Building Regulation for Resilience...

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Building Regulation for Resilience Programme

Thomas MoullierWorld Bank

National Policies for Raising Quality in Construction Industry - Conference

Riga, November 25th, 2016

Chronic

Building

Failure

Acute Disaster or

Concentrated Risk

The benefits of effective building regulation

PUBLIC

HEALTH

RESOURCE

EFFICIENCY

PROPERTY VALUE

& MUNICIPAL

FINANCE

ACCESSIBILITY

FOR PERSONS

WITH DISABILITIES

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Increased vulnerability 215 million urban residents could fall back into poverty by 2030

if there is no climate mitigation and investment in urban adaptation (World Bank, 2016)

Increased exposure (millions of people exposed in large cities)

Growth of population & urbanization (current increase of 72 million per year:70% urbanized by 2050)

A stark inequality between the rich and poor

Munich Re

Disaster Impact on GDP is 20 times higher in developing countries than in industrial nations

Munich Re

Distribution of the number of disasters and fatalities across high, middle and low-income countries in the last 30 years

39%

42%

12%

7%

Fatalities

Low income

Lower-middle income

Upper middle

High income

9%

24%

20%

47%

Number of disasters

Low income

Lower-middleincomeUpper middle

High income

Source: Munich Re

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Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, March 2016

The need to invest in support institutions

Problem we are addressing:Failure of implementation of building regulation in developing countries

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Building Regulation For Resilience Agenda

• Built environment: buildings structures excluding infrastructure (roads, power plants, (roads, power plants, water sanitation, etc.)sanitation, etc.)

• Risks: Natural hazards risks (seismic, weather-related, etc.) and chronic risks (fires, structural

Scope: Building controls and the larger support environment

Andhra Pradesh, India

Ethiopia

Ecuador

Armenia

JamaicaPhilippines

Kenya

Mozambique

Dhaka, Bangladesh

Malawi

Colombo, Sri Lanka

Rabat, Morocco

Accra, Ghana

Lagos, Nigeria

160,000 lives saved by 2050

USD 268 million in reduced losses each

year

How the program supports improved building safety in Ethiopia to save 160,000 lives by 2050

Understanding risk

Hazard risk information

Seismic and flood hazard monitoring

Reducing risk in existing buildings

Rapid visual screening (RVS)

Retrofit funding for public buildings

Avoid new risk creation

Improving quality

assurance mechanisms

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Areas of collaboration between CEBC & the World Bank

• Pull European expertise in existing & future World Bank’s Urban Resilience projects

• Strengthen international community of regulatory practice to support new international agreements (Habitat III – COP22 –Sendai Framework for Action – Sustainable Development Goals)

• Build a strong case for investing into effective building regulation

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GFDRR.org/buildingregulation

Building Regulation for Resilience

Thomas Moullier, Team Leadertmoullier@worldbank.org

Frederick Krimgold, Lead Adviserfkrimgold@worldbank.org

Vittoria Franchini, Communications & Knowledge Management

vfranchini@worldbankgroup.org

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Annexes

January 2016Sustainable

Development GoalsGOAL 11: Make cities

inclusive, safe, resilient & sustainable

October 2016UN-Habitat III

New Urban Agenda

December 2015Paris Agreement on

Climate ChangeAdaptation, resilience and

loss minimization

March 2015Sendai Framework

(Priority 3) Investing in Disaster Risk Reduction for Resilience

Building regulation

for Resilience

Alignment with major international agreements

Source: Fumio Yamazaki, Chiba University

Damage ratio of reinforced concrete buildings in Kobe (Japan)

Data analyzed after 1995 earthquake