Post on 18-Apr-2020
Electric Buses in Public Transport in Oslo and Akershus
Pernille Aga
Project Manager Ruter
The growth in regional personal traffic is to be met by public transport, combined with cycling and walking 1
All public transport is to run on only renewable energy in 2020 2
4 av side 114
Buses and ferries run on fossil fuel
Renewable energy
Fossil energy
Share of travels, 2012
Energy consumption 2012, millions of kWh
Fuels – as share of bus fleet in 2015
Diesel&77%&
Biodiesel&6%&
Bioethanol&1%& Biogas&
14%&
Hybrids&(Diesel)&2%&
Hydrogen&0,5&%&
1100 buses in total
5 Fuel Cell Buses (Van Hool)
• 35 kg H2 per bus ~ 300 km
• Fuel cell + battery
• Zero emissions
H2 station (Air Liquide) • Electrolyses + green electricity • Production: 250 kg H2/day
• Refuels a bus in 10 min
Oslo
Clean Hydrogen in European Cities (CHIC)
Fossil Free 2020
Renewable energy: ! Electricity with renewable energy
certificates
! Biofuels that comply with the sustainability criteria of the Renewable Energy Directive: 50-60% CO2-e reduction
Internal combustion engine with biofuels
• Biodiesel • Biogas • Bioethanol
Hybrid bus – combination of electric and combustion
• Biofuels + electric • Rechargeable electric
+ biofuel (= plug-in)
Electric • Battery – recharge overnight
• Battery - opportunity recharging
• Fuel cell with hydrogen
Technology alternatives:
Fossil Free 2020 strategy developement Scenario 1
Scenario 2
Scenario 3
Mapping of relevant solutions Market dialogue, market survey, desktop research, interviews pilot projects
Which solutions are suitable?
Compared to operational set-up, line and route structure
What is preferred? Level of ambition, risk, cost
85%1) of buses have contracts which can be terminated before 2021, 60% if full prolongation
250
45 3935
52
334
6047
54
2022 2021 2020 2019
82
2018
86
153
20 16 5
2017
273 12 11
2016 2023
Diesel
Biodiesel Hydrogen
Biogas
Diesel Hybrid
Bioethanol
Ca 85% Ca 15%
1) No. of buses exclude special transport and spare buses
No. of buses changed each year if minimum contract duration is used only
Cost: Total cost of ownership per powertrain 2020
Fuel Cell
132-151
108-114
Bioethanol
103-108
Biodiesel
98-102
Battery Opportunity
110-122
Battery Overnight
108-121
Plug-In Hybrid
(Biogas)
Plug-In Hybrid
(Biodiesel)**
100-110
Plug-In Hybrid
(Biodiesel)*
114-127
Hybrid (Biogas)
Hybrid (Biodiesel)
98-104
Biogas
Bus maintenance Bus depreciation
Fuel costs Infrastructure costs Downtime costs
Labor costs
N/A N/A
TCO by powertrain (12 m bus), biodiesel Euro VI base case = Index 100
*Plug-in hybrid with opportunity charging ** Plug-in hybrid without opportunity charging
Strategic target for bus fleet in 2025
" High ambitions on behalf of the environment
" 1/3 of buses fully electric (battery and hydrogen)
" Approx. 60% of buses in Oslo fully electric
" Scale-up on locally produced biogas: 500 buses in 2025
Biodiesel&18%&
Biogas&44%&
Hybrids&(Biodiesel)&
3%&
Hybrids&(Biogas)&3%&
PlugBIn&Hybrids&
(Biodiesel)&4%&
BaDery&Overnight&
3%&
BaDery&Opportunity&
20%&
Fuel&Cell&5%&
Fleet%composi,on%in%2025%
Biodiesel&36%&
Biogass&47&%&
Hybrid&(Biodiesel)&3&%&
PlugBIn&Hybrid&(Biodiesel)&
4&%&BaDeri&&
(underveis)&9&%&
Hydrogen&1&%&
Fossil free fleet in 2020
Results of 2025 bus fleet
Environment
Operations
5%&12%&
79%&
27%& 24%&
0%&
10%&
20%&
30%&
40%&
50%&
60%&
70%&
80%&
90%&
Reduced&technical&availability&
Reduced&passenger&capacity&
Reduced&range&(<500&
km)&
Refueling&Qme&>10&min&
Reduced&route&
flexibility&
B89%&
32%& 32%&
B100%&
B80%&
B60%&
B40%&
B20%&
0%&
20%&
40%&
Zero&emission&share&of&bus&
fleet&
Share&of&bus&fleet&with&low&noise&levels&
Yearly&reducQon&of&CO2&
TCO bus fleet in 2025
+ 2-10%
Targeted bus fleet 2025
Today’s bus fleet
Downtime costs Infrastructure costs Labor costs Fuel costs Bus maintenance Bus depreciation
Yearly cost differential for bus fleet in 2025
Fuel
Downtime cost Infrastructure, maintenance Labour
Bus depriciation Bus maintenance
Hig
her c
osts
than
to
day’
s fle
et
Low
er c
osts
than
to
day’
s fle
et
0 kr
Higher costs for bus, infrastructure and labour - lower for fuels
Ruter’s targeted bus fleet development Bus&fleet&&
Future&
Electric&(baDery&and&hydrogen)&
Hybrids& Biogas& Bioethanol& Biodiesel& Diesel&
Key learnings
Bus technology and operations
# There are a number of bus options available that can meet the needs Ruter
# Time of expected commercial readiness of bus models is important
# It is possible to have a considerable number of battery electric (including hybrids ) buses around 2020, primarily inner city
# Electrification is part of the long-term solution, but not the only solution
# Charging system and infrastructure more uncertain than the bus technology
Key learnings
Recharging and infrastructure
# Opportunity recharging seems most efficient solution today
# Charging Solution: Tendency towards conductive with pantograph
# Infrastructure recharging: Lacking standards and unknown life expectancy are main challenges
# Business model for ownership and operations of charging infrastructure not mature
Implementation
# Step-by-step roll-out
# No need for bus technology test but for systems test
# Need for Ruter to decide on technology solutions on a high level, until standards are in place or more mature solutions
Next steps: Large scale testing
Need for co-operation
" To reduce risk and costs for public transport
" Enhanced collaboration on testing and data sharing
" Ruter’s report available at www.ruter.no