Developing in a decade - Hariri

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Slides from Hadi Hariri talk @Codemotion Roma 2014

Transcript of Developing in a decade - Hariri

Developing in a DecadeA Glance into the Future

How/What will we be developing in 2024?

More

Google Trends

Google Trends

-Johnny Appleseed

The Next Big Thing (TM)

What new language?

What new paradigm?

What new framework?

And Process?

It doesn’t matter

Don’t restrict yourself

Constantly be learning

Your cheese will move

but there’s plenty more around

The means will change

We will adapt

But will our goals change?

Have our goals changed?

Why do we do what we do?

Why?

Technology & Software is helping people

AutomationIncreasing Productivity

Technology and Jobs

Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee

Technology and Jobs

Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee

This is not your mother’s

Industrial Revolution

Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee

This is not your mother’s

Industrial Revolution

Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee

InformationThe Key to Freedom

There’s a lot of information

Big Dataa.k.a. The Next Big Thinga.k.a. The Next Big Thing (TM)

What can we do with this Data?

How can we do it?

Why should we do it?

It’s information. Information is knowledge.

Is too much information a bad thing?

Orwell’s Society

Big Brother!

Control!

Censorship

Huxley’s Society

Controlled Population!

Amusement!

Artificial Procreation

Amusing ourselves to

DeathRelevance lost in a sea of

irrelevance

-Neil Postman, Amusing ourselves to death

“What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What Huxley feared was that there would be no reason to ban a book,

for there would be no one who wanted to read one. Orwell feared those who would deprive us of information. Huxley feared those

who would give us so much that we would be reduced to passivity and egoism. Orwell feared that the truth would be

concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance. Orwell feared we would become a captive

culture. Huxley feared we would become a trivial culture, preoccupied with some equivalent of the feelies, the orgy porgy,

and the centrifugal bumblepuppy. …..!

In short, Orwell feared that what we hate will ruin us. Huxley feared that what we love will ruin us.!

!

This book is about the possibility that Huxley, not Orwell, was right.”

We are inundated with information. Things become

insignificant quickly.

29 Stages of a Twitter (Shit) Storm

http://www.buzzfeed.com/tomphillips/the-29-stages-of-a-twitterstorm

1. Someone does something bad

2. Someone notices it

4. Gradually anger builds

6. …and builds

8. Famous Twitter Account notices

9. People send angry messages…to wrong account

10. Someone starts a petition

12. Lots of petitions. No one knows which one to sign

15. Issue trends

16. Media covers it

18. Politicians get on board

22. Story dominates media

23. Social Media “Experts” have a field day

24. Someone apologises

25. Most people kind of accept it. Issue dies down.

27. Someone invents some hashtag game

29. Next day, something else happens.

The relevant becomes irrelevant

What type of society are we aiming for?

And then there’s us: Developers

As Developers, we play a role in changing the world

Start-upsChanging the World

1.

2.

3.

4.

WHY?

Success!

and if you want to be successful, you need to be in

the Valley

Silicon Valley

Longer to Raise Money!

Decreases Odds of Being Bought Out!

Decreases Odds of Success

Outside the Valley…

What is success?

The Jungle

Homes that cost $3.3 Million !

Homes costing $700K surrounded by tents of the Jungle!

Jungle: 175 homeless at any time

What happened to the whole “Changing the World”?

40 Million Americans on Food Stamps

Are our goals changing?

Why?

Innovation, Success, Improving Society for all !!

are not incompatible goals

Changing the World != Helping it

-Johnny Appleseed

We need to acknowledge there is a problem

-Johnny Appleseed

As Developers, as an Industry, we have the potential to create a better society

-Johnny Appleseed

We should look to the future and ask Why, not What, or How

-Johnny Appleseed

Software Development, Technology isn’t the goal.

pic of drop what you’re doing.

pic of children learning

Paraphrased conversation between Attenborough and Goldblum - Jurassic Park

“We were so busy seeing if we could, that we didn’t stop to think if we should”

-Johnny Appleseed

Thank you

CreditsPicturesCrystal Ball - http://www.flickr.com/photos/yorkjason/612634561/Textile Machine - http://www.flickr.com/photos/muriel_vd/984795979Brain - http://pixabay.com/en/brain-human-brain-science-biology-43490/ Baby Crying - http://www.flickr.com/photos/44124370018Pigeon Hole - http://www.flickr.com/photos/irisheyes/103405687/Cheese - http://www.flickr.com/photos/ladymissmarquise/5383384526 Puzzle - http://www.flickr.com/photos/intvgene/370973576Helping Cart - http://www.flickr.com/photos/reddy-aprianto/8360515062/Automation - http://www.flickr.com/photos/xmacex/3019001226/Library - http://www.flickr.com/photos/ell-r-brown/9883645136/Barista - http://qz.com/134661/briggo-coffee-army-of-robot-baristas-could-mean-the-end-of-starbucks-as-we-know-it/ TV - http://www.flickr.com/photos/33718942@N07/5188238584Huxley - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huxley Orwell - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_OrwellKids - http://www.flickr.com/photos/73645804@N00/4006194802Stop - http://www.flickr.com/photos/misteraitch/2971658475Google Car - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Google%27s_Lexus_RX_450h_Self-Driving_Car.jpg Computers - http://www.flickr.com/photos/quinnanya/4152110208Windows 8.1 - http://www.flickr.com/photos/nabor_garrido/9519905048/Food - Glenn’s Breakfast !