CRITICAL PATHWAY ANALYSIS FOR RADIOLOGICAL IMPACT CONTROL AND ASSESSMENT Riaz Akber...

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CRITICAL PATHWAY ANALYSIS FOR

RADIOLOGICAL IMPACT

CONTROL AND ASSESSMENT

Riaz Akber

r.akber@qut.edu.au

Source Receptor

SOURCE – RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIP IN NORM IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Source ReceptorRadiation

Radioactivity

SOURCE – RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIP IN NORM IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Source ReceptorRadiation

Radioactivity

Environment

SOURCE – RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIP IN NORM IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Source ReceptorRadiation

Radioactivity

Environment

Human

SOURCE – RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIP IN NORM IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Source ReceptorRadiation

Radioactivity

Environment

Human

PublicProfessional

SOURCE – RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIP IN NORM IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Source ReceptorRadiation

Radioactivity

Environment

Human

PublicProfessional

On site Off site

SOURCE – RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIP IN NORM IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Source ReceptorRadiation

Radioactivity

Environment

Human

PublicProfessional

Critical group

On site Off site

SOURCE – RECEPTOR RELATIONSHIP IN NORM IMPACT ASSESSMENT

Working in Shifts, Adults

Time

IMPACT TIME SERIES OF A PRACTICE INVOLVING NORM

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

P

RA

CT

ICE

IN

VO

LV

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RM

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Pre

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atio

n

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erat

ion

Reh

abili

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on

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st

Reh

abili

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Time

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- O

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n

Op

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ion

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abil

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Po

st R

ehab

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n

Imp

act

IMP

AC

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IME

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RIE

S O

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P

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CT

ICE

IN

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LV

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NO

RM

Time

Pre

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n

Op

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ion

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abil

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ion

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st R

ehab

ilit

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n

Imp

act

IMP

AC

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IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

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ICE

IN

VO

LV

ING

NO

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Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abil

itat

ion

Po

st R

ehab

ilit

atio

n

Imp

act

Limit

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

P

RA

CT

ICE

IN

VO

LV

ING

NO

RM

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abil

itat

ion

Po

st R

ehab

ilit

atio

n

Imp

act

Limit

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

P

RA

CT

ICE

IN

VO

LV

ING

NO

RM

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abil

itat

ion

Po

st R

ehab

ilit

atio

n

Imp

act

Limit

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

P

RA

CT

ICE

IN

VO

LV

ING

NO

RM

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abil

itat

ion

Po

st R

ehab

ilit

atio

n

Imp

act

Bre

ak th

roug

h

Limit

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

P

RA

CT

ICE

IN

VO

LV

ING

NO

RM

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abil

itat

ion

Po

st R

ehab

ilit

atio

n

Imp

act

Bre

ak th

roug

h

Slow

Release

Limit

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

P

RA

CT

ICE

IN

VO

LV

ING

NO

RM

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abil

itat

ion

Po

st R

ehab

ilit

atio

n

Imp

act

Bre

ak th

roug

h

Slow

Release

Limit

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S O

F A

P

RA

CT

ICE

IN

VO

LV

ING

NO

RM

Recovery

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abili

tati

on

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

Pre

- O

per

atio

n

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre - Operation

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abili

tati

on

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Time

Pre - Operation

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abili

tati

on

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre - Operation

Op

erat

ion

Reh

abili

tati

on

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS. IM

PA

CT

TIM

E S

ER

IES

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

On-site access can be regulated

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

Include NORM in planning – operational plans, rehabilitation plans, walk-away plans

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Po

st

Reh

abili

tati

on

A different land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

Include NORM in planning – operational plans, rehabilitation plans, walk-away plans

Research your options

IMP

AC

T T

IME

SE

RIE

S

PL

EA

SE

CO

NS

IDE

R …

.

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Post RehabilitationA different

land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

Decisions to be made, actions and to be taken during operational phase

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

Include NORM in planning – operational plans, rehabilitation plans, walk-away plans

Research your options

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Post RehabilitationA different

land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

Decisions to be made, actions and to be taken during operational phase

Include NORM in consultative process for post rehabilitation land use

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

Include NORM in planning – operational plans, rehabilitation plans, walk-away plans

Research your options

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Post RehabilitationA different

land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

Decisions to be made, actions and to be taken during operational phase

Include NORM in consultative process for post rehabilitation land use

Research your options – consider scenarios

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

Include NORM in planning – operational plans, rehabilitation plans, walk-away plans

Research your options

Time

Pre

- O

per

atio

n OperationRehabilitation

Post RehabilitationA different

land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

Decisions to be made, actions and to be taken during operational phase

Include NORM in consultative process for post rehabilitation land use

Research your options – consider scenarios

Develop an action plan for post-rehabilitation site maintenance

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

Include NORM in planning – operational plans, rehabilitation plans, walk-away plans

Research your options

Time

Pre

- O

pera

tion Operation

RehabilitationPost RehabilitationA different

land use exists – ask locals

Establish a base-line value for NORM and NORM impact

Include NORM management in consultative process such as EIS.

Decisions to be made, actions and to be taken during operational phase

Include NORM in consultative process for post rehabilitation land use

Research options – consider scenarios

Develop an action plan for post-rehabilitation site maintenance

On-site access can be regulated

PPT, Training

Spillage & contamination controls

Monitoring regimes

NORM budget – input, output, waste

Assess off-site impact of NORM

Include NORM in planning – operational plans, rehabilitation plans, walk-away plans

Research your options

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

Taken from International Standards

Measurement

Model

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

Field measurements and observations

Sample collection for lab analysis

Written records

Discussions

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

Controlled by the nature of the radioisotope involved and transport medium (air, surface water, ground water)

Transport models applied to a problem may agree within a factor of 10

Complicated models may not necessarily be more accurate and reliable than simple models

Most important is the need for site specific measurements for model input and model validation

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

Selection of parameters leading to a conservative approach adequate for demonstrating compliance with limits.

A best estimate approach for comparison of options in decision making.

Vector transport may require a consideration.

Different transport pathways may be more important for different sites (eg downwind vs. downstream)

Some pathways may exhibit with a time lag (eg groundwater)

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

Factors such as occupancy, age and lifestyle and activities can influence the dose estimate.

Report conditions for which the dose has been reported (eg inhalation dose due to all time outdoor occupancy by juveniles in a town 10km from the site)

For post rehabilitation planning, consider different demographic scenarios.

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

Taken from International Standards

Measurement

Model

Dose limits apply to practices

NORM SOURCE

TRANSPORT

RECEPTOR

DOSE

RISK / DETRIMENT

LAYERS OF ASSESSMENT IN NORM

Link between Dose and Risk is subject to uncertainties and may change with time

CRITICAL PATHWAY ANALYSIS FOR

RADIOLOGICAL IMPACT

CONTROL AND ASSESSMENT

Riaz Akber

r.akber@qut.edu.au

NORM is everywhere

UNSCEAR 2000 Table 3 p 114http://www.unscear.org/pdffiles/annexb.pdf

Naturally occurring radionuclides : 59

Cosmogenic 14, Lithogenic 45

238U + series (14)

232Th + series (11)

235U + series (15)

40K

7Be , many more …

NORM is everywhere

NORM

NORM is everywhere

NORM

NORM is everywhere

NORM

Remedial actions may be necessary

NORM is everywhere

NORM

Remedial actions may be necessary

TENORM

Regulatory controls apply

NORM is everywhere

UNSCEAR 2000 Para 197 p 112

RADIATION ATLAS EU

Global average for all people 2.4 mSv.y-1

Ambient distribution of NORM does give a significant radiation dose to individuals.

NORM is everywhere

UNSCEAR 2000 Para 197 p 112

RADIATION ATLAS EU

Global average for all people 2.4 mSv.y-1

25% < 1 mSv.y-1

65% 1-3

10% >3

Ambient distribution of NORM does give a significant radiation dose to individuals.

NORM is everywhere

UNSCEAR 2000 Para 197 p 112

RADIATION ATLAS EU

Global average for all people 2.4 mSv.y-1

25% < 1 mSv.y-1

65% 1-3

10% >3

Ambient distribution of NORM does give a significant radiation dose to individuals.

There is a natural variability in NORM distribution

238U4.47x109 y

226Ra1600 y

214Pb26.8 m

222Rn3.82 d

218Po3.1 m

234Th24.1 d

234mPa1.18 m

234U2.5x105 y

230Th7.5x104 y

206PbStable

210Pb22.3 y

214Bi19.7 m

214Po164 µs

210Bi5.01 d

210Po138 d

NORM – 238U series

238U4.47x109 y

226Ra1600 y

214Pb26.8 m

222Rn3.82 d

218Po3.1 m

234Th24.1 d

234mPa1.18 m

234U2.5x105 y

230Th7.5x104 y

206PbStable

210Pb22.3 y

214Bi19.7 m

214Po164 µs

210Bi5.01 d

210Po138 d

4.4 x 10-5

2.8 x 10-4

2.1 x 10-4

4.9 x 10-5

6.8 x 10-4

2.4 x 10-4

NORM – 238U seriesDose coefficient (mSv.Bq-1)Ingestion ICRP 68

238U4.47x109 y

226Ra1600 y

214Pb26.8 m

222Rn3.82 d

218Po3.1 m

234Th24.1 d

234mPa1.18 m

234U2.5x105 y

230Th7.5x104 y

206PbStable

210Pb22.3 y

214Bi19.7 m

214Po164 µs

210Bi5.01 d

210Po138 d

7.3 x 10-3

5.7 x 10-3

8.5 x 10-3

6.8 x 10-3

4.0 x 10-2

1.3 x 10-2

1.6 x 10-3

1.2 x 10-3

8.9 x 10-4

1.1 x 10-3

6.0 x 10-4

6.1 x 10-7

NORM – 238U seriesDose coefficient (mSv.Bq-1)Inhalation ICRP 68

AMAD 1 mAMAD 5 m

238U4.47x109 y

226Ra1600 y

214Pb26.8 m

222Rn3.82 d

218Po3.1 m

234Th24.1 d

234mPa1.18 m

234U2.5x105 y

230Th7.5x104 y

206PbStable

210Pb22.3 y

214Bi19.7 m

214Po164 µs

210Bi5.01 d

210Po138 d

NORM – 238U seriesRadon & progeny

238U4.47x109 y

226Ra1600 y

214Pb26.8 m

222Rn3.82 d

218Po3.1 m

234Th24.1 d

234mPa1.18 m

234U2.5x105 y

230Th7.5x104 y

206PbStable

210Pb22.3 y

214Bi19.7 m

214Po164 µs

210Bi5.01 d

210Po138 d

NORM – 238U seriesExternal gamma

CRITICAL PATHWAY ANALYSIS FOR

RADIOLOGICAL IMPACT

CONTROL AND ASSESSMENT

Riaz Akber

r.akber@qut.edu.au