AI for Traders - Nirvana Systems Inc. · 2019. 12. 29. · “Reversal” Signal Every Signal Shown...

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Transcript of AI for Traders - Nirvana Systems Inc. · 2019. 12. 29. · “Reversal” Signal Every Signal Shown...

AI for Traders

With a Special

End of Year Offer!

Why Use AI?

Buy When: Bollinger Band Channel narrows and then expands. AND The 20-period EMA is over the 30-period... AND Momentum is positive... AND MACD is above its moving average...

A Trading Rule Bollinger Band

Narrows & Expands

20-period EMA over the 30-period EMA

Positive Momentum

MACD is above its moving average

There are Hundreds of Indicators ...

... Each with Many Interpretations

Interpretation Example(s)

Simple Values RSI(14) varies from 0 to 100

Above/Below Moving Average RSI(14) > MOV(RSI(14),S,20)

Bar to Bar Comparisons RSI(14) > RSI(14)[1]

Divergence with Price Slope(RSI(14),20) > Slope(C,20)

Above/Below a Level RSI(14) < 30

Applying Another Indicator Mom(RSI(14),20),7) > 0

Complex Relationships RSI(14) * (O-C)

Change Over 3 Bars RSI(14) – RSI(14)[3]

Of course, there are MANY More...

Some Interpretations of RSI(14):

An Infinite Universe of Possible Rules

Image source: www.markelcomputers.com

Finding Profitable Setups is not an easy task.

Rule #2753 • RSI(14) < 30 • Mom(7) > 0 • V > V[1] • CCI(21) < 10

How can we find these profitable Trading Rules?

A.I.

Using AI to Find Profitable Rules

Source: www.ewh.ieee.org

The Algorithm EVOLVES the Population to find profitable Rules.

Genes – Represent an individual interpretation, like “RSI(14) < 30”

Chromosomes – Combinations of Genes representing Rules

Result: A Knowledge Base of Rules

A Knowledge Base of Rules is generated that identifies Great Opportunities.

Knowledge Base of Trading Rules

Rule for “Reversal” Signal

Every Signal Shown is in Out of Sample data.

ARM6 Strategy

Indicator Inputs

Training Graph

ARM6 Strategy Block

ARM6 Improvements

in 2019

ARM6 Improvements in 2019

ARM6 has been DRAMATICALLY Improved with over 20 MAJOR ENHANCEMENTS, including...

The SETI Project Automatic Input Upload Automatic Input Replacement Speed Improvements Multi-Core Training Multi-Core Signal Generation

Training Enhancements Automatic Training Constraints Automatic Input Reduction Manual Input Reduction Able to Continue Training Automatic Rule Reduction Internal Validation

The Result: A Faster, More Profitable AI Engine

SETI: Search for (Extra Terrific) Inputs

The Ultimate Collaboration Inputs are shared between users if they choose to participate. An Automatic Process downloads Inputs from the Server and Uploads Inputs with Performance Statistics, This leads to smarter and smarter Knowledge Bases.

Using Multiple Cores for Speed

Result: The GA Runs 100x Faster!

Profitable ARM6 Signals

ARM6 Finds Profitable Rules on virtually any list, which can then be used successfully on other lists.

ARM6 Signals on AXP in Out of Sample Data

ARM6 Stocks

ARM6 Stocks

Comes with 4 Strategies: ARM6 Major Reversal ARM6 Swing ARM6 Quick Move ARM6 Volatility Breakout Dow 30 is shown to the right ... Run on larger lists to get a good selection of Signals every day.

Running ARM6 on the Dow 30

Recent ARM6 Stocks Trades

AAPL

Recent ARM6 Stocks Trades

VZ

Recent ARM6 Stocks Trades

INTC

Recent ARM6 Stocks Trades

HD

ARM6 Performance

Out of Sample (Forward Test) Data is all of 2018 and through Oct. 3, 2019. Because of the improvements in the Genetic Algorithm, we are seeing consistent Out of Sample performance in the 75%+ zone.

ARM6 on Forex

Portfolio Simulation on Out of Sample Data

ARM6 Forex Strategy

Performance Test

ARM6 with Options

Options on “Quick Moves”

We applied Out of the Money Call Options to the Quick Moves Strategy with some amazing Results! Options purchased 14+ days to expiration and held to expiration.

AAPL shows gains of over 900% in the Out of Sample Simulation (2018-19)

Dow 30 Stocks

Out of Sample Trading Simulation using theoretical option prices

$10,000

$49,000 “Conservative” Buying OTM Calls on the 30 Dow Stocks with 14+ days to expiration. Max of 3 trades at a time with 3% allocation to each trade. Max Risk: 10% of the Account.

100 Liquid Stocks

“Aggressive” Trading OTM Calls on the 100 Most Liquid Stocks with 14+ days to expiration. Max of 3 trades at a time with 10% allocation to each trade. Max Risk: 30% of the Account.

$10,000

$176,000

Out of Sample Trading Simulation using theoretical option prices

About Fulgent

Technologies, LLC

A Nirvana Systems Company

What is Fulgent?

“Bringing AI to Traders and Investors around the world through all major platforms and on the web.”

Strategies now available for: OmniTrader VisualTrader MetaStock MetaTrader Others are planned for the near future.

www.fulgent.ai

Strategies for Fulgent

Completed: ARM6 Stocks ARM6 Forex

Under Development: ARM6 Stocks Real Time ARM6 Sectors (8) ARM6 Chart Patterns ARM6 ETFs ARM6 Futures (5) ARM6 Market

All Fulgent AI Strategies are ARM6 Strategies

Nirvana Club Membership

Strategies under Fulgent Technologies, LLC ARM6 Stocks $1,800 ARM6 Forex $2,500 ARM6 Stocks Real Time $3,500 * ARM6 Sectors ($1,000 each) $7,500 * ARM6 Chart Patterns $2,400 * ARM6 ETFs $1,500 ** ARM6 Futures ($2,400 per market) $9,000 ** ARM6 Market $2,000 **

In addition to The AI Development System and “canned” ARM6 Strategies, YOU ALSO GET...

* In Development ** Planned

All Strategies created for Fulgent

Technologies

Member Benefits

ARM6 Automation

With the best Inputs automatically provided by SETI, Members can easily create their own Custom ARM6 Strategies. Just push “Train AI”

Member Strategy Uploads

Sharing the Wealth Members are freely uploading Strategies they have created to the Strategy Repository. Many show accuracies of 70% to 80%+ Downloading Profiles & Strategies to OmniTrader

is Super Easy and explained on the site.

Member Directory

Members can provide information on their interests & send email through the site.

* Members can elect to be listed

by name or only show their initials

The confidential Nirvana Club directory lists all members.*

Member Forums

We freely share company plans and product directions with members.

Members are helping us help them reach their goals.

There are tens of thousands of posts in the Club Forum.

This is a VERY active group!

Product Discounts

Product or Service Current Member

Discount

All Software, including:

• VisualTrader

• Plug-Ins 50% Educational products:

• Seminars on CD or DVD

• Live Seminars

40%

Subscriptions

• OmniData & OmniScans

• Pattern Trader

• Server Scans

30%

Members save thousands over time by virtue of their Nirvana Club membership!

Discounts on Data

Fulgent Strategies

* In Development ** Planned

Benefits of Membership • ARM6 Dev Environment • Involvement in SETI • Member Directory • Member Forum • Annual BASH Event • 50% discounts on Nirvana Products • 40% on Education Products • 30% on Data Subscriptions

PLUS ALL FULGENT STRATEGIES!

Strategies ARM6 Stocks $1,800 ARM6 Forex $2,500 ARM6 Stocks Real Time $3,500 * ARM6 Sectors ($1,000 each) $7,500 * ARM6 Chart Patterns $2,400 * ARM6 ETFs $1,500 ** ARM6 Futures ($2,400 per market) $9,000 ** ARM6 Market $2,000 **

NOTHING Beats the Club.

Many Trading Systems cost $3,000 to $10,000. And that’s all you get! A Nirvana Club membership pays dividends for years to come.

NOW, Club Memberships include ALL Strategies built for Fulgent Technologies, LLC.

The VALUE is incredible!

“The Nirvana Club is the best way to improve your trading, develop friendships and make money!” - Reece Beane

End of Year

Special Offer

An Unprecedented Opportunity

Nirvana Club “Full” Member Full Member level includes ALL current and future Fulgent Strategies created for Funds, Stocks, Forex, & Futures. List price (web site) . . . . .$11,000 Recently offered for . . . . . $7,000

End of Year Special Offer . . . . . . . $2,995

Limited to 50 New Members

http://fulgent.ai

Welcome to The Club!

When you Join the Club, you will receive:

• Installs for ARM6 Technology in OmniTrader and VisualTrader

• Access to the Private Nirvana Club Member Assets (Forum, etc.)

• Instructions on How to Download the ARM6 Strategies.

• Updates on new Fulgent Strategies as they become available.

- Everything you need to win in 2020 and beyond!

Join Now

Ed Downs

ed@nirvsys.com

Subject: “Nirvana Club”