Post on 30-Nov-2014
description
Paper Industry – India
October 2014
2 PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Executive Summary
Market Overview
Drivers & Challenges
Competitive Landscape
Indian paper industry is the fastest growing paper market in the world and its revenue is expected to touch INR x bn in 20--, growing at a CAGR of `xx% over 2013- --
The domestic demand for all varieties of paper is estimated at around y mn tonnes in 20-- - -- which is z% of global demand of aa mn tonnes
The industry provides employment opportunities to over ab mn people, mostly from the rural areas
Drivers:
Growth in Education Sector
Growth in Press Publications
Increased Demand for Packaging
Increased Toll Collection Operations
Challenges
High input costs
Increasing Internet Penetration
E-books Growth
Low rate of paper recycle
Key Players
Company A Company B Company C
Company D Company E Company F
Trends Pulpwood Plantation Area Expansion – Major Players
Raw Material Import
3 PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
•Macro Economic Indicators
•Introduction
•Market Overview
•Value Chain
•Import-Export
•Drivers & Challenges
•Role of Government
•Key Trends
•Recent Developments
•Product Launches
•Competitive Landscape
•Strategic Recommendation
•Appendix
4
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Demand for paper in India is expected to cross the 25mn tonnes mark, by 2025
• India is the xth largest paper manufacturer in the world
with around x – y mills
• Currently, Paper demand in India is estimated to be
around ab mn tonnes Indian roughly accounts for aa% of the total global demand
of paper
• India’s paper consumption has grown at a steady rate
of around ab1% in the last five years It is expected to double by 20--, from the current level of x
mn tonne
Per capita consumption of paper in India stands at y kg, as
against the global average of z kg, thereby leaving ample
scope for demand creation
• The tissue paper industry is emerging as a new sub
segment within the specialty paper market The organized tissue paper market is estimated to be valued
at INR xx bn in 20-- and is expected to grow at a CAGR of
ab% in next 3-5 years
• Domestic players are focusing on capacity expansion in
order to meet the increasing demand in the country Over the last five years, INR ab bn has been invested
towards capacity enhancement, technology up gradation and
acquisitions
Paper Industry – Overview Paper Demand – Growth
Paper Industry – Demand Share (FY 2014)
31%
5%
19%
45%
BB
AA
DD
CC
0
5
10
15
20
25 A
FY20--e
d
FY20--e
c
FY20--e
Mn Tonnes
b
FY20--
a
5
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Paper Production: Raw Material Share (2013) Paper Production: Mills Category (2013)
Paper Industry – Market Size (Turnover) Paper Industry – Production
Paper industry in India has immense potential for growth despite increasing input costs
70.0%
30.0%
A2 A1
21.0%
44.0%
35.0%
X
B
A
DD1
CC1
BB1
AA1
0
Mn Tonnes
7.9%
2018e
a6
2017e
a5
2016e
a4
2015e
a3
2014e
a2
2013
a1
DD
CC
BB
AA
0
INR bn 8.9%
2018e
f
2017e
e
2016e
d
2015e
c
2014e
b
2013
a
6
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
World Ranking: Paper Production (2012) World Ranking: Paper Consumption (2012)
Installed Capacity: State – Wise (2013) Installed Capacity: Region – Wise (2013)
5.0%
25.0%
70.0%
Group 3*
Group 2*
Group 1*
x1
x4
x3
x2
East
South
West
North
A
B
C
0
Mn MT
India
x6
Germany
x5
Japan
x4
USA
x3
China
x2
World
x1
D
C
B
A
0
Mn MT
India
x6
Germany
x5
Japan
x4
USA
x3
China
x2
World
x1
Paper Industry: Snapshot (2/2)
*: Group 1: XX Group 2: XX Group 3: XX
7
SAMPLE Writing and Printing paper demand is expected to grow at a CAGR of around x% over 2013-18
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Writing and Printing Paper Market – Overview Writing and Printing Paper: Demand
C
B
A
0
MTPA
XX
2018e
x6
2017e
x5
2016e
x4
2015e
x3
2014
x2
2013
x1
W&P Demand Share (2012-13) W&P Demand Share (2017-18)
X1
X2
B A
Y1
Y2
• Demand for Writing and Printing (W&P) paper is expected to increase in the coming years owing to increased consumerism and continued government spending on education Strong growth is expected in the copier, coated and maplitho
segments
• Within W&P, demand growth for copier paper is expected to be the strongest at around x% CAGR during 2013-18 Within copier paper, branded copier paper market in India is
estimated at INR aa mn in 2013 of which JK Paper Ltd. accounted for x% market share
• Increase in office space absorption is expected to translate into stronger demand for high-quality copier paper
8
SAMPLE Comparative Analysis: Domestic Vs. International Market (1/2)
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Paper Types
World India
Production (2010)
Leading Manufacturers
Technologies Used
Production (2010)
No. of Mills
No. of Mills Using
Advanced Technologies
Technology Status
XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX
XX XX XX XX XX XX XX XX
Note: Information as of FY 2011
9
SAMPLE Export – Import: Paper Industry
Paper Import – Value Wise
Paper Export – Value Wise
E
D
C
B
A
0
INR bn
X
2013-2014
x4
2012-2013
x3
2011-2012
x2
2010-2011
x1
27.4%
9.0%
12.0% 14.6%
17.3%
19.7%
C6
C5
C4
C3
C2
C1
41.92%
7.19% 9.82%
10.81%
11.30%
18.96%
C6
C5
C4
C3
C2
C1
Note: HS Code 4802
Major Importing Nations – Value Wise (2013)
Major Exporting Nations – Value Wise (2013)
A4
A3
A2
A1
0
INR mn
y1
9.5%
2013-2014
y4
2012-2013
y3
2011-2012
y2
2010-2011
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
10
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
India has the second largest education system in the world
Macro Overview of the Indian Education System
Literacy Rate in India Demographic Split in Education
Budget Allocation for Education Five Year Plan Outlay for Education
35%
65%
y x
26%
74%
2001 2011
20% 10% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0%
2015e x1 y1 z1 m1 n1
2010 x y z m n
55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 15-24
Key Indicators
D
C
B
A
0
INR bn
X
2013-14
e
2012-13
d
2011-12
c
2010-11
b
2009-10
a
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
INR bn
A2 XX
12th Five Year Plan 11th Five Year Plan
A1
11
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Growth in newspaper industry as well as other publications is driving demand for paper
Growth in Press Publications Impact
Newsprint Demand
C
B
A
0
mn MT
X
2025e
e
2020e
d
2015e
c
2014
b
2012
a
49.0% 51.0%
B A
• Newspaper demand has been growing at an average rate of x% during last 5 years • Country’s xx% current demand is being met by
imports however a% demand is met by domestic production
• Currently the newsprint manufacturing industry consists of x mills and is a significant part of the overall paper industry
• India’s Newsprint annual consumption for newspaper publishers varies from xx MT per annum to aa MT per annum
A3
A2
A1
0.0
INR bn
X
2015e
B
2013
A
Indian Printing Industry
12
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Increasing number of toll collection plazas will drive paper demand in the country
• There are around x toll plazas across the country, where paper slips are issued at the time of crossing the road while making the payment
Total number of vehicles passing through x toll plazas is around xx mn vehicles per day and yy mn vehicles per annum*
The length of paper consumed at all the toll plazas is around xy mn square meters or xz mn KMs
• Government of India is also planning to add thousands of kms of road network across the country with many more toll collection plazas/centers
Increased Toll Collection Operations Impact
Data: *Assuming that the number of vehicles passing through x toll plazas are at least xy% of total number of vehicles passing through Delhi-Gurgaon Border
Paper consumed by xx toll plazas on NH
Toll Name Tag Vehicle Slip Vehicle Total
Point 1 X X X
Point 2 X X X
Point 3 X X X
Total X X X
Subject Calculations
H1 X
H2 X
H3 X
H4 X
Considering the toll plazas of Delhi-Gurgaon Border, Kherkidaula Toll and Airport Toll, roughly ab vehicles / day pass these facilities
Out of x vehicles, y vehicles carry tags with them however remaining xx vehicles are provided paper slips
13
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Print Book Vs. E-Book
• Point 1 • Point 2
E-book
Print Book
Retail Price per book
Paid to retailer Royalty
payment to author
INR a INR b
INR c1
INR d
INR a1 INR b1
INR c
INR d1
The publisher receives ~ INR xx
per unit sold
The publisher receives ~ INR x per
unit sold
Others
Note: ‘Others’ would include payments for shipping, warehousing and production under print books while for e-books, it would cater to digital rights management, digital warehousing, production and distribution
14
SAMPLE
Domestic players are focusing on pulpwood cultivation area expansion
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Pulpwood Plantation Area Expansion – Major Players
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
F
E
D
C
B
A
0
hectares
X
FY 2013
a3
FY 2012
a2
FY 2011
a1
B
D
C
0
A
hectares x1
FY 2013
b3
FY 2012
b2
FY 2011
b1 C
B
D
A
0
c1
hectares
x3
FY 2013
c3
FY 2012
c2
FY 2011
C B A
Pulpwood Cultivation Area Growth
15
Recent Developments: Top Players (1/6)
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Ballarpur Industries Ltd. – Recent Developments
1. XX
2. XX
3. XX
4. XX
5. XX
6. XX
ITC Ltd. - PSPD – Recent Developments
1. XX
2. XX
16
SAMPLE Waste Paper Collection Mechanism – Recovery Potential (1/2)
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
There is huge potential available for recovery of PC paper almost for every variety of paper
Paper Types Potential Source of Generation
Generation/ Consumption %
Waste Type Collection Rate
Writing/ Printing
Copier Paper
XX XX
XX XX XX XX
XX XX
Cream Wove XX XX
XX XX XX XX
XX XX
XX XX
XX XX
XX XX
XX XX
XX XX
Note: Post Consumer recovered paper comprises paper, paperboard and fibrous material recovered from retail stores, offices and homes after these products have served their end user and papers separated from municipal solid waste Pre Consumer recovered paper is paper and paperboard material from manufacturing and converting and finished paper from obsolete inventories
17
SAMPLE Product Launches : Top Players (1/3)
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Ballarpur Industries Ltd. – New Product Launches
1. XX
2. XX
3. XX
4. XX
5. XX
6. XX
7. XX
8. XX
ITC Ltd. – PSPD – New Product Launches
1. XX
2. XX
JK Paper Ltd. – New Product Launches
1. XX
18
SAMPLE Market Competition – Porter’s Five Forces Analysis
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
Bargaining Power of Suppliers
Threat of New Entrants
Competitive Rivalry Bargaining Power of Buyers
Threat of Substitutes
Impact XXXX
Impact XXXX
Impact XXXX Impact
XXXX
Impact XXXX
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
19
SAMPLE Key Ratios of Top 3 Companies – Operational Basis (FY 2013) (1/3)
Competitive Benchmarking (2/x)
C
B
A
0
%
Company C
y3
x3
Company B
y2
x2
Company A
y1
x1
Net Margin Operating Margin
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
20
SAMPLE Key Ratios of Top 3 Companies – Operational Basis (FY 2013) (2/3)
Competitive Benchmarking (3/x)
B
A
0
%
Company C
y3
x3
Company B
y2 x2
Company A
y1 x1
Return on Capital Employed Return on Equity
0.0
B1
A1
Company C
z3
Company B
z2
Company A
z1
Current Ratio
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
• XX
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
21
SAMPLE Public: Domestic Company – Company A (1/x)
Key People
Products and Services
Company Information Offices and Centres – India
Corporate Address XX
Tel No. XX
Fax No. XX
Website XX
Year of Incorporation XX
Ticker Symbol XX
Stock Exchange XX
Name Designation
XX Chairman
XX Director
XX Chief Financial Officer
XX
Gurgaon
Category Products/Services
Paper and Paper board
XX
XX
XX
XX
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
22
SAMPLE
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
AAAAAA
AAAAA
AAAAA
AAAAA
Public: Domestic Company – Company A: XX (2/x)
23
SAMPLE Financial Snapshot Key Ratios
Financial Summary
• The company earned a net profit of INR 778.8 mn in FY 2013, as compared to net profit of INR 1,230.9 mn in FY 2012
• The company reported total income of INR 49,246.1 mn in FY 2013, registering an increase of 1.91% over FY 2012
• The company earned an operating margin of 8.52% in FY 2013, a decrease of 0.56 percentage points over FY 2012
• The company reported current ratio of 0.59 in FY 2013, a decrease of 14.63% over FY 2012
Key Financial Performance Indicators
Indicators Value (30/07/2014) Market Capitalization (INR mn) 11,176.7
Total Enterprise Value (INR mn) 68,473.7
EPS (INR) 1.04
PE Ratio (Abs) 16.44
Particulars y-o-y change
(2013-12) 2013 2012 2011 2010
Profitability Ratios
Operating Margin -0.56 8.52% 9.08% 11.63% 13.15%
Net Margin -0.97 1.58% 2.55% 4.64% 5.13%
Profit Before Tax Margin -1.98 1.57% 3.54% 5.88% 7.27%
Return on Equity -0.80 1.82% 2.62% 6.26% 7.42%
Return on Capital Employed -0.60 5.33% 5.93% 8.46% 7.84%
Return on Working Capital 18.30 -26.23% -44.53% -117.38% 52.27%
Return on Assets -0.58 3.56% 4.13% 5.94% 6.34%
Return on Fixed Assets -1.13 4.94% 6.07% 9.30% 9.39%
Cost Ratios
Operating costs (% of Sales) 0.59 91.46% 90.87% 88.18% 86.73%
Administration costs (% of Sales) 1.86 12.46% 10.60% 11.19% 10.01%
Interest costs (% of Sales) 2.38 7.03% 4.65% 7.06% 5.86%
Liquidity Ratios
Current Ratio -14.63% 0.59 0.69 0.83 1.63
Cash Ratio -23.31% 0.03 0.04 0.06 0.19
Leverage Ratios
Debt to Equity Ratio 50.19% 1.14 0.76 1.07 1.35
Debt to Capital Ratio 23.45% 0.53 0.43 0.52 0.58
Interest Coverage Ratio -38.11% 1.21 1.96 1.67 2.26
Efficiency Ratios
Fixed Asset Turnover -13.10% 0.58 0.66 0.79 0.71
Asset Turnover -8.06% 0.42 0.45 0.50 0.48
Current Asset Turnover -1.81% 2.11 2.15 2.03 1.53
Working Capital Turnover -37.05% -3.07 -4.88 -9.93 3.94
Capital Employed Turnover -7.79% 0.54 0.58 0.64 0.61
Improved Decline
Net Profit/Loss Total Income
45835.5 49246.138400.8
778.8
1,230.9
2,127.01,969.9
0
20000
40000
60000
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
INR mn INR mn
2013 2012
48320.0
2011 2010
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Public: Domestic Company – Company A (3/x)
24
SAMPLE Key Business Segments Key Geographic Segments
79% 78% 78% 77%
2%2%2% 8%9% 9%9%
0%
50%
100%
2013
3% 11%
2012
10%
2011
11%
2010
10%
78% 81% 82%
18%19%22%
100%
0%
50%
100%
2013 2012 2011 2010
Business Highlights
Description News
Overview •XX
Export Presence •XX
Overseas India
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Public: Domestic Company – Company A (4/x)
Paper Products & Office Supplies
Pulp
Others
Paper
25
SAMPLE
• XX • XX
• XX • XX
T O
W S
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
Public: Domestic Company – Company A (5/x)
26
SAMPLE Strategic Recommendation (2/2)
PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT
• XX Point 1
• XX Point 2
• XX Point 3
• XX Point 4
27
Thank you for the attention
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PAPER INDUSTRY IN INDIA 2014.PPT