ROBÉRIO NEVES PELINCA DA COSTA

Brazilian, married, two children. Born 01/28/1967

Permanent address: Rua Ferreira de Araújo, 275/3 - CEP: 05428-000, São Paulo/SP

Phone number: (5511) 3814 5690 / (5511) 9 7527 4626 (cell phone)

rnpcosta@terra.com.br

br.linkedin.com/pub/roberio-costa/16/133/a5b

MAIN OBJECTIVE: Financial Market Economist / Macroeconomic Scenario Analyst and Strategist

MAIN ACHIEVEMENTS

Career as an Economist, built up in local and international financial institutions such as Rabobank

International, Fram Capital, Santander, Citibank, American Express Bank, Unibanco, along with

Federal Finance Ministry and Petrobras.

Forecast of macroeconomic scenarios aiming at driving directors and asset managers to take medium

and long term strategic decisions on asset allocation.

Tracking the Brazilian and global economies to generate the best possible calls on exchange rate

trends.

Creating, writing and publishing analytical papers for the Board, for clients and for the press.

Spokesperson for the bank on macroeconomic issues for media interviews and client meetings.

EDUCATION MA in Economic Theory at University of São Paulo (USP) - 1994.

Lato Sensu MA in Energy Planning at Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (UFRJ)

1989.

Bachelor in Economics at Federal University of Pernambuco (UFPE) - 1987.

LANGUAGES Native Portuguese. Fluent in English and French.

ACTIVITIES

ABROAD Netherlands and UK, 2013: GFM Research offsite – Workshop with all economic

research team members which work for Rabobank Global Treasury Economic

Research.

Japan, Korea and Hong Kong, 2008: Road show to promote a tailor-made Santander

Fund to Daiwa Securities.

Paris and London, 1992 to 1994: Studies.

London, 1994: Volunteer at OXFAM, a British ONG which develops integration

projects in poor communities all over the world.

Paris, 1993: University Student Exchange at Ecole Superieure de Sciences

Economiques et Commerciales (ESSEC).

TRAINING Media Training - Rabobank International – 2012.

OTHERS Santander Asset Management Program – London Business School – 2008.

Leadership Training - Santander – 2007.

Bourse Game – Treasury simulation training course – Citibank - 2002.

Presentation Skills – Citibank - 1998.

Assistant Professor at UNIB and Mackenzie– 1991 e 1992.

Awarded a CNPq scholarship. Final Report, “Labour Market during the Cruzado Plan”,

1988.

Awarded a UFPE scholarship. Final Report, “The Industrial Development in Brazil:

the case of the textile industry in the State of Pernambuco - 1840 -1940”, 1987.

MAJOR RESPONSIBILITIES AND ACCOMPLISHMENTS

Monitoring the national and global economic and political picture.

Presenting scenarios to the board or asset managers enabling them to take decisions on an informed

basis in the development of strategic plans for the medium and long run.

Dealing with high frequency and hard data in order to offer analysis to traders, at treasury or asset

management desks, supporting their short term portfolio allocations decisions.

A contrarian call on the exchange rate (BRL/USD), from 2004 up to 2008, based on a detailed forecast

for the Brazilian balance of payments, which pointed to an appreciation of the Real, was critical for

significant gains for Santander AM and its clients over the period.

I always take the exchange rate as my starting point for analyzing the economic scenario as it reflects

all the information involving Brazil and the global economy. As a result, it is crucial to forecast

inflation, growth, interest rates and all the other key economic variables. A recent measurable result:

appearing 6 times in the “Top 5” forecasters in the Central Bank´s Focus report over the period 2012

and 2013, in various categories.

Presentations to companies and clients on economic themes (all in all, at least one thousand over my

career to date), always seeking to be in step with public needs and interest at each moment.

When dealing with sector analysis, I used to forecast supply, demand and, as a consequence, gave

price guidance to the oil and gas industry, iron ore, steal, pulp and paper, petrochemicals along with

other commodities.

Forecast modeling for the main economic variables based on own data base. Knowledge of

econometric program (Eviews), Bloomberg and Broadcast.

Information and forecasts (GDP growth, FX rate, interest rate, fiscal balance, balance of payments) for

company budget purposes.

Active member in economic forums (HSBC, Anbima and Central Bank) with peers of other institutions.

Writing papers, both in Portuguese and in English, putting forward the economic opinion of the Bank to

clients. Establishing new weekly wrap-up and bulletins to be circulated throughout the bank´s Brazilian

branches and to specific clients abroad.

I have structured three Economic Departments from scratch (American Express Bank, Santander AM

and Rabobank) focused on either proprietary trade or asset management.

Consultant in a project, whose final document was the report: “Economic Impacts of the Power

Rationing in Northeast of Brazil in 1987”. My econometric knowledge allowed me to have a crucial role

in this consultancy at the very beginning of my career.

PROFESSIONAL CAREER

CONTRIBUTER TO THE BEEF WORLD MAGAZINE (Safeway – Communication to the agribusiness)

Monthly article on macroeconomics issues (voluntary)

MEMBER OF MARINA SILVA`S - PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN (PSB PARTY)

Economist - from May/14 to Oct/14

Economic Advisor, organizer and writer of the chapter “Economics for Sustained Development”, which

is part of the Mr. Campos’s / Marina’s Government Plan.

Content of the Plan: diagnosis of the macroeconomic and microeconomic scenario in Brazil, covering:

fiscal responsibility; independency of public sector regulatory agencies; independency of the central

bank; inflation and monetary policy; exchange rate and external accounts; economic growth and

labour market. These themes are interconnected with topics related to technology, innovation and

sustainability; infrastructure and logistic; energetic policy; transportation; regional development and

environmental protection.

RABOBANK INTERNATIONAL – The world´s leading Agribusiness Bank, the Dutch Bank is located in

more than 45 countries - http://www.rabobank.com.br

Chief Economist - Sep/11 to Feb/14

Direct Report to the CIO Brazil and to the Head of Global Financial Management Research.

FRAM CAPITAL – Brazilian Hedge Fund - http://www.framcapital.com/

Chief Economist - Feb/09 to Set/11

Direct Report to the CIO and responsible for two headcounts.

SANTANDER BANESPA ASSET MANAGEMENT - http://www.santander.com.br/portal

Chief Economist - Nov/03 a Nov/08

Direct Report to the Head of Trading Desk and responsible for three headcounts.

CITIBANK - https://www.citibank.com.br/institucional/index.html

Senior Economist - Set/98 to Jul/03

Direct Report to the Chief Economist and co-responsible for five headcounts.

Previous Experience: SRL/Inter American Express – Chief Economist - Out/96 to Set/98

Unibanco – Investment Analyst - Jan/95 to Out/96

Finance Ministry - Economist - Out/94 to Jan/95

Petrobras - Economist – Jan/89 & May/90

Urbana Planejamento e Projetos Ltda – Consultant - Jan/88 to Jan/89