The Future Game??

Content!A 6 year revolution

Hot Zone ratio’s Possession

Position profiling

The distant past?Charles Reep

First meaningful analysis of football 1950-1967

• 90% of all possessions end in less than 4 passes

Comparing Charles Reep’s Analysis to the modern game

Number of passes before possession is lost

Freq

uenc

y

0.0%

12.5%

25.0%

37.5%

50.0%

Number of passes0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7+

1953-67 Prem league 2012 Spain u21s

Premier League Long passing% long passes - Over 35m

8%

10%

12%

14%

16%

18%

2006-7 2007-8 2008-9 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14

17.3%16.6%

15% 15.3%

14.2%

12.9%12.1% 11.9%

World Cup 2006

Successful Pass Count

0

175

350

525

700

World Cup 2006 Euro 2008 World Cup 2010 Euro 2012

626

527

454481

Spain’s Journey

Spain’s JourneyPass Accuracy

86%

87%

88%

89%

90%

World Cup 2006 Euro 2008 World Cup 2010 Euro 2012

87%

88% 88%

90%

Possession in oppositions half

Euro 2008

World Cup 2010

Euro 2012

40% 45% 50% 55% 60% 65%

59%

54%

46.8%

Spain’s Journey

Defensive

0

20

40

60

80

100

0

20

40

60

80

100

World Cup 2006 Euro 2008 World Cup 2010 Euro 2012

Tackles Interceptions

83

9686

95

Spain’s Journey

Spain’s Journey Other Changes

Less Shots -19 to 15 More shots in the area - up to 58% Less Crosses per game - 12.75 to 9.17 Shot/goal ratio up to 12.6%

The Hot Zone

The Hot Zone

0

1

2

3

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

Season to 23/11/13 Hot zone shot analysis

Rat

io o

f Sho

ts a

ttem

pted

in h

ot z

one

v sh

ots

conc

eded

in

hot

Zon

e

passes per game

Barca

Chelsea

Bayern

Everton

Sunderland

Spurs

Dortmund

Arsenal

West HamMan U

WBA

Liverpool

Real

Stoke

Southampton

Swansea

CardiffAston V

C.Palace

Fulham

NorwichHull

Man City

Newcastle

Athletico M

Goal Difference

30+

20+

10+

0+

-10

-20

0

1

2

3

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700

Season to 23/11/13 80% shot zone analysis

passes per game

Barca

Chelsea

Bayern

Everton

Sunderland

Spurs

Dortmund

Arsenal

West HamMan U

WBA

Liverpool

Real

Stoke

Southampton

Swansea

CardiffAston V

C.Palace

Fulham

NorwichHull

Man City

Newcastle

Athletico M

Goal Difference

30+

20+

10+

0+

-10

-20

Teams with a Ratio in excess of 2

Rat

io o

f Sho

ts a

ttem

pted

in h

ot z

one

v sh

ots

conc

eded

in

hot

Zon

e

Most prolific Creators in the Hot Zone

0

3

6

9

Hot Zone shotsBayern Dortmund Man City Real Madrid Athletico Barca CCFC 18s

3.8

7.87.98.38.68.78.7

Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg Overall analysis

Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg Hot Zone shots

Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg Shot assists

Least prolific Creators in the Hot Zone

0

1

2

3

4

Hot Zone shotsFulham Sunderland C.Palace CCFC Aston Villa

43.9

3.13.12.8

Meanest Hot Zone Defences

0

1

2

3

4

Hot Zone shotsBayern Athletico Man City Arsenal Dortmund Spurs

3.753.753.42

3.0832.92

Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg Augsburg Hot Zone shots

Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg Augsburg Shot assists

Hot Zone Data!Implications for us!

Performance analysis measure Hot Zone coaching - Creativity

Coaching Defending the Hot Zone Scoring Conversion rate

Possession

% Wins %

win

s

0%

25%

50%

75%

100%

200-299 300-399 400-499 500-599 600-699 700-799 800-899

23%

46%

35%

48%

80% 81%

100%

Pass Count

% Loses %

lose

s

0%

12.5%

25%

37.5%

50%

200-299 300-399 400-499 500-599 600-699 700-799 800-899

38%35%

48%

29%

10%

0% 0%

Pass Count

Forward Passes

40%

45%

50%

55%

60%

65%

0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

Man CityBayern

ChelseaRealBarcaCardiff

EvertonWest HamSwanseaSouthampton

ArsenalSunderlandFulham

LiverpoolSpursMan UtdNorwichWBA Hull Newcastle

DortmundStokeAston Villa

C.PalaceA.Madrid

Pass Count

% F

orw

ard

No of players over 90%

0

12

24

36

48

60 57

42

2012-13 2013-14

Pass Accuracy

Pass AccuracyJaeson Rosenfeld study (StatDna) Studied 100,000 passes in Brazilian Serie A Calibrated passes by Difficulty rating including

• Pass Distance • Pressure on receiver • Forward Pass • Air Pass • Head Pass • One Touch pass

Pass AccuracyNo discernable difference on the pass quality Most accurate passers will: ✓ Get in right place to receive ✓ Find pockets with limited pressure ✓ Engineer easier passes by virtue of their

position on the pitch ✓ Accuracy dominated by simplification

No discernable difference on the pass quality Least accurate passers will: ✓ Be position poor ✓ Dwell on the ball ✓ Poor body shape on

receipt ✓ Over complicate

Pass Accuracy

Possession!Implications for us!

How do we measure it! !Pass accuracy!Movement patterns -Support or hurt!Pitch geography!Pass profiles!

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Champions League - Man City v Bayern Munich

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Overall dashboard

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Passes

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Attacking third passes

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Middle third passes

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Defensive third passes

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Short passing dashboard

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Long passing dashboard

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Passes received

Position profiling - Jerome Boateng Man City v Bayern Munich - Defensive dashboard

Position profiling - Marc Bartra Centre Back

Position profiling - Marc Bartra Centre Back

Position profiling - Dani Alves Champions League - AC Milan v Barcelona

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Overall dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Overall Passing dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Attacking third Passing dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Middle third Passing dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Defensive third Passing dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Long Passing dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Short Passing dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Chances created dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Passes received dashboard

Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves AC Milan v Barcelona - Defensive dashboard