Beauty and Personal Care Industry Trends and Future Prospects for The US

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Transcript of Beauty and Personal Care Industry Trends and Future Prospects for The US

INDUSTRY TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS FOR THE US

IN-COSMETICS PARIS - APRIL 12, 2016

PRESS BRIEFING

US BEAUTY IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

PREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

CONCLUSIONS

US BEAUTY IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

PREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

CONCLUSIONS

© Euromonitor International

4

Outstanding Growth in North American Beauty MarketBEAUTY BREAKDOWN: INDUSTRY TRENDS AND FUTURE PROSPECTS FOR THE US

2015 Beauty & Personal Care Value Sales and Growth by Region

Wester

n Euro

pe

Easter

n Eur

ope

North A

merica

Latin

Ameri

ca

Asia Pacif

ic

Austra

lasia

Middle E

ast a

nd A

frica

$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000

$120,000

$140,000

$160,000

0.00%

2.00%

4.00%

6.00%

8.00%

10.00%

12.00%

Colour Cosmetics Other Beauty & Personal CareColour Cosmetics Growth Total Beauty & Personal Care Growth

US

$ B

illion

s

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

, Fix

ed 2

015

Exc

hang

e)

© Euromonitor International

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U.S. Outpaces 2015 Global Beauty Growth Across Categories2015 U.S. Beauty & Personal Care Value Sales and Growth by Category

Skin

Care

Colo

ur Cos

metics

Men

's Groo

ming

Frag

rance

s

Deo

doran

ts

Sun

Care

$0

$20

$40

$60

$80

$100

$120

0.00%

1.00%

2.00%

3.00%

4.00%

5.00%

6.00%

7.00%

8.00%

US World US Growth World Growth

2015

Sal

es (U

S$

Billi

ons)

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

, Fix

ed 2

015

Exc

hang

e)

US BEAUTY IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

PREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

CONCLUSIONS

© Euromonitor International

7

2015 U.S. Premium Beauty Sales Grow Across All CategoriesPREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

2015 U.S. Premium Beauty & Personal Care Select Category Value Sales and Growth

Premium

Colo

ur Cos

metics

Premium

Fragran

ces

Premium

Skin

Care

Premium

Sun

Care

Premium

Deo

doran

ts$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

$8

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

Market Size Growth

US$

Billi

ons

2014

-201

5 G

row

th

© Euromonitor International

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Power to PremiumPREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

2011 2015 2020

Premium Value Sales ($US billion, constant)

$20 $23 $28

Premium Penetration (% Value)

32% 34% 37%

US$5 BillionU.S. premium beauty growth through 2020

Premiumisation of U.S. Beauty and Personal Care Market Forecasted to Continue

© Euromonitor International

9

$2.16

$1.38

$1.15

$0.23

$0.39

Premium Colour Cosmet-icsPremium Skin CarePremium FragrancesPremium Hair CareOther Premium Beauty and Personal Care

The Future Of U.S. Premium Beauty: Growth-Driving CategoriesPREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

Premium Category CAGR

Total Beauty and Personal Care

4.10%

Colour Cosmetics 5.70%

Sun Care 5.60%

Sets/Kits 4.90%

Skin Care 4.70%

Deodorants 4.60%

Bath and Shower 3.80%

Fragrances 3.30%

*Constant Value termsUS$5 Billion

U.S. Premium Beauty Value Growth 2015-2020(US$ Billions, Constant)

U.S. Premium BeautyCAGR* 2015-2020

US BEAUTY IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

PREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

CONCLUSIONS

© Euromonitor International

11CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

Top 15 Growth Subcategories for 2015 U.S. Colour Cosmetics

Colour Cosmetics: Growth Subcategories

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

EyeShadow

Mascara

Other EyeMake-Up

EyeLiner

BB & CCCreams

Foundation & Concealer

Other EyeMake-Up

Other LipProducts

Blusher,Highlighter& Bronzer

NailPolish

Lipstick

BB & CCCreams

Powder

Lip Liner

Lipstick

y

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

)

Premium Mass

© Euromonitor International

12CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

Top 15 Growth Subcategories for 2015 U.S. Colour Cosmetics

Colour Cosmetics: Growth Subcategories

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

EyeShadow

Mascara

Other EyeMake-Up

EyeLiner

BB & CCCreams

Foundation & Concealer

Other EyeMake-Up

Other LipProducts

Blusher,Highlighter& Bronzer

NailPolish

Lipstick

BB & CCCreams

Powder

Lip Liner

Lipstick

y

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

)

Premium Mass

© Euromonitor International

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Sephora introduces South Korean BB Cream brand Dr. Jart+ to the U.S.

Over 15 BB/CC creams launch in the U.S., from Clinique to Maybelline to Dior

BB/CC Creams grow 61% (constant value)

Packaging innovation: Miracle Cushion by Lancôme and Double Wear Makeup To Go Liquid Compact by Estée Lauder

Facial Cosmetics: Innovation Drives Growth

U.S. Facial Make-Up Sales 2011–2020 2011

2012

2013

2015

US BB/CC Cream constant value CAGR 2011-2015: 133%(Projected) US BB/CC Cream constant value CAGR 2015-2020: 12%

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020$0

$1

$2

$3

$4

$5

$6

$7

Foundation/Concealer Powder Blusher/Bronzer/Highlighter BB/CC Creams

Other Facial Make-Up

US

$ B

illion

s (C

onst

ant)

© Euromonitor International

14CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

Top 15 Growth Subcategories for 2015 U.S. Colour Cosmetics

Colour Cosmetics: Growth Subcategories

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

EyeShadow

Mascara

Other EyeMake-Up

EyeLiner

BB & CCCreams

Foundation & Concealer

Other EyeMake-Up

Other LipProducts

Blusher,Highlighter& Bronzer

NailPolish

Lipstick

BB & CCCreams

Powder

Lip Liner

Lipstick

y

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

)

Premium Mass

© Euromonitor International

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Brow Cosmetics: Boldness Drives GrowthCATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

US Other Eye Make-Up constant value CAGR 2010-2015: 20%(Projected) US Other Eye Make-Up constant value CAGR 2015-2020: 13%

Boldly Bushy Boldly Defined

May

bel

lin

e N

ew Y

ork

Eye

Stu

dio

 Bro

w D

efin

e +

Fil

l Du

o—6

/20

15

Clin

iqu

e Ju

st B

row

sin

g B

rush

-On

Sty

lin

g M

ouss

e la

un

—8/

20

15

An

asta

sia

Bro

w D

efin

er—

1/2

01

6

Bu

rber

ry E

yeb

row

Def

iner

lau

nch

ed—

9/20

15

© Euromonitor International

16CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

Top 15 Growth Subcategories for 2015 U.S. Colour Cosmetics

Colour Cosmetics: Growth Subcategories

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

EyeShadow

Mascara

Other EyeMake-Up

EyeLiner

BB & CCCreams

Foundation & Concealer

Other EyeMake-Up

Other LipProducts

Blusher,Highlighter& Bronzer

NailPolish

Lipstick

BB & CCCreams

Powder

Lip Liner

Lipstick

y

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

)

Premium Mass

© Euromonitor International

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Lip Cosmetics: Variety Drives GrowthCATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

US Lip Make-Up constant value CAGR 2010-2015: 7%(Projected) US Lip Make-Up constant value CAGR 2015-2020: 5%

Glossy, Plump and Natural Vivid Colors in luxurious Finishes

Pix

i Lip

Lift

Max

—3

/20

15

Maybelline Color Sensational Vivid Matte Liquid Lipstick—

1/2016

Burt’s Bees Lipsticks—2/2016Yves Saint Laurent Volupté Tint-in-Oil—1/2015

© Euromonitor International

18CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

Top 15 Growth Subcategories for 2015 U.S. Colour Cosmetics

Colour Cosmetics: Growth Subcategories

0.00%

5.00%

10.00%

15.00%

20.00%

25.00%

30.00%

35.00%

40.00%

45.00%

EyeShadow

Mascara

Other EyeMake-Up

EyeLiner

BB & CCCreams

Foundation & Concealer

Other EyeMake-Up

Other LipProducts

Blusher,Highlighter& Bronzer

NailPolish

Lipstick

BB & CCCreams

Powder

Lip Liner

Lipstick

y

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

)

Premium Mass

© Euromonitor International

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Eye Cosmetics: Lashes Drive GrowthCATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

US Eye Make-Up constant value CAGR 2011-2015: 4%(Projected) US Eye Make-Up constant value CAGR 2015-2020: 3%

NYX Big & Loud Lash Primer—1/2015

Benefit Roller Lash—2/2015

Dio

r D

iors

how

Mas

cara

—6/

201

5

© Euromonitor International

20

Skin Care: Growth SubcategoriesCATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

Top 10 Growth Subcategories for 2015 U.S. Skin Care

Premium

Lip C

are

Premium

Skin

Care

Sets

/Kits

Premium

Face M

asks

Premium

Acn

e Trea

tmen

ts

Premium

Facial

Clea

nsing

Wipe

s

Mass F

ace M

asks

Mass F

acial

Clea

nsing

Wipe

s

Premium

Anti

-Age

rs

Premium

Non

-Wipe

Clea

nsers

Premium

Gen

eral P

urpos

e Bod

y Care

$0

$200

$400

$600

$800

$1,000

$1,200

$1,400

$1,600

$1,800

$2,000

0.0%

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

$22

$1,166

$119$43 $18 $48

$363

$1,939

$498

$144

2015 Sales 2015 % growth

US$

Milli

ons

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Con

stan

t)

© Euromonitor International

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Skin Care: Growth DriversCATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

Korean Beauty Trends Drive Growth

Successful Skin Care Products Put Focus on Ingredients

Niche Brands Gain Market Share

Source: Sephora Polska

Chourouk Gorrab
title missing in the graph

© Euromonitor International

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2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Premium Men's Fragrances Premium Women's FragrancesPremium Unisex Fragrances Mass Men's FragrancesMass Women's Fragrances Mass Unisex Fragrances

Yea

r on

Yea

r Val

ue G

row

th (C

onst

ant)

Fragrances: Growth SubcategoriesCATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

U.S. Fragrance Subcategory Value Growth 2015-2020

2015-2020 Premium Fragrance Growth (constant value) = US$1 Billion

Premium Unisex2015-2020 CAGR:

15%

© Euromonitor International

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2014 2015-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Estée LauderCliniqueDonna Karen New YorkTommy HilfigerJo MaloneTom Ford

2014

-201

5 V

alue

Gro

wth

(Cur

rent

)

Niche Brands Drive Premium Growth

Fragrances: Growth DriversEstee Lauder Company Fragrance Brands

Personalization Through Layering

US BEAUTY IN THE GLOBAL CONTEXT

PREMIUMISATION OF US BEAUTY

CATEGORY HIGHLIGHTS

CONCLUSIONS

© Euromonitor International

25

Macroeconomic Factors Evolving Retail Channels Success of Niche Brands

U.S. Beauty: Overall Trends and OpportunitiesCONCLUSIONS

Source: Mike Mozart

• Newly-Flush Consumers Seek Affordable Luxury

• Premium Beauty: Gateway Purchase

• Rise of Masstige

• Well-Informed Consumers

• “Physital” Customer Engagement

• Internet Retailing, the Great Equalizer

• Millenials Usher in Era of Individualism

• Foreign Brands Garner Attention

• Acquisitions: Large Companies Take Note of Niche

THANK YOU FOR LISTENINGIrina BarbalovaHead of Global Beauty and Personal Care

For press inquiries, reach out to press-london@euromonitor.com