Post on 28-May-2020
Methodology
Telephone survey of the general public 2,117 interviews with a national random sample of Canadians 18 years of age and
older Interview period: June 7 to June 9, 2004 National results valid within 2.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20 Some questions asked of a smaller sub-sample of respondents
The margin of error increases when the results are sub-divided It should also be noted that the refusal rate and other measurement errors could
also increase the margin of error
All the data were statistically weighted to ensure the sample’s regional, gender and age composition reflects that of the actual population of Canada according to Census data.
Q: What will be the most important consideration in your voting decision on June 28th? Will it involve making a choice that…
Canadians want a government that will serve country
68361824116…gets rid of the Liberals
FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
0
29
35
BQ
222120141619…advances your own interests
431122DK/NR
686960618164…advances the interests of the country as a whole
UndecidedGPNDPCPCLPCNational
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=811
2
2
33
29
17
19
48
51
0 25 50 75 100
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
Paul Martin & Liberals not seen as deserving re-election
I simply don't think that Paul Martin deserves to be re-elected.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, overall n=1237
I simply don't think that The Liberal Party deserves to be re-elected.
8
2
1
1
1
2
28
31
18
27
56
19
31
27
9
14
19
19
13
18
37
58
68
53
24
67
49
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
BQ & CPC voters most likely to consider Martin & LPC as undeserving of re-election
I simply don't think that Paul Martin/The Liberal Party* deserves to be re-elected.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1237
*collapse of the two responses
11
4
2
4
3
4
32
20
41
21
21
69
39
27
16
27
26
13
13
19
30
65
29
50
62
15
39
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
Are Canadians worried about punishing the Liberals?
I am worried that in the desire to punish Paul Martin and the Liberals, we will end up with a Conservative government that will take the country in the wrong direction.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=834
10
3
1
3
3
4
4
31
39
46
50
31
52
43
32
14
35
18
25
22
25
26
45
18
29
41
22
29
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
Some concern that NDP vote equals a vote for the CPC
I am concerned that voting for the NDP will in fact help the Conservative Partyform a government.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1237
8
6
1
3
4
1
3
23
41
29
47
47
8
30
57
51
61
43
39
37
45
12
1
8
7
10
53
22
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Less likely to vote CPC No effect More likely to vote CPC
CPC voters steadfast
Q: If you KNEW that Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party were very likely to win the next election, would that make you more or less likely to vote for the Conservative Party of Canada?
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1237
4
3
1
2
3
2
53
58
72
65
58
44
56
14
11
7
9
9
15
11
29
28
20
26
31
38
30
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
Clear majority opposes mandatory abortion counseling
I believe that third party counseling should be mandatory for women in Canada before they are permitted to have an abortion.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1271
3
1
1
1
39
23
23
26
29
50
35
15
9
13
6
11
11
11
44
68
63
67
59
38
53
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
Equality for same-sex couples
I think that same-sex couples should have the right to get married in Canada.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1256
4
11
8
7
33
18
17
19
24
30
33
28
40
41
43
46
0 25 50 75 100
DK/NR Weaken No impact Strengthen
Liberals better able to strengthen Canada’s social agenda
Q: If we have a … do you think it will weaken or strengthen each of the following?
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, overall n=2117
5
14
8
8
30
32
42
51
27
32
29
24
38
21
21
17
0 25 50 75 100
Canada's commitment to the Kyoto Protocol
The advancement of equal rights for same sex couples in Canada
Women's rights and access to abortion in Canada
…Liberal Party Government… …Conservative Party Government…
The viability of Canada's public health care system
CPC better on ethics and fiscal issues
Q: If we have a … do you think it will weaken or strengthen each of the following?
7
4
39
37
28
30
26
29
0 25 50 75 100
DK/NR Weaken No impact Strengthen
8
6
24
23
33
33
35
38
0 25 50 75 100
Value-for-money from tax expenditures
…Liberal Party Government… …Conservative Party Government…
Ethical standards of the Government of Canada
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, overall n=2117
6
5
5
27
23
26
27
31
26
40
41
44
0 25 50 75 100
DK/NR Weaken No impact Strengthen
LPC better on differentiating Canada from the U.S.
Q: If we have a … do you think it will weaken or strengthen each of the following?
8
6
6
19
33
37
28
31
24
45
31
33
0 25 50 75 100
Canada's ability to disagree with the U.S. on major issues like the war in Iraq?
A Canadian identity which is distinct from the U.S.?
Canada's alignment with the U.S. on cross-border issues. (e.g., softwood lumber, beef/cattle industry, etc.)
…Liberal Party Government… …Conservative Party Government…
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, overall n=2117
2 31
47
46
33
30
39
36
31
14
25
21
25
22
24
36
39
30
46
44
39
40
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Not very important Moderately important Very important
Debate to be influential on voters decisions
Q: As you may know, the leaders of the four major parties are scheduled to debate each other next week. How important will the leaders' performance in the debate be in your decision of who to vote for on June 28th?
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1254
How will you ensure that money you need to fulfill your election promises will be available?
35
37
38
39
40
43
45
51
53
57
62
67
0 25 50 75 100
Q: If you were given the opportunity to ask the leaders questions in the debate, which of the following choices would you most like answered?
Setting the agenda for the debate
How will Canada be THE SAME in 10 years if you are elected?
Can I trust you to keep your promises?
Will you resign if you fail to deliver a public health care fix like those recommended by Romanow?
Which party would you ally with if a minority government is elected?
How will Canada be DIFFERENT in 10 years from now if you are elected?
Do you think we should become part of a North American Economic Community, similar to the European Union?
Would you aggressively support the Kyoto Protocol?
Base: All Canadians; June. 04, n=1237*Note: presented as a series of randomly paired choices
Can you explain what makes your party different from the others?
Do you want to continue Canada's broad direction and values, or do you think that we need to shift direction?
What do you consider to be the biggest threat to our economy over the next three years and how would you address it?
Do you think we should we be increasing or decreasing immigration levels?
Q: In the eventuality of a minority government, there will be a need for coalitions and alliances to retain power in Ottawa. Which of the following two options would you prefer?
Canadians opt for less formal alliances
FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
3
30
68
BQ
1105666DK/NR
261121353430
Formal party alliances (i.e., between two of the major
parties)
638974596064A more flexible approach where
different parties ally in different ways across issues
UndecidedGPNDPCPCLPCNational
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1237
Q: In your view, which alliance do you think would be best?
A Liberal-NDP alliance favoured
23073768DK/NR
142323262618Liberal Party-Conservative Party 141963235620Conservative Party-NDP
FEDERAL VOTING INTENTIONS
82250
5
BQ
10011127Liberal Party-Bloc Quebecois 14305458None of the above
40123314CPC-Bloc Quebecois
21275544126Liberal Party-NDP
UndecidedGPNDPCPCLPCNational
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=834
15
5
7
4
7
7
8
36
24
29
22
27
52
35
30
27
28
18
18
20
22
18
43
36
55
48
21
36
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
NDP & Liberal voters most concerned by hidden CPC agenda
Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party have a hidden agenda in areas like abortion, gun control and two-tier health care.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1271
7
1
2
3
1
3
19
15
19
17
38
18
24
24
13
12
25
21
11
18
51
72
67
57
38
70
56
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
No new ideas seen as flowing from the Liberals
Paul Martin and the Liberals are simply rehashing old ideas, with little in the way of new initiatives for the country.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1256
18
8
3
2
3
3
5
26
56
56
68
67
10
43
37
29
21
21
16
18
22
19
7
20
10
14
69
30
0 25 50 75 100
Undecided
GP
BQ
NDP
LPC
CPC
Overall
DK/NR Disagree Neither Agree
Harper & CPC not really seen as able to “clean house” in Ottawa
Stephen Harper and the Conservative Party are the right team to clean housein Ottawa.
Q: Please rate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.
Base: All Canadians; Jun.04, n=1271
Ontarians stung by broken promises
Base: Residents of Ontario; Jun.04, n=848
Q: Many citizens have expressed disapproval of the Ontario budget, which imposed a new health tax after Ontario Premier Dalton McGuinty had promised no new taxes. Which aspect of the budget concerned you most?
1
6
15
24
54
0 25 50 75 100
Nothing
Having to pay a new tax
Both
The broken promises
DK/NR