Brazilian Soft Drinks Market, Opportunities in Juices and...

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Brazilian Soft Drinks Market, Opportunities in Juices and Nectars

June 11

Luciano Anavi Latin America Research Manager Canadean Limited luciano.anavi@canadean.com

The leading global beverage research company

Complete channel and segments analysis

Independent view, 35 years of experience

Industrial research, bottlers + allied industries + distributors

About Canadean

What’s the context and current status of the

juice & nectar category.

Future of the category. Opportunities and threats for

the short and medium term.

Content

Soft Drinks Consumption in Brazil 2010

400 cm3 of Soft Drinks per day per capita

53.3%

19.3%

19.8%

4.8% 1.7%

CSD, 50% of those non fruit flavoured

Water, 0% juice content

Non RTD, fruit flavoured

Fruit Based Drinks, less than 10% fruit content

Juice and Nectars

Soft Drinks Consumption in Brazil historical and

Forecast

Total Incremental Volume 10-15: 9.4 Blts

3.5% from J&N

3.5% from J&N

Total Incremental Volume 05-10: 6.4 Blts

70 222 432 600

1.462

3.461

Iced/RTD Tea Drinks

Squash/Syrups Energy Drinks Sports Drinks J&N Fruit Powders Still Drinks Packaged Water

Carbonates

284 327 624 846 1.621

5.382

Iced/RTD Tea Drinks

Sports Drinks Energy Drinks Squash/Syrups J&N Fruit Powders Still Drinks Packaged Water

Carbonates

J&N Performance and 2015 Scenario

1,6 1,8

2,0 2,2

2,4 2,6

2,8

3,1

3,4

3,7

4,0

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015

Brazil J&N per capita consumption - LPC

TCCC /

Del Valle

Schincariol

launched

Fruthos

TCCC /

SucosMais

Brazil J&N Scenario

5,0

2,6

14,7

0,9

8,1

17,0

0,0

4,0

8,0

12,0

16,0

Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Venezuela

Juice & Nectars Per Capita Consumption 10

Litre

s p

er

capita

Average

per capita

5.2 LPC

Latam

2.5 LPC

Packaged and branded consumption

J&N Distribution Channels

J&N All Other Soft Drinks

Away from

Home

Tradit.

Retail Modern

Retail Away from

Home

Tradit.

Retail Modern

Retail

16% 61% 23% 26% 47% 27%

Underdeveloped On Premise channel for the packaged / branded J&N

The Branded, Packed Market

Juice & Nectars Market

TCCC

Wow

58% of total

market

The Unbranded, Unpacked Market

Unbranded Consumption

X 5

Branded

Consumption

Traditional

formats

21 15 16

$ / litre

Mexico – Case Example

Premium

launch

Low price

still drink

R$ / litre

Brazil – Case Example

3 5

Mainstream

Soy

based

4

Low fruit

content

Kapo by

Del Valle

$ / litre

Argentina – Case Example

1

4 5 8 Diluted

format

Added

value

Traditional

format Cepita by

Cipolleti

License – In / Outs

Flavoured

water

extension

R$ / litre

Brazil – Su Fresh

3 5 4

Soy based

Superpremium

Coconut water

Premium

Light

Mainstream

J&N Segments in Brazil

2.30 $/lt Ambient: 96%

Chilled: 4%

Orange: 27%

Peach: 15%

Passion fruit.:12%

Grape: 12%

2.6 LPC

NFC: 1%

FC: 99%

Grape Juice in the World and in Brazil

Grape Flavour Soft Drinks per Capita and Volume Top 10

countries

6,2

5,0 4,9 4,3

2,2 2,0 1,8 1,7 1,5 1,4

Czech Republic

Slovak Republic

Brazil Mexico Japan Hungary United States of America

Colombia Latvia Romania

Grape Juice Per Capita Top 10 countries

972

555 468

327 317 312 277 202 82 82

Grape Juice consumption in MM Litres Top 10 countries/regions

Top Five Grape Flavour Soft Drinks brands

515

324 316

200 198

Fanta Welch`s Kangshifu Uni-President Tang

Top 5 Grape Brands in the World, all Soft Drinks in MM L

100

30

70

100 99

1

100

Fanta Welch`s Kangshifu Uni-President Tang

Brands by Category %

Carbonates Juice Still Drinks Nectars Fruit Powders

Grape Soft Drinks Brand by Country: Fanta

515

324 316

200 198

Fanta Welch`s Kangshifu Uni-President Tang

Top 5 Grape Brands in the World, all Soft Drinks in MM L

China 2%

Japan 44%

Romania

5%

Brazil 48%

Chile 1%

Fanta

Grape Soft Drinks Brand by Country: Welch’s

515

324 316

200 198

Fanta Welch`s Kangshifu Uni-President Tang

Top 5 Grape Brands in the World, all Soft Drinks in MM L

China 1%

Japan 1% Mexico

0%

United States

of America

98%

Welch’s

Grape Soft Drinks Brand by Country: Kangshifu

515

324 316

200 198

Fanta Welch`s Kangshifu Uni-President Tang

Top 5 Grape Brands in the World, all Soft Drinks in MM L

China 100%

Kangshifu

Grape Soft Drinks Brand by Country: Uni-President

515

324 316

200 198

Fanta Welch`s Kangshifu Uni-President Tang

Top 5 Grape Brands in the World, all Soft Drinks in MM L

China 100%

Uni-President

Grape Soft Drinks Brand by Country: Tang

515

324 316

200 198

Fanta Welch`s Kangshifu Uni-President Tang

Top 5 Grape Brands in the World, all Soft Drinks in MM L

China 1% Brazil

18%

Chile 0%

Mexico 70%

United States

of America

0% Philippi

nes 11%

Tang

Soft Drinks Grape Flavour Categories in Brazil

2010

66%

17%

7%

6%

1,7%

Carbonates Fruit Powders Squash/Syrups Still Drinks Nectars Sports Drinks Iced/RTD Tea Drinks Juice Energy Drinks

32%

26%

26%

10%

6%

0%

Soft Drinks Mix 2010 all Flavours Soft Drinks Mix 2010 Grape Flavour

Analyzing Soft Drinks Attributes

refresh functional

indulgence

wellbeing

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

refresh functional

indulgence

wellbeing

Market volume

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD

energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

refresh functional

indulgence

wellbeing

Consumption occasions

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD

energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

refresh functional

indulgence

wellbeing

1.800

1.200

Fruit juice utilization

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD

energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

refresh functional

indulgence

wellbeing

Retail price

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD

energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

refresh functional

wellbeing

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

refresh functional in

du

lgen

ce

wel

lbei

ng

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD energy drinks iced coffee

Amplify fruits’ functionality vs. soy and dairy drinks

Better informed consumers

Next step:: liquid food

Value Added Segments

refresh functional

wellbeing

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

Juice brands as an umbrella

refresh functional

ind

ulg

ence

w

ellb

ein

g

carbonates fruit based

non RTD energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

Broaden consumption occasions and juice content Case example: Aguas Frescas vs Flavored Waters

refresh functional

wellbeing

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

refresh

functional

ind

ulg

ence

w

ellb

ein

g

energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

Juice content as a product differentiation

refresh functional

wellbeing

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD energy drinks iced coffee

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

Juice meets energy

refresh functional

ind

ulg

ence

wel

lbei

ng

juice and nectars soy based dairy based

packaged water flavoured water

sports drinks tea based

carbonates fruit based

non RTD

Conclusions – Summing Up

Low packaged J&N consumption

Immature traditional retail and on premise channels

Juice brands as an umbrella

Value Added Segments

Obrigado

Luciano Anavi Latin America Research Manager Canadean Limited T +54-11-4314-1043 M +549-11-6219-5966 luciano.anavi@canadean.com