Post on 01-Jan-2020
DNV GL © 2017 24. november 2017 SAFER, SMARTER, GREENERDNV GL © 2017
24. november 2017
Remi Eriksen
Energitransformasjon mot 2050 - hvor er vi på vei?
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NORWEP frokostmøte i samarbeid med Abelia, DNB og DNV GL
DNV GL © 2017 24. november 201724. november 2017
A global and regional forecast
of the energy transition to 2050
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Forecast world primary energy supply
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Forecast world primary energy supply by source
DNV GL © 2017 24. november 2017
World final energy demand by sector
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World final energy demand by sector
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DNV GL © 2017 24. november 2017
...first time since the middle ages that humanity will start to use less energy
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”
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E >GDP
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Economic growth vs. energy efficiency growth
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Economic growth vs. energy efficiency growth
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20502015
34¢14¢
US Dollar generated per megajoule
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DNV GL © 2017 24. november 2017
Global electricity production in 2050
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In progress
2015135 GJ/year
205076 GJ/year
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non fossil
fossil
North East Eurasia
China
Indian Subcontinent
South East Asia
OECD Pacific
Europe
Latin America
North America
Sub-Saharan Africa
Middle East and North Africa
2017 2050 2017 2050
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DNV GL © 2017 24. november 2017
Forecasted fossil energy use
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Coal
Oil
Gas
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
EJ
/yr
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Market share of electric vehicles in new light vehicle sales
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Global energy expenditure as a fraction of Global GDP
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Global warming and carbon budget
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A global and regional forecast
of the energy transition to 2050