Post on 14-Apr-2018
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DOWNTOWN SCHOOL
FEASIBILITY STUDY
Evaluating the need for a Public School in Downtown Seattle
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Overview
Most populous neighborhood in Seattle Fastest growing since 1990 (127%)
DowntownDemographics
John Hay Elementary, atop QueenAnne Hill (118% of capacity by 2015)
Bailey Gatzert Elementary, atop FirstHill (146% of capacity by 2015)
AttendanceArea
ElementarySchools
Total Downtown public school studentpopulation
Downtowns share of enrollment at JohnHay Elementary
EnrollmentProjections
John Hay
Bailey
Gatzert
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Downtown Population
Total Downtown population in 1990 was 16,100.
By 2010 residents numbered 36,700.
South Lake Union/
Denny Triangle
Uptown
Belltown
Core/
West Edge
Pioneer
Square/ Intl
District
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Children Under Five
Percent Change in Population Under Five (1990-2010)
Downtown experienced the largest percent increase in the number of residents under five since1990, from 283 to 625 children (121%).
The number of children under 14 living Downtown increased from 679 in 1990 to 1,268 in 2010.
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
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Demographic Snapshot of Downtown
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
Downtown Seattle
Less than $30,000
$30k to 40k
$40k to 50k
$50k to 60k
$60k to 70k More than $80,000
$70k to 80k
86 percent rentDowntown v. 52
percent citywide
Rent v.
Own
Lowest medianhousehold income
Economic diversity
Income One of Seattles most
racially diverseneighborhoods
Diversity
66%
10%
1%
15%
3% 5%
White
Black
American Indian
Asian
Other
Two or More
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2534 year olds (2010)
Uptown and South Lake Union have highestconcentration of 25-34 year olds in Seattle.
Presence of young adults is a goodpredictor of births.
0 to 15%
15 to 20%
20 to 25%
25 to 30%
30 to 35%
More than 35%
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Downtown Employment
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
Boston* San Francisco Philadelphia Seattle Minneapolis Denver Portland San Diego Charlotte
Total Employees Employees per sq. mile
Seattle is a major employment center with nearly 200,000 workers.
Among peer cities, only Seattle and Denver do not have a downtown public school.
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Commuting Downtown
i
N
Approximately one-third of Downtown workers areSeattle residents (60,000+).
40% come from North Seattle Middle School Areas(Whitman, Hamilton and Eckstein).
40% from Central Seattle (Washington and
McClure), 15% West Seattle.
Option school likely very popular (esp. STEM), manyalready bring children to daycare. Also, Downtownis a major transit hub.
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Quotes about a Downtown School
We want to live in a
downtown and we want our
kids to go to public school . .
Queen Anne would not be
workable. Its a deal breakerfor us.
If theres not a public
school . . . I could see
ourselves leaving at that
point. School is everythingfor us.
Its extremely inconvenient for me
to feel connected to [John Hay], I
dont get to walk and pick her uplike the other moms. I dont get to
see the teacher daily . . . I would
love something I could walk by, just
feel like I belong to the community.
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Elementary School Areas
Salmon Bay K-8
Pinehurst K-8
Jane AddamsK-8
Thornton Creek
TOPSK-8Queen Anne
OrcaK-8
South Shore PK-8
K-5 STEM @Boren
tWes Seattle Elementary
Leschiatzert
Kimball John Muir
Thurgood Marshall
Beacon Hill Int'l
t
Adams
Whi ter
G
Bagley
WedgwoodGreenwood
Viewlands John Rogers
BryantSand Point
View Ridge
Laurelhurst
lCoe
Hay
Lowell
Stevens
Montake
McGilvra
Madrona K-8
AlkiLafayette
Schmitz Park
c
Northgate
Olympi Hills
North Beach
Loyal Heights
Maple
MLK Jr.
Hawthorne
Graham Hill
Dearborn Park
Roxhill
Gatewood
Arbor Heights
t
Green Lake
Wes Woodland
McDonald Int'l
B F Day
John Stanford Int'lLawton
Catharine Blaine K-8
Broadview-Thomson K-8
SacajaweaOlympic View
Dunlap
Sanislo
Emerson
Wing Luke
Highland ParkConcord Int'l
VanAsselt atAAA
Illustrates a 1 mile radius surrounding everypublic elementary school in Seattle.
Switched to a neighborhood school model in2009. Darker shading indicates areas withseveral nearby schools.
Noticeable absence in Downtown Seattle. Greenare neighborhood schools; purple representsoption schools.
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Downtown Public Schoolchildren
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Washington McClure Hay Gatzert
Four guaranteed assignment schools areHay, Gatzert, McClure and Washington.
Since assignment change, Hay hasexperienced significant growth in studentsfrom Downtown.
In 2007, 36 Downtown students at Hay. In2011, 102 children.
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K-12 Downtown and District Enrollment
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
District K-12 Downtown K-12
Enrollment of Downtown students in K-12has grown faster than the district as awhole.
Since 2007-2008, Downtown enrollmentgrew 21percent, compared to 7 percentdistrict-wide.
In 2011, 558 SPS students lived Downtown.
% Change since 2007-2008
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Downtown Births
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Sep 2000
thru Aug2001
Sep 2001
thru Aug2002
Sep 2002
thru Aug2003
Sep 2003
thru Aug2004
Sep 2004
thru Aug2005
Sep 2005
thru Aug2006
Sep 2006
thru Aug2007
Sep 2007
thru Aug2008
Sep 2008
thru Aug2009
Sep 2009
thru Aug2010
John Hay Attendance Area births are increasing, growth is from Downtown (97% increasesince 2000).
In 2000, Downtown would have represented 39 percent of Hay Attendance Area births,
today its 66 percent.
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District and Downtown Births
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
Downtown Births District Births
Over the past decade, SPS has seen a risein the number of city-wide and Downtownbirths.
Since 2001, Downtown births haveincreased 97 percent, compared to nearly19 percent for the district.
Represents year eligible for kindergarten.Notable rise in births since 2007 (2012-2013 school year).
% Change since 2006-2007
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Downtown K-8 Student Projection
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Downtown K-8 projected to increaseby 51% (moderate growth scenario).
Moderate growth has a capture rateof 30%, far below districts 2011average (71%).
Assumes no Downtown school.
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John Hay Student Projections
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
District projects more than 700Hay students by 2020.
Downtown students are projectedto number between 320 and 430Hay students.
Scenarios assume capture ratesbetween 25 and 33 percent.
Total John Hay
Enrollment
Downtown Students at
John Hay
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Historical Precedent
There have been schools in Downtown Seattlebefore, notably the Denny School (6th & Wall) andCascade School (schools playfield becameCascade Playground).
Denny School closed in 1928 in order to completethe Regrade. The schools bell tower is preserved inDenny Park.
Cascade closed in 1949 after suffering earthquakedamage.
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Urban School Precedents
There are urban schoolsacross the country from SanDiego to New York.
Creative solutions tochallenges from the lack ofspace (e.g. play areas atopbuildings)
Most are incorporated into
existing buildings, very fewstand alone.
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Potential Sites
12
3
5
67
8
9
10
1112
13
4
Many sites withinDowntown with thenecessary square footageand access to play areas.
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Conclusion
Downtown has experienced a demographictransformation
Targeted to absorb future growth, development
Families have historically left Downtown as childrenaged, data indicate many would consider staying ifthere was a school, school enrollment rising
Downtown is well-positioned for a neighborhood
school, or option given Downtown jobs, transit Many organizations want to partner, STEM
opportunities
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Downtown School Steering Committee
Jack McCullough McCullough Hill Leary
Pegi McEvoy Seattle Public Schools
Kate Joncas Downtown Seattle Association
Gary Johnson City of Seattle
Lucy Morello Seattle Public Schools
Holly Ferguson Seattle Public SchoolsHolly Miller City of Seattle
Lyn Tangen Vulcan
Bob Royer Gallatin Public Affairs
Jim Hendricks Seattle Childrens Research Institute
Jerry DeGrieck City of Seattle
Matt Roewe VIA Architecture
Jon Scholes Downtown Seattle AssociationJohn Heathcliff Heathcliff & Company
Nate Van Duzer Office of Councilmember Tim Burgess
Calvin Lyons Boys & Girls Clubs of King County
Ed Hewson Paragon Real Estate Advisers
John Coney Uptown Alliance
Rachel Cassidy Seattle Public Schools
Diana Canzoneri City of Seattle
Brian Scott BDS Planning & Urban DesignPeter Folkins New Ventures Group
Amanda Bryan VIA Architecture
Ryan Gockel Downtown Seattle Association
Jen Kelly VIA Architecture
Pat Callahan Urban Renaissance Group
Greg Johnson Wright Runstad
Diana Sugimura City of Seattle