FUTURES VIEW FROM AROUND THE WORLD

5 6 N O D E S

AMERICA

M e x i c o

U r u g u a y

U S A

ASIA

A z e r b a i j a n

C h i n a

EUROPE

G e r m a n y

R u s s i a

S p a i n

MIDDLE EAST I s r a e l

T O C 2 . 4 % G D P U S $ 1 , 6 3 7 b i l l i o n s 1

$ c o u n t r y & m a i n v a r i a b l e s

P r e v e n t i o n

S c e n a r i o 2 0 3 0

E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s W o r k

S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y

T R A N S N AT I O N A L

O R G A N I Z E D C R I M E

Art trafficking

Corruption Credit cards forgery

Environmental crimes Cyber crimes Drug trafficking

Hazardous chemicals products trafficking

Drugs forgery

Extortion F r a u d

Homicides per request Humans smuggling

Nuclear material trafficking

Organs trafficking

Human trafficking

Patents registration theft

Kidnapping

Money laundering

Piracy

S m u g g l i n g

Weapons trafficking

Precious metals trafficking

Counterfeiting 71

Drug Trafficking 40

Human Smuggling 7.5

Gas & Oil Smuggling 3

Counterfeit Drugs 1.5

Software piracy 1.2

Cigarette Smuggling 0.6

Movie Piracy 0.48

Music Piracy 0.44

Book Piracy 0.04

M E X I C O P o p u l a t i o n : 1 2 1 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 1 2 6 b i l l i o n

M E X I C O

1 . G O V E R N M E N T

N A T I O N A L P R O G R A M F O R

P R E V E N T I N G C R I M E

• L O N G - T E R M V I S I O N 2 0 3 0

• F E D E R A L , S TAT E & L O C A L S P E C I A L P R O G R A M S F O R C O M M U N I T I E S

E D U C A T I O N

S P O R T S

H E A L T H

T R A I N I N G F O R E N T R E P R E N E U R S H I P W I T H C R E D I T S

N a t i o n a l P r o g r a m f o r

S o c i a l P r e v e n t i o n o f V i o l e n c e a n d C r i m e

1 4 P r i n c i p l e s

C o m p r e h e n s i v e n e s s , i n t e r s e c t o r a l i t y , m a i n s t r e a m i n g , t e r r i t o r i a l i t y o r

t a r g e t i n g , p a r t i c i p a t i o n , j o i n t w o r k , c o n t i n u i t y o f p u b l i c p o l i c i e s ,

i n t e r d i s c i p l i n a r i t y , d i v e r s i t y , p r o x i m i t y , t r a n s p a r e n c y a n d a c c o u n t a b i l i t y a n d

i n c o r p o r a t e t h e c r o s s c u t t i n g p e r s p e c t i v e s o f g e n d e r e q u a l i t y ; h u m a n r i g h t s

a n d s o c i a l c o h e s i o n .

• S u c c e s s f u l p r e v e n t i o n p r o j e c t s ( E d u c a t i o n , s p o r t s ,

h e a l t h , e t c . )

• Te a c h i n g s m a l l e n t r e p r e n e u r s & o p e n i n g c r e d i t s

• S e r i o u s e f f o r t s f o r m o n e y l a u n d e r i n g c o n t r o l

• F r o z e n i n g TOC ’s m o n e y a n d p r o p e r t i e s

• I m p r o v i n g n e w b a n k r e s t r i c t i o n s

2 . N G O ’ s

S O C I A L D I A L O G U E F O R T R U T H , J U S T I C E A N D P E A C E

• N e t w o r k w i t h r e g i o n a l N o d e s t o c h a n n e l a n g e r a n d c h a n g e s i n t o a p a t h o f d i a l o g u e & p a r t i c i p a t i o n

• A g e n d a s & t h e m a t i c m e e t i n g s :

1 . L a w e n f o r c e m e n t

2 . T e r r i t o r i e s ( c o m m u n i t i e s , n e i g h b o r h o o d s , e t c . )

3 . P o v e r t y a n d i n e q u a l i t y

4 . I n c l u s i v e a n d p l u r a l i s t i c e c o n o m i e s

5 . S o c i a l c o h e s i o n & c o e x i s t e n c e

6 . C o m b a t t o c o r r u p t i o n & i m p u n i t y

7 . G l o b a l p r o b l e m a t i c & i n t e r n a t i o n a l p a r n e r s h i p s

S O C I A L D I A L O G U E f o r T R U T H , J U S T I C E & P E A C E

S T E P S F O R S O C I A L D I A L O G U E

1 . I d e n t i f y i n g c o n f l i c t s : 3 m o s t p r e s s i n g

2 . M a p p i n g a c t o r s f o r s o l v i n g p r o b l e m s

3 . D i r e c t o r i e s a n d p r o f i l e s

4 . W o r k s h o p s & f o l l o w u p m e e t i n g s

5 . D o c u m e n t s p r e p a r a t i o n , s i s t e m a t i z a t i o n &

d i s t r i b u t i o n .

6 . W o r k i n g g r o u p s c o n s o l i d a t i o n

7 . A c t i v e o r g a n i z a t i o n & a r t i c u l a t i o n N e t w o r k

f o r s o l v i n g c o n f l i c t s a n d a s k i n g a c t o r s

q u e s t i o n s t o f i n d s o l u t i o n s

3 . G O V E R N M E N T , P R I V A T E S E C T O R & N G O ’ s

P R O D U C T I V E C O E X I S T E N C E

• L i n k i n g e n t e r p r i s e s n e e d s .

• T r a i n i n g p e o p l e t o w o r k .

• T e a c h i n g & f u n d i n g t h e c r e a t i o n o f s m a l l

c o m p a n i e s .

Counterfeiting 225

Cigarette smuggling 10

Cocaine smuggling 35

Drug Trafficking 215

Gas & Oil smuggling 10

Illegal gambling 150

Illegal logging 1

Illegal piracy 25

Movie piracy 25

Music piracy 12.5

Prostitution 14.6

Software piracy 9.7

U N I T E D S T A T E S O F A M E R I C A

P o p u l a t i o n : 3 2 1 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 7 3 3 b i l l i o n

C H I N A P o p u l a t i o n : 1 , 3 6 4 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 2 7 0 b i l l i o n

Counterfeiting 60

Cigarrette smuggling 2

Drug trafficking 17

Human smuggling 2

Illegal gambling 93

Illegal Logging 4

Software piracy 9

Prostitution 73

Wildlife smuggling 10

S P A I N P o p u l a t i o n : 4 6 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 1 2 7 b i l l i o n

Drug trafficking 95

Prostitution 26.5

Counterfeiting 2.6

Software piracy 1.2

Video game piracy 0.5

Book piracy 0.5

Counterfeit pesticides 0.1

Movie piracy 0.25

Music piracy 0.01

G E R M A N Y P o p u l a t i o n : 8 1 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 9 9 . 5 b i l l i o n

Counterfeit pesticides 39.4

Counterfeiting 32.2

Prostitution 18

Cigarette smuggling 7.2

Sofware piracy 2.3

Drug trafficking 0.2

Movie piracy 0.16

Money laundering 0.07

R U S S I A P o p u l a t i o n : 1 4 4 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 5 6 . 4 b i l l i o n

Counterfeiting 29

Drug trafficking 15

Counterfeit alcohol 3.3

Software piracy 3.2

Illegal logging 2

Cigarette smuggling 1

Wildlife smuggling 0.8

Alcohol smuggling 0.7

Prostitution 0.5

Music piracy 0.3

Movie piracy 0.26

Video game piracy 0.28

Book piracy 0.04

I S R A E L P o p u l a t i o n : 8 . 3 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 7 . 3 b i l l i o n

Illegal gambling 4.1

Drug trafficking 1.9

Prostitution 0.5

Counterfeiting 0.5

Software piracy 0.2

Movie piracy 0.06

Music piracy 0.05

Video game piracy 0.01

Book piracy 0.001

A Z E R B A I J A N P o p u l a t i o n : 9 . 6 m i l l i o n s

T O C : n / a

T U R K E Y P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 2 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 1 7 . 2 b i l l i o n s

Counterfeiting 6

Prostitution 4

Cigarrette smuggling 2.5

Gas and oil smuggling 2.5

Drug trafficking 1.7

Human smuggling 0.4

Alcohol smuggling 0.060

Movie piracy 0.029

Book piracy 0.023

Music piracy 0.022

Drug trafficking8.5

Heroin trafficking3

Gas and oil smuggling1.3

Alcohol smuggling0.9

Movie piracy0.1

Counterfeiting0.1

I R A N P o p u l a t i o n : 7 8 . 7 m i l l i o n s T O C : U S $ 1 3 . 9 b i l l i o n s

Gas and oil smuggling5

Software piracy0.172

I R A K P o p u l a t i o n : 3 6 . 6 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 5 . 2 b i l l i o n s

U R U G U A Y

P o p u l a t i o n : 3 . 3 m i l l i o n s

T O C : n / a

Counterfeiting

Software piracy0.657

Movie piracy0.318

Music piracy0.063

Counterfeit pesticides0.026

Book piracy0.004

A R G E N T I N A P o p u l a t i o n 4 3 . 1

T O C : U S $ 1 b i l l i o n

B R A Z I L P o p u l a t i o n 2 0 4 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 2 5 . 3 b i l l i o n s

Counterfeiting 15

Counterfeit clothing 3.64

Software piracy 2.85

Wildlifesmuggling 2

Counterfeit shoes 0.9

Counterfeit cigarettes 0.5

Videogame piracy 0.16

Music piracy 0.15

Movie piracy 0.1

Counterfeit toys 0.03

Book piracy 0.02

PA R A G U AY

P o p u l a t i o n : 7 m i l l i o n s

T O C : U S $ 1 3 b i l l i o n s

Counterfeiting12

Cigarettesmuggling 1

Software piracy0.073

E d u c a t i o n & F u t u r e s w o r k

S c i e n c e & Te c h n o l o g y