Anticipation + Wisdom = Resilience : The World and Wisdom Gane

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Anticipation + Wisdom = Resilience - presentation by David Adams on combining Tony Hodgson's world system model with the native American wisdom council for wiser decision-making.

Transcript of Anticipation + Wisdom = Resilience : The World and Wisdom Gane

Anticipation + Wisdom= Resilience

The World & Wisdom Game

A collaborative project in Scotland by International Futures Forum, Decision Integrity & Adams Associates

Too complex to understand Too subtle to control

How can LOVE this home of ours WISELY?

WorldSystemModel

Wheel of

Wisdom

4

Strategic ResilienceCapacity to be

READY FOR ANYTHING

without having to beREADY FOR EVERYTHING

Cultivating strategic foresight with wise counsel

“The wisdom of any decision is proportional to the range and depth of context that informs it.” – Max Boisot

System potential for dynamic balance

IFF World Game Making the Connections

Planetary Boundaries

?

?

Illustrating Synchronous Failure

DominantWorldviews

Health and Wellbeing

Food and Agriculture

Marketsand Trade

Energy andRaw Materials

Climate Change ImpactPlanetary

Limits

Water Dependency

Habitat andInfrastructure

Wealth and Power

Governanceand Law

Community Resilience

Simultaneous:• Climate catastrophe

wrecks infrastructure• Financial failure causes

economic collapse• Crop failure causes food

supply conflict

Trigger:• Governance failure ,• Public health crises, • Community breakdown.• Popular revolt

A Dynamic Tipping Point?

HUMAN GROWTH

PLANET HEALTH

Where are we now?

2000 2030

2012?

What gives resilience?

Variety! - of viable responses to the unforeseeable

Resourcefulness! – adaptable, creative leadership

Curiosity! – power to question in range and depth

Play! – experiments with radical thinking and ideas

How can the intelligence of variety meld to the integrity of collective consensus?

This is the nub of the Game...

Variety of

challenge

Varietyof

response

7 StrategistForesight, courage and

thought through commitment

6 OracleMastery of timing;

learning in the web of interconnections

5 StewardProtecting, cultivating and

renewing resources for endurance

4 PathfinderCollective purpose and

story, gathered and focused through thick and

thin

8 Guardian of Transformation

Watchfulness for values, energy and integrity for now and the long term

2 PeacemakerClear perceiving of what is real – evident or hidden –

without judgement

3 PioneerWary, powerful,

adventurous, challenging in response to need

1 GeniusPrecocious, innocent,

imaginative, convention-defying creativity

Roles for the Wheel of Wisdom

Adams Associates (Scotland)david@adamsassociates.com

People seriously at play “It takes a long time to become this young!”-Pablo Picasso

1 Commissioning

Project2 Client Briefing

and Research

3 World System Horizon

Scanning

4 Futures Potential

Impact Review

5 Reflective Wisdom Council

6 Critical Priorities and Task Forces

7 Outcome Appraisal

A World & Wisdom Game Cycle

16

A Journey to a Resilient Society ?

Ignorance and Neglect

Single Issue Obsession

Synchronous Failure

Transformative Resilience

Ready for Anything

Can the next generations do it

better?

Life attracts the positive!Our best responses arise from massive challenges.....

So play your way creatively into a better future!

Seek playful forms that generate serious results

www.internationalfuturesforum.com

Anticipation + Wisdom= Resilience