Financial Analysis, Planning and Forecasting Theory and Application By Alice C. Lee San Francisco...

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Transcript of Financial Analysis, Planning and Forecasting Theory and Application By Alice C. Lee San Francisco...

Financial Analysis, Planning and Forecasting

Theory and Application

ByAlice C. Lee

San Francisco State UniversityJohn C. Lee

J.P. Morgan ChaseCheng F. Lee

Rutgers University

Chapter 20

Cash, Marketable Securities, and Inventory Management

Outline 20.1 Introduction

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

20.3 Cash management systems

20.4 Credit lines and bank relations

20.5 Marketable securities management

20.6 Inventory Management

20.7 Summary

Appendix 20A. Derivation of equation 20-1

20.1 Introduction

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

Baumol’s EOQ model

Miller-Orr model

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

( 20-1)Figure 20-1

2C

FTEOQ «

k

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

Figure 20-2

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

2 $120 $1,560,000C $55,857

.12

C $55,857$27,928.50

2 2

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

Figure 20-3

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

( 20-2)

( 20-3)

( 20-4)

( 20-5)

12 33

34

FS

k

3

SR L

H S L 4

3

R LACB

20.2 The Baumol and Miller-Orr model

upper limit = lower limit + spread

= $ 20,000 +$ 22,293

= $ 42,293

1

33 20 9,000,000spread 3 $22,293

4 .000329

22,293return point = 20,000 + $ 27,431

3

4 $27,431 $20,000average cash balance = $ 29,908

3

20.3 Cash management systems

Float

Cash collection and transference systems

Cash transference mechanism and scheduling

20.3 Cash management systems

Figure 20-4

20.3 Cash management systemsFigure 20-5

Source: Stone and Hill, 1980.

20.3 Cash management systemsFigure 20-6

Source: Stone and Hill, 1980.

20.4 Credit lines and bank relations

Credit lines

Bank relations

20.4 Credit lines and bank relations

$112,00014%

$800,000

.14 $200,0003.5%

$800,000

$112,000 $28,00017.5%

$800,000

interest expense + implicit interest expense

elective interest cost = line of credit limit - compensating balances

20.5 Marketable securities management

Investment criteria for surplus cash balances

Types of marketable securities

Hedging considerations

20.5 Marketable securities management

n

t=1

fixed interest payment principalbond price =

1+ί 1+ίt n

$10,000 - price 365 daysannual yield

price days to maturity

$10,000 9,500 365 .1055

9,500 182

20.5 Marketable securities management

(20-6)

2ln 2P E rt t

t

1

put hedge ratio = 1 - call hedge ratio

= 1 - N d

20.6 Inventory Management

Inventory Loans

Economic order quantity

20.6 Inventory Management

( 20-7) 2SO

QC

2 50,000 2001,000 units

20Q

20.7 Summary

Chapter 20 has examined various aspects of cash and marketable security management. Two techniques were discussed that can assist in the estimation of an optimal level or range for the cash balance; these were Baumol’s model and the Miller-Orr model.

To make the cash collection system more efficient, the firm can choose from various methods for collecting or transferring cash and deciding when to transfer it. Such cost minimization is ideal for linear programming applications.

20.7 Summary The credit line offers the firm a means of handling cash

variations caused by seasonal effects or unanticipated events. Establishing good bank relations is an important feature for any cash management system. However, bank services do take on a cost, typically in the form of compensating balances. While credit lines can be a good investment for a bank, they can have detrimental effects on the bank’s liquidity that could intensify any maturity gap problems.

Efficient cash management ensures that surplus balances are invested in marketable securities that meet minimum standards for certainty of principal, maturity, liquidity, and yield. In Chapter 20, we considered the hedge decision from the cash manager’s perspective and gave various examples of hedging applications. Optimal inventory management was also briefly discussed.

Appendix 20A. Derivation of equation 20-1

( 20A-1)

( 20A-2)

total costs = holding cost + transaction cost

C T = F

2 Ck

2

total cost0

C 2

T F

C

k

2

2;

2

FT FTC

C

kk