture that, if scaled successfully, could
address a number of the negative consequences of conventional
meat production.
Processing Technology
Significant hurdles remain to scaling production and achieving
price parity with conventional meat. Many of the technologies
crucial to cell-based meat production are not yet optimised for
commercial scale and require engineering advances to enable
competition with conventional meat and its current production
methods. It should be acknowledged that while notable
advances have been made in recent years, the cell-based meat
industry has yet to benefit from the significant government-
funded research and development seen in earlier emerging
sectors, such as biopharmaceuticals, green chemistry and
biotechnology. The nascent stage of cell-based meat technology
leaves significant opportunity for further advancement and
capitalisation as the sector matures.
Regulatory Status
The question of cell-based meat regulation has drawn significant
interest in the United States, where discussions concerning
primary oversight and nomenclature are ongoing. It is currently
envisaged that responsibility for regulation will be jointly shared
between the Food and Drug Administration and the United States
Department of Agriculture, though the specifics of how this
arrangement will work in practise are still unclear.59 The question
of oversight is linked to a deeper regulatory complication, as
meat regulation today is predicated on animal slaughter.60 As
such, pre-existing pathways may prove insufficient to regulate
cell-based meat before it enters the consumer market.
The U.S. government has given strong signals that they wish
to streamline the regulation of cell-based meat in order to
Health & Nutrition
Challenges, Opportunities & Risks
32Cell-Based Meat
become market leaders. The U.S. Secretary of Agriculture told
the Wall Street Journal in November 2018; “we don’t want this
new technology to feel like they’ve got to go offshore or outside
the United States to get a fair regulatory protocol.”61 The meat
industry, on the other hand, is split. Some major producers –
including Tyson Foods and Cargill – have invested in cell-based
meat companies, while other industry groups such as the National
Cattlemen’s Beef Association (NCBA) are lobbying to bar cell-
based meat companies from labeling their products as meat.62
The split is occurring primarily between the poultry and pork
industries – which are highly vertically integrated and tend to
embrace technology-driven efficiency advances – and the cattle
industry – which is less consolidated and more defensive of its
independent operators.
Closer to home, the Agri-Food & Veterinary Authority of Singapore
(AVA) has engaged with the cell-based meat industry since its
early days, reflecting a high level of interest in fast-tracking
regulatory pathways.63
Consumer Perceptions
Even with adequate funding for scale-up and a favourable regulatory
environment, consumer education may be required in advance of
market entry for cell-based meat to be widely accepted. While cell-
based meat has the potential to deliver significant benefits relating
to sustainability and food safety, and has the potential for improved
nutrition and taste, it’s unclear whether consumers will embrace the
products. Perceptions of unnaturalness and fear of unfamiliar foods
could compromise adoption.64
Surveys of consumers show mixed interest, and vary greatly
depending on the descriptors used and information provided. A
Pew Research study of approximately 1000 U.S. adults found that
20 percent of respondents would “eat meat that was grown in a
lab” – a considerable number given the lack of context.65 A 2013
poll in the Netherlands explained that cell-based meat would have
the same flavour, texture and nutritional value as conventionally
produced meat, and 70 percent of the poll’s 1000 respondents
said that they would try it.66
A joint poll by Faunalytics and U.S.-based non-profit organisation
The Good Food Institute (GFI) tested different positive messaging
for cell-based meat, as well as negative messaging related
to conventional meat. When given information about the
use of antibiotics in conventional animal agriculture and the
unnatural rate of growth for modern farm animals, nearly half of
respondents reported that they would try cell-based meat and
be willing to pay a premium for it.67 In addition, a 2013 Belgian
poll of 180 adults found that only 9 percent rejected the idea
of trying cell-based meat, with evidence of significant gains in
acceptance following the provision of educational materials on
the environmental benefits of cell-based meat over conventional
meat production.68 In 2019, GFI will partner with research firm
Mattson to conduct research on nomenclature and messaging for
optimal consumer perception.69
Egg, dairy, gelatine
Alongside cell-based meat, some companies are developing
other animal-derived proteins including acellular alternatives
to conventional dairy, eggs, and gelatine.
Acellular production focuses on creating animal proteins
through a non-animal product host, rather than by growing
animal cells. The process is akin to that of fermenting beer.
Similar to yeast in brewing tanks which feed on sugars to
produce alcohol, microbes (including yeast) can be used to
produce proteins. These proteins can, in turn, be used to
create products much closer to a conventional equivalent
than to a wholly plant-based product.70
While acellular production appears novel, it is already used to
produce food products such as rennet, a common ingredient
in cheesemaking, as well as medical products like insulin.71
Additionally, it can be used to optimise animal proteins in
a way that cannot be done through conventional methods,
such as increasing the binding and emulsification abilities of
egg proteins72 or removing lactose from dairy products.73
Several companies are utilising acellular protein production
in prototype and proof-of-concept stages, including Clara
Foods’ non-animal egg-whites and egg proteins for other
functional uses.74 Perfect Day has created cell-based dairy
products,75 and Geltor has created non-animal collagen that
can be used in food, medicine and cosmetics.76 Perhaps most
notably, plant-based meat company Impossible Foods is using
an acellular process to produce the iron-containing molecule
heme, found within the plant-based leghemoglobin protein,
giving its burgers a ‘bloody’ appearance and flavour.77
In 2018, Singaporean state-owned investment firm Temasek
led a US$24.7 million series A funding round in cell-based
dairy company, Perfect Day,78 followed by an additional
US$34.8 million series B funding in February 2019,79
demonstrating confidence in the ability of the company to
scale and commercialise.
Meat Re-Imagined
U.S.-based Better Meat Co is a business-
to-business supplier of plant protein
blends to institutional food service
providers and meat processors.7 The
company’s blends are designed to be
incorporated into products like meatballs,
sausages, fish sticks, chicken nuggets,
burgers or other ground meats, and are
the result of significant R&D efforts to
match flavour and texture profiles of these
specific meat products.8
Australian company Perfectly Balanced
sells blended products including meatballs
with kale and sweet potato, sausages with
carrots and herbs and burgers with semi-
dried tomato and basil, at Woolworths.5
While these blends do not represent a
significant technological advancement
in terms of protein characterisation or
optimisation, they appeal to a growing
number of health-conscious and
sustainability-minded consumers.6
HYBRIDS
Hybrid meats that incorporate mushrooms and other plant-based ingredients are already familiar to consumers, and are relatively simple to produce at both home and at commercial scale.2
Advances in plant protein characterisation and processing
technology are making it possible to increase the ratio of
blending ingredients to conventional meat in popular foods
without compromising taste and texture.3 As a result, an
increasing number of companies are offering these products in
both retail and restaurant environments. As consumer demand
and industrial production increase, the cost of plant-based
hybrids is anticipated to decrease relative to conventional meat.4
Examples:
Hybrid meat products occupy a middle ground between conventional meat and their alternative counterparts, enabling a reduction of conventional meat consumption without a significant shift in consumer behaviour. While the conventional meat industry already makes use of fillers and extenders,1 technological advances in plant-based meat, cell-based meat, and insect protein production offer new ingredients to add flavour, texture, and protein to familiar dishes.
Jackfruit and cell-based turkey nugget created by Marie Gibbons
Plant-Based Blends
34Hybrids
U.S.–based researcher Marie Gibbons
produced a cell-based turkey nugget
blended with jackfruit at North Carolina
State University. The jackfruit not only
added texture to the final product, it
was also used as scaffolding for cell
proliferation during development.9
Insect-based blends
Cell-based blends
Insect-based ingredients are primarily used in products like muffins, pasta and nutrition bars, although a small number of companies are beginning to incorporate them with conventional meat or plants, to present the insect component in a more familiar format.
While there are few examples of insect-meat blends, researchers
are currently investigating approaches to develop such products.11
With Western consumers generally reluctant to eat insects due to
food and cultural norms,12 manufacturers are increasingly focusing
on producing protein-rich insect flours and powders instead of
offering whole insects. Investment in insects as meat alternatives
has been limited due to functionality limitations, scale-up
challenges and low consumer acceptance.13,14
Examples:
Given the significant cost of producing cell-based meat today, it is possible that the earliest commercially available products will be blended with plant proteins.
Such products would not only significantly reduce costs compared
to fully cell-based products, but may additionally serve as an
introductory format to gauge consumer acceptance and increase
consumer education.
Examples:
Spanish start-up Cubiq Foods is
developing animal fats through cell-
culturing techniques. It is anticipated
that these products will eventually be
incorporated into plant-based meat
alternatives to provide specific flavour and
functional benefits of animal fats that are
difficult to replicate with plant sources.10
Swiss start-up Essento incorporates a
variety of grains, pulses and vegetables
into its mealworm-based ‘meatballs’ and
burgers, sold at the country’s second-
largest supermarket chain, Coop.15
Edible Bug Shop, based in Sydney,
focuses on crickets, mealworms and ants
for human consumption.16 The company is
exploring methods of incorporating insects
into conventional meat products.
Meat Re-Imagined
PROSPECTS FOR AUSTRALIA
The emerging alternative proteins sector presents a significant opportunity to diversify global food production. Markets in Europe, Israel, the U.S. and Asia are vying for supremacy, however, Australia has a window of opportunity to become a first-mover, harness its expertise and infrastructure, and become highly competitive as the industry scales up.
Millions of Australians are seeking out
more plant-based foods.1,2 Australia
is one of the fastest growing markets
in the world for plant-based products,
with a projected compound annual growth rate of 9.6
percent.3 To meet this demand, an increasing number
of plant-based products – from plant-based meat
alternatives to plant-based milks – are becoming
widely available to consumers in supermarkets,4
restaurants and cafes.5
A considerable number of the plant-based meat
alternatives currently available in the Australian
market are imported. A significant opportunity
exists to satisfy this demand with locally produced
products, made with Australian-grown ingredients.
More Australian investment in product innovation
will incentivise businesses to cater to this growing
demand, and offer consumers a greater variety of
protein options that satisfy their hunger for healthier,
more sustainable foods in familiar forms.
Items that were once relegated to the far-corners of
grocery stores, and reserved for those with allergies
or dietary restrictions, are rapidly increasing in
popularity and market share. The rising consumer
demand for plant-based milks in the U.S. provides
an instructive case study. Demand in the U.S. has
propelled plant-based milks to 13 percent of sales
in the fluid milk and dairy alternatives market,6
with plant-based milks catering to an increasingly
broad cross section of consumers interested in
differentiated products, utility and nutritional qualities.7
Consumers
36Prospects For Australia
BUSINESs
Australia offers a wealth of advantages to
international alternative protein businesses
and local start-ups seeking to establish an
Asia Pacific base of operations. Australia’s
secure, stable regulatory environment, good
governance, strong intellectual property laws, access to
finance and support for small businesses8 provides an ideal
platform for new enterprise.
Australia is a globally integrated economy in its 27th year of
uninterrupted economic growth, with deep links into dynamic
Asian economies through established supply chains,
including the largest economies in the world such as Japan
and China, Australia’s largest two-way trading partner.9
Australia’s food manufacturing sector includes well over
5,00010 registered food and processing manufacturing
facilities, mostly concentrated in the eastern states of
Victoria, Queensland and New South Wales.11 A recent
Australian Government report found that Australian
manufacturers and processors have particular experience
producing specialty processed foods that meet flavour
(e.g. European and Asian tastes), convenience (e.g. ready-
to-serve), nutritional benefits (e.g. salt/fat/sugar reduced)
and functionality (e.g. probiotics) requirements.12 These
same requirements have been an area of focus for R&D of
plant-based and cell-based meats, meaning Australia is well
placed to develop and manufacture such products.
The potential national economic benefits of embracing
protein innovation are far-reaching, including job creation
through manufacturing and distribution to research and
marketing. Critically, these benefits are not limited to
new market entrants, but present collaborative growth
opportunities with established industries, particularly in the
grain, pulse, manufacturing and life sciences sectors.
Alternative protein businesses can leverage Australia’s
strong development, manufacturing and export base,
including partnering with existing conventional meat
exporters through new cooperative ventures to become
a leader in the regional alternative protein market. This
enables international alternative protein businesses to
establish Australian manufacturing facilities to access
Asian markets, as well as provide an avenue for Australian
start-ups to access existing supply chains. In addition, as
an advanced and sophisticated consumer market with
high food standards, a high degree of ethnic diversity and
a demonstrated consumer willingness to embrace novel
products, Australia offers an ideal location for international
Someone in the industry is showing initiative … so I take my hat off to them. I don’t care that it’s not traditional mince at all, and I don’t think they do either as a meat company.”– Rod Slater, Chief Executive, Beef+Lamb NZ
alternative protein companies seeking to test new products
in overseas markets.
With regional economies such as China increasingly
focusing on alternative proteins,13,14 the opportunity for
international cooperation, co-development of technology
and the creation of new trade partnerships arises.
Internationally, fresh competition is driving an uptick of in-
house innovation in alternative protein products. Blue-chip
international brand Kraft Heinz launched Springboard, an
incubator and accelerator program to identify disruptive
food start-ups, including start-ups focused on developing
plant-based proteins.15 To keep pace with their international
counterparts, Australian food and biotech companies
should invest in alternative protein development and the
infrastructure that facilitates their availability and supply.
In neighbouring New Zealand, The Craft Meat Co., owned
by conventional meat company Fisher Meat, launched
a plant-based mince which was praised by the CEO of
Beef+Lamb NZ as a show of initiative.16,17
Meat Re-Imagined
Science & Technology
Australia is a world leader in research
and development (R&D), with an annual
expenditure of A$31 billion, or 1.9 percent
percent of GDP.32 It ranks fifth globally
for biotechnology innovation,33 despite
having only 0.3 percent of the world’s population.34
Business expenditure on R&D reached A$16.7 billion
in 2015-16, with Australian businesses investing over
A$200 million a year in agribusiness R&D, and over
A$700 million in food manufacturing R&D.35,36 The
government provides A$800 million in funding to its own
innovation research centre, the Commonwealth Scientific
and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), which
contributes R&D for practical industry implementation,
such as new processing technology.37 The 2018 Budget
also committed A$1.9 billion to invest in research
infrastructure to support continued STEM innovation.38
Additionally, Australia boasts 43 accredited universities,
with seven in the top 100 globally.39,40 These institutions
are known for their exceptional work in tech and
R&D, partnering with government and the private
sector to develop new innovations.41 For example, the
development of a natural food preservative from native
Kakadu Plum extracts that extends product shelf life by
up to 18 months.42
Australia has at least 17 research institutions that produce
work directly relevant to the research and development
of cell-based meats, including in the fields of stem cell
research and regenerative medicine, tissue engineering,
bioprocess engineering, and food science and product
development.43 Australia also boasts one of the largest
regenerative medicine research facilities in the world,
the Australian Regenerative Medicine Institute at Monash
University in Melbourne.44
Australia is home to at least 32 research centres that
produce work directly relevant to R&D for plant-based
meat alternatives, including in plant genetics and
molecular biology, crop science and production, and
food science and product development.45 Australia
also houses 15 Rural Research and Development
Corporations (RDCs) – government supported bodies
that fund research for rural industries. These partnerships
provided A$750 million for agricultural R&D in 2017-18.46
Australia’s wealth of relevant research capabilities offers
a conducive environment for businesses to pursue
original R&D in alternative proteins.
Agriculture
With global food demand expected
to soar in the coming decades,18
alternative proteins represent a
complementary upstream value add
to Australia’s current A$58 billion
agriculture sector.19 Plant-based meats produced in
Australia with Australian-grown inputs provide a new
market for Australian farmers, generating additional
value in an agricultural supply chain already
supporting 1.6 million Australian jobs.20
Agricultural businesses occupy 51 percent of
Australia’s landmass, with agriculture utilising 393
million hectares of land, of which 87 percent is used
for grazing.21 Crop production is a A$33.6 billion
industry, accounting for 54.5 percent of Australia’s
total value of agricultural output,22 with crops
including grains, nuts, fruits, vegetables and legumes
offering a reliable supply of primary inputs.23
Current plant-based meat products are largely
comprised of protein from pulses and grains,
presenting a new supply opportunity for farmers.
Australia grows over 2 million tonnes of pulses,
averaging just under 10 percent of the country’s crop
area.24 Chickpeas total 31.7 percent, followed by
lupins, field peas and others including faba beans,
lentils, mung beans and navy beans.25 Australia also
produces 50 million tonnes of coarse grain, rice
and wheat crops annually, with wheat accounting
for 64 percent, followed by barley, oats, sorghum
and others.26 Vegetables totalled 3.5 million tonnes,
worth A$4.29 billion for the year ending June 2017.27
All commercially grown crops are non-genetically
modified, and certified organic varieties are
available.28,29,30 Strict pest and disease controls, and a
wide climatic range ensures that a reliable source of
fresh, quality products are accessible year-round.
Growing greater volumes of nitrogen-fixing crops
such a pulses has the dual benefit of supporting
the long-term health and productive capacity of
Australia’s soil and water resources,31 as well as
the profitability and stability of its rural economy.
Alternative proteins can form part of the new
narrative of Australian food production, providing
opportunities for farmers through demand for new
crop varieties and primary inputs, and opportunities
for rural communities across the supply chain.
38Prospects For Australia
Policy & Regulation
Government funding
With the decline of major economic
sectors such as mining47 and
automotive manufacturing,48 the
Australian Government has focused on rebalancing
the economy, investing in technology and innovation-
led sectors, and galvanising long-standing pillars of
the Australian economy such as agriculture.49
The Australian Government could encourage
local innovation in alternative protein R&D and
production by allocating greater tax and funding
incentives to these fields. This would entice local
and international innovators to leverage Australia’s
expertise and infrastructure to pursue their business
efforts in-country.
Nomenclature
It is crucial that Australia’s labelling regulations
support consumers to understand new alternative
protein products, and to navigate supermarket
shelves with ease.
Producers of plant-based meat alternatives generally
use common, familiar terms, such as ‘sausages’,
together with qualifiers such as ‘plant-based’, so
consumers can easily understand the utility of new
products while making their plant-based composition
clear. Some industry incumbents, are advocating
to ban or restrict terminology traditionally used
to describe conventional meat and conventional
dairy products,50,51 citing concerns about consumer
confusion between conventional animal products
and their plant-based counterparts. Regulators must
consider whether restricting well-understood terms in
Australia could have unintended consequences, such
as manufacturers being forced to concoct unknown,
contrived terminology that consumers might struggle
to interpret.
Restrictive labelling may have the additional
unintended consequence of deterring international
plant-based meat manufacturers from establishing
production and export operations in Australia.
Restricting the product terminology these brands
already successfully use across the world would
only serve to diminish Australia’s natural competitive
advantages over other markets.
Cell-based meat regulation
Australia’s labelling debate reflects a broader need for
proactive regulatory policy as it relates to cell-based meat.
With leading international meat companies such as Cargill
and Tyson Foods investing in cell-based meat technology,
the question is when – not if – cell-based meat will be
commercialised and available for purchase alongside
conventional meat. When that time comes, Australia will
require a robust and appropriate regulatory framework that
is evidence-based and provides clarity for consumers.
EXPORTS
Australia has a well-deserved
reputation for quality and safety,
supplying some of the world’s best
food and beverages. Local and
international food producers have the opportunity to
leverage this reputation to export alternative proteins.
Food safety and security is a high priority in major
Australian export markets such as China, which
recently grew to Australia’s second largest trading
partner in the food and grocery sector. Chinese
consumers are increasingly demanding “fresher foods
of higher quality with a stronger safety record”52 –
foods that Australia continues to supply.
As the country’s number one food and grocery
export,53 the Australian conventional meat industry
could leverage its production expertise and
distribution channels to fast-track the growth of
Australian-made alternative proteins into export
markets, similar to Tyson Foods’ investment in
alternative proteins.54
Countries across the Asia Pacific continue to
demonstrate a strong appetite for plant-based products,
with new vegetarian and vegan product launches in
South East Asia between 2012 and 2016 increasing
by 140 percent and 440 percent respectively.55 The
combination of positive consumer sentiment towards
Australian products, lack of existing alternative protein
exports, growing demand for healthier, sustainable
options in Asian markets and increased investment in
new protein options, presents an immediate export
opportunity for Australian-made alternative proteins
as an extension of the meat category.
Meat Re-Imagined
CONCLUSION
Intensive animal agriculture was enabled by technological innovation, and now technological innovation is responding to market demands by rapidly providing alternatives to conventional, resource-intensive models of production.
For the first time, the conventional protein market is facing disruption. Global protein
demand is rising due to both population growth and increases in per capita consumption.
This demand is placing enormous stress on our food production system – a system that
is approaching its feasible limits – by creating significant environmental, public health and
food security challenges. A compounding list of interrelated economic, environmental,
social and demographic factors, as well as nutrition-driven preference shifts, are pushing
the industry to innovate.1
Given the challenges posed by conventional animal agriculture, slow incremental
change is insufficient to meet global protein demand within sustainable planetary limits.
Recognising the need for rapid change, the emerging alternative protein industry is taking
a fundamentally different approach to meeting humanity’s growing demand for protein. By
recreating meat from the molecule up, these innovators are focussed on building a protein
market that prizes both sustainability and efficiency.
Promising, emerging proteins still face a number of major challenges as they attempt to
scale. To reach their full potential, industry and government will need to support these
nascent technologies. Governments have a crucial role to play in pursuing progressive,
enabling regulation that supports evidence-based positions, free from influence by vested
economic interests. Public and private institutions will need to be incentivised to build
ecosystems that encourage investment while fostering innovation and competition.
The challenge of meeting the protein needs of a mid-century population of 10 billion people in an inclusive, sustainable, healthy and nutritious manner is enormous, but achievable. What is clear is that this will not happen on our current, business-as-usual trajectory. Significant transformation of the protein system is essential to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals and to meet the Paris Agreement climate change targets.” 2– World Economic Forum
40Conclusion
Cell-based meat must still overcome significant engineering hurdles to scale
production, become cost competitive with conventional meat, and achieve
widespread consumer acceptance. Increasing investment and cross-industry
collaboration are speeding the pace of innovation as cell-based meat companies
commercialise, however, governments and institutions also have an important
role to play in overcoming these hurdles. Australia’s research and development
capacities in the crucial areas of stem cell research and regenerative medicine,
tissue engineering, bioprocess engineering, food science and product development
could contribute significantly to advances in cell-based meat technology and
solidify Australia’s position as a global player.
Plant-based meat alternatives are becoming increasingly mainstream and widely
available, but remain just a fraction of the overall protein market. Consumer demand
is outpacing supply, necessitating increased investment levels to enable product
innovation and to facilitate increased production capacity. Opportunities exist for the
exploration and categorisation of new proteins as ingredients, and improvements in
processing technology to achieve scale.
Although rapid industry growth and its effect on all sectors of the supply chain –
from farmers to manufacturers, distributors, and retailers – has yet to be quantified,
it is clear that vast opportunities remain to satisfy latent consumer demand for
alternative proteins. As the market matures, it will be important to maintain a clear
perspective on which of the emerging technologies has the greatest potential.
Further research and increased investment in plant-based, cell-based and hybrid
products is required to fully explore the opportunities these alternatives offer, and
to identify the sector’s socio-economic impacts on the Australian economy.
Australia can capitalise on its strengths in agriculture and science through the
exploration of novel crops, new revenue streams and collaborative business
models. Primary inputs from Australian farmers can supply Australian manufacturers
developing products in the emerging alternative proteins industry, thus growing
the national food value-chain and providing further opportunities for export.
Government supported, industry-led initiatives to explore ways for Australian
producers to capitalise on this opportunity would be both advisable and timely.
The alternative protein sector has arrived, bringing with it the potential for humans
to create a healthier, more sustainable food future. The opportunity to provide
economic, health and sustainability benefits is compelling; global demand for
alternative proteins has been demonstrated, and its steep growth trajectory is is
expected to continue. Government and business in Australia have a window of
opportunity to become a first mover in the Asia Pacific by playing a leading role
in advancing the growth of the alternative protein sector. To position itself as a
regional leader, Australia must act quickly.
Authors
Sam Lawrence (Lead Author)
Managing Director, Food Frontier
Thomas King
CEO, Food Frontier
Dr Lucy Fish
Research Fellow, Food Frontier
Jessica Baird Walsh
Emily Byrd
Research Support
Johann Lipman
Keyur Doolabh
Austin Jacob
Liam Morgan
Brian Mendis
Graphic Design
Tim Allan
Made Visual
Mark Harley
Athlete
Images
iStock
Shutterstock
Memphis Meats (incl. cover image)
Impossible Foods (incl. cover image)
Marie Gibbons (incl. cover image)
Special thanks to:
The Lord Mayor’s Charitable
Foundation
The Good Food Institute
Chris Bryant
Meat Re-Imagined
Introduction
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endnotes
42Endnotes
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44Endnotes
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46Endnotes
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79. Perfect Day Foods [Internet]. San Francisco: Crunchbase; [n.d., cited 2019 Feb 19]. Available from: https://www.crunchbase.com/organization/muufri
48Endnotes
Prospects for Australia
1. Roy Morgan (AU). The slow but steady rise of vegetarianism in Australia [Internet]. Melbourne: Roy Morgan; 2016 Aug 15 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/vegetarianisms-slow-but-steady-rise-in-australia-201608151105
2. Mintel Group (UK). The move away from meat infiltrates Asia Pacific: 39% of Indonesians consumed more non-animal sources of protein in 2017 [Internet]. London: Mintel Group; 2018 Apr 18 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: http://www.mintel.com/press-centre/food-and-drink/the-move-away-from-meat-infiltrates-asia-pacific
3. Euromonitor International (UK). Plant-based protein: Assessing demand for sustainable alternatives [Internet]. London: Euromonitor International; 2017 Mar [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.euromonitor.com/plant-based-protein-assessing-demand-for-sustainable-alternatives/report
4. Goodwin S. Let’s not mince words, it’s everything but real beef [Internet]. Sydney: Farm Online National; 2018 June 30 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.farmonline.com.au/story/5497586/lets-not-mince-words-its-everything-but-real-beef/
5. Lam LT. The plant-based revolution is here: Meat-free dining goes mainstream [Internet]. Sydney: Good Food; 2018 Apr 17 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.goodfood.com.au/eat-out/news/the-plant-based-revolution-is-here-meat-free-dining-goes-mainstream-20180411-h0ymgb
6. Plant-based market overview [Internet]. Washington DC: The Good Food Institute; 2018 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.gfi.org/marketresearch
7. Sethi S, Tyagi SK, Anurag RK. Plant-based milk alternatives an emerging segment of functional beverages: a review. J Food Sci Technol [Internet]. 2016 [cited 2019 Feb 22];53(9):3408-3423. Available from: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5069255/ doi: 10.1007/s13197-016-2328-3
8. Gilfillan G. Small business sector contribution to the Australian economy [Internet]. Canberra: Parliament of Australia; 2018 Oct 15 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/rp/rp1819/SmallBusinessSector
9. Tang E. Australia’s two-way trade with the world was up 11% to $763 billion in 2017 [Internet]. Australian Government, Australian Trade and Investment Commission; 2018 July 23 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: https://www.austrade.gov.au/news/economic-analysis/australias-two-way-trade-with-the-world-was-up-11-to-763-billion-in-2017
10. Australian Trade Commission (Austrade). Processed Food [Internet] Sydney: Australian Government: Austrade; 2013 Oct [cited 2019 Feb 25]. p. 8. Available from: https://www.austrade.gov.au/ArticleDocuments/2814/Processed-Food-ICR.pdf.aspx
11. Australian Trade Commission (Austrade). Processed Food [Internet] Sydney: Australian Government: Austrade; 2013 Oct [cited 2019 Feb 25]. p. 6. Available from: https://www.austrade.gov.au/ArticleDocuments/2814/Processed-Food-ICR.pdf.aspx
12. Australian Trade Commission (Austrade). Processed Food [Internet] Sydney: Australian Government: Austrade; 2013 Oct [cited 2019 Feb 25]. p. 8. Available from: https://www.austrade.gov.au/ArticleDocuments/2814/Processed-Food-ICR.pdf.aspx
13. Garnett T, Wilkes A. Appetite for change: Social, economic and environmental transformations in China’s food system [Internet]. Oxford: Food Climate Research Network; 2014 Feb [cited 2019 Feb 26]. Available from: https://www.fcrn.org.uk/sites/default/files/fcrn_china_mapping_study_final_pdf_2014.pdf
14. Bitsx Bites. The growing appetite for meat alternatives in China [Internet]. San Francisco: AgFunderNews; 2018 Jan 29 [cited 2019 Feb 26]. Available from: https://agfundernews.com/meat-alternatives-china.html
15. Springboard: Shaping the Future of Food [Internet]. San Francisco: Springboard; 2019 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.springboardbrands.com/
16. Meat companies investing in plant-based options praised [Internet]. Auckland: Newstalk ZB; 2018 Oct 30 [cited 2019 Feb 27]. Available from: https://www.newstalkzb.co.nz/news/national/meat-companies-investing-in-plant-based-options-praised/
17. Taunton E. Kiwi firm launches ‘no meat mince’ [Internet]. Wellington: Stuff; 2018 Oct 30 [cited 2019 Feb 27]. Available from: https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/farming/108218892/kiwi-firm-launches-no-meat-mince
18. Valin H, Sands RD, Van Der Mensbrugghe D, Nelson GC, Ahammad H, Blanc E, et al. The future of food demand: Understanding differences in global economic models. Agric Econ [Internet]. 2013 [cited 2019 Feb 25];45(1):51-67. Available from: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/agec.12089
19. Howden M, Zammit K. Agriculture overview: December quarter 2018 [Internet]. Canberra: Australian Government: Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, ABARES; 2018 Dec 11 [cited 2019 Feb 25] Available from: http://www.agriculture.gov.au/abares/research-topics/agricultural-commodities/dec-2018/agriculture-overview
20. Econtech (AU). Australia’s farm dependent economy - Analysis of the role of agriculture in the Australian economy. Sydney: Australian Farm Institute; 2005 Mar.
21. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Land management and farming in Australia, 2016–2017 [Internet]. Canberra: ABS; 2018 June 26 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. ABS Cat. No.: 4627.0. Available from: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/PrimaryMainFeatures/4627.0
22. ABARES (AU). Agricultural commodity statistics 2018: Australian economy: Farm sector [Internet]. Canberra: Australian Government: Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, ABARES. ABARES 2019 Feb 19 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: http://www.agriculture.gov.au/abares/research-topics/agricultural-commodities/agricultural-commodities-trade-data#2018
23. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Agricultural commodities, Australia, 2016-17 [Internet]. Canberra: ABS; 2018 May 21 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. ABS Cat. No.: 7121.0. Available from: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/7121.0
24. Australian pulse industry [Internet]. Sydney: Pulse Australia; [n.d., cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: http://www.pulseaus.com.au/about/australian-pulse-industry
25. ABARES (AU). Agricultural commodities: September quarter 2017 [Internet]. Canberra: Australian Government: Department of Agriculture and Water Resources, ABARES; 2017 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Table 13, p. 106. Available from: http://data.daff.gov.au/data/warehouse/agcomd9abcc004/agcomd9abcc20170919_7AmMy/AgCommodities201709_v1.0.1.pdf
11. Kim H, Setyabrata D, Lee Y, Jones OG, Kim YHB. Effect of house cricket (Acheta domesticus) flour addition on physicochemical and textural properties of meat emulsion under various formulations. J Food Sci [Internet]. 2017 Nov 2 [cited 2019 Feb 19];82(12):2787–2793. Available from: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29095501 doi: 10.1111/1750-3841.13960
12. Megido RC, Gierts C, Blecker C, Brostaux Y, Haubruge É, Alabi T, et al. Consumer acceptance of insect-based alternative meat products in Western countries. Food Qual Pref [Internet]. 2016 Sep [cited 2019 Feb 25]52:237-43. Available from: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S095032931630091X doi: 10.1016/j.foodqual.2016.05.004
13. House J. Consumer acceptance of insect-based foods in the Netherlands: Academic and commercial implications. Appetite [Internet]. 2016 Dec 1 [cited 2019 Feb 27];107:47-58. Available from: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27444958 doi:10.1016/j.appet.2016.07.023.
14. Megido RC, Gierts C, Blecker C, Brostaux Y, Haubruge É, Alabi T, Francis F. Consumer acceptance of insect-based alternative meat products in Western countries. Food Qual Prefer [Internet]. 2016 Sep 1 [cited 2019 Feb 27];52:237-43. Available from: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S095032931630091X doi: 10.1016/j.foodqual.2016.05.004
15. Tousignant L. Bug ‘burgers’ are hitting supermarket shelves. New York Post [Internet]. 2017 Aug 16 [cited 2019 Feb 21]. Available from: https://nypost.com/2017/08/16/bug-burgers-are-hitting-supermarket-shelves/
16. Edible Bug Shop: Nutritious & Full of Protein [Internet]. Sydney: Edible Bug Shop; 2019 [cited 2019 Feb 27]. Available from: https://ediblebugshop.com.au/
Meat Re-Imagined
26. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Agricultural commodities, Australia, 2016-17: Broadacre crops [Internet]. Canberra: ABS; 2018 May 21 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. ABS Cat. No.: 7121.0. Available from: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/7121.0
27. Hort Innovation (AU). Australian horticulture statistics handbook 2016/2017 [Internet]. Sydney: Horticulture Innovation Australia; 2018 [cited 2019 Feb 24]. p. 232. Available from: https://www.horticulture.com.au/growers/help-your-business-grow/research-reports-publications-fact-sheets-and-more/australian-horticulture-statistics-handbook-2016-17/.
28. ABCA (AU). The official Australian reference guide to agricultural biotechnology and GM crops (2nd Ed). Agricultural Biotechnology Council of Australia Limited; 2015 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: http://www.abca.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/The-Official-Australian-Reference-Guide-to-Agricultural-Biotechnology-and-GM-Crops_2nd-edition.pdf
29. Australian Organic: Market report. Australian Organic; 2018 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: http://austorganic.com/ao-market-report/
30. ABCA (AU). The official Australian reference guide to agricultural biotechnology and GM crops (2nd Ed). Agricultural Biotechnology Council of Australia Limited; 2015 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: http://www.abca.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/The-Official-Australian-Reference-Guide-to-Agricultural-Biotechnology-and-GM-Crops_2nd-edition.pdf
31. Izlar R. Keeping a pulse on the soil [Internet]. Washington DC: Soil Science Society of America; 2016 May 4 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: https://www.soils.org/discover-soils/story/keeping-pulse-soil
32. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Gross expenditure on R&D (GERD) [Internet]. Canberra: ABS; 2017 Sep 15 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/8104.0Main%20Features22015-16?opendocument&tabname=Summary&prodno=8104.0&issue=2015-16&num=&view=
33. The 2016 Scientific American Worldview overall scores [Internet]. New York: Scientific American: Worldview; 2017 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: www.saworldview.com/scorecard/the-2016-scientific american-worldview-overall-scores/
34. Australia population [Internet]. New York: Trading Economics; [n.d., cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: https://tradingeconomics.com/australia/population
35. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Business resources devoted to research and experimental development (R&D) [Internet]. Canberra: ABS; 2017 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. ABS Cat. No.: 8104.0. Available from: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/8104.0
36. Chaustowski R, Dolman S. Australia’s food and agribusiness sector - Data profile [Internet]. Canberra: Department of Industry and Science; 2016 April [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: https://archive.industry.gov.au/industry/IndustrySectors/FoodManufacturingIndustry/Pages/default.aspx
37. Australian Government: Department of Industry, Innovation and Science. Science, research and innovation budget tables snapshot 2017-2018 [Internet]. Canberra: DIIS; 2017 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. p. 7. Available from: https://archive.industry.gov.au/innovation/reportsandstudies/Pages/SRIBudget.aspx
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39. Australia’s Education System [Internet]. Canberra: Australian Government: Australian Trade and Investment Commission; [n.d., cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.studyinaustralia.gov.au/english/australian-education/universities-and-higher-education
40. QS World University Rankings 2018 [Internet]. London: QS Top Universities; 2018 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.topuniversities.com/university-rankings/world-university-rankings/2018
41. Best universities in Australia 2019 [Internet]. London: Times Higher Education; 2018 Oct 1 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: www.timeshighereducation.com/student/best-universities/best-universities-australia
42. Karen Sheldon Catering - serving up innovation [Internet]. Canberra: Australian Government: Department of Industry, Innovation and Science; 2016 Sep 9 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.business.gov.au/assistance/entrepreneurs-programme/innovation-connections/customer-stories/customer-story-karen-sheldon-catering
43. Source: developed from unique research by Food Frontier in 2018.
44. History of ARMI [Internet]. Melbourne: Australian Regenerative Medicine Institute; [n.d., cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: www.armi.org.au/about/history-armi
45. Source: developed from unique research by Food Frontier.
46. Impact Assessment & Performance [Internet]. Canberra: Rural R&D Corporations; 2018 [cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: http://www.ruralrdc.com.au/impact-assessment-and-performance/
47. Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). Business resources devoted to research and experimental development (R&D) [Internet]. Canberra: ABS; 2017 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. ABS Cat. No.: 8104.0. Available from: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/8104.0
48. Lee M. Automotive industry package: Budget review 2014-2015 [Internet]. Canberra: Parliament of Australia; [n.d., cited 2019 Feb 25]. Available from: https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/pubs/rp/BudgetReview201415/Automotive
49. National Farmers’ Federation (AU). Food, fibre & forestry facts: A summary of Australia’s agricultural sector [Internet]. Canberra: National Farmers Federation; 2017 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. p. 6. Available from: https://www.nff.org.au/read/5825/updated-food-fibre-forestry-facts.html
50. National Farmers’ Federation (AU). 2030 Roadmap: Australian agriculture’s plan for a $100 Billion industry [Internet]. Canberra: National Farmers’ Federation; 2018 Oct 17 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. 9 p. Available from: https://www.nff.org.au/read/6187/nff-releases-2030-roadmap-guide-industry.html
51. Arthur P. McKenzie moves on ‘fake’ foods [Internet]. Sydney: The Land; 2018 Oct 16 [cited 2019 Feb 22]. Available from: https://www.theland.com.au/story/5706138/mckenzie-moves-on-fake-foods/
52. State of the industry 2018: Resilience through challenge [Internet]. Australia: Australian Food and Grocery Council, Ernst & Young; 2018 [cited 2019 Feb 23]. Available from: https://www.afgc.org.au/wp-content/uploads/AFGC-State-of-the-Industry-2018_media.pdf
53. State of the industry 2018: Resilience through challenge [Internet]. Australia: Australian Food and Grocery Council, Ernst & Young; 2018 [cited 2019 Feb 23]. Available from: https://www.afgc.org.au/wp-content/uploads/AFGC-State-of-the-Industry-2018_media.pdf
54. Settembre J. America’s biggest meat producer wants to take a bite out of the vegetarian market [Internet]. San Francisco: MarketWatch; 2019 Feb 18 [cited 2019 Feb 27]. Available from: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/americas-biggest-meat-producer-will-soon-offer-vegan-protein-2019-02-14
55. Farm Animal Investment Risk & Return (FAIRR) (UK). Plant-based profits: Investment risks & opportunities in sustainable food systems [Internet]. London: FAIRR; 2018 Feb [cited 2019 Feb 25]. p. 11. Available from: http://www.fairr.org/resource/plant-based-profits-investment-risks-opportunities-sustainable-food-systems/
Conclusiion
1. Ahmed J, Lorch J, Ong L, Wolfgram J. How the global supply landscape for meat protein will evolve [Internet]. US: McKinsey and Company; 2018 October [cited Feb 21]. Available from: https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/agriculture/our-insights/how-the-global-supply-landscape-for-meat-protein-will-evolve
2. Meat: The future series - Alternative proteins [Internet]. Geneva: World Economic Forum; 2019 Jan [cited Feb 21]. Available from: http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_White_Paper_Alternative_Proteins.pdf
50Endnotes
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