Post on 30-Apr-2015
description
World
Russia
Poland USA
India
Belgium
CanadaIta
ly
New Zealand
Austria
DenmarkSpain
France
Finland
Australia
Norway
China
Switzerla
nd
Germany
Ireland
Netherlands
Wales UK
Sweden 0
5
10
15
20
25
Road fatalities per 100,000 inhabitants
Wales Scotland England0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Proportion commuting to work by car
Hull Bristol0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Proportion increase in walking and cycling
80-100% in favour
1994-98 av-
erage
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 20110%
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
OtherPedal CyclistsPedestrian
Proportion of KSI casualties in Wales
up to 20
30 40 50 60 700
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
PedestrianPedal cycle
Casualties by speed limit
20mph 30mph0
5
10
15
20
25
Probability of death if struck by vehicle at…
Speed Drink driving Seatbelt non-wearing0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40Reduction in road fatalities
for a 10% reduction in these
The experience from Hull
Serious and fatal in-juries
Child pedestrian casualties
Traffic accidents
-100
-90
-80
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
%
“Many countries in Europe apply strict liability to vulnerable road victims, e.g. pedestrians, children and cyclists.
To vary[ing] degrees, these are applied in Austria, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy Netherlands and Sweden”.
Norman Baker MP, UK Transport Minister
While what is provided could generously be described as ‘an exploration of problems…’, the exploration is not thorough, authoritative or comprehensive.
The consultation document states that: “There is no conclusive evidence suggesting this trend of increasing traffic demand will reverse soon”. The whole premise of the sentence is false.
Statistically, the data presented are meaningless.
The statement: “It is also important to note that slow and congested traffic can result in higher CO2 emissions than free-flowing traffic”. needs to be challenged.
the information comes from 2005 and is therefore at least six years out of date.
No information is provided in support of any of these contentions.
The use of the misnomer “Figure 10: Sustainable Development” is the cherry on the cake. It is difficult to see how a noise map could in any shape or form be the sole indicator of sustainable development.
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 201016,000
16,500
17,000
17,500
18,000
18,500
19,000
19,500
Total annual traffic volumes in south Wales
Accident rate compared to UK motorway average (2009-2010)
2006-08 2009-10
M4 J28-J29 54.9 35.7
M4 J27-J28 76.4 51.0
M4 J26-J27 165.7 45.0
M4 J25a-J26 106.6 93.9
M4 J24-J25 161.5 75.3
M4 J23a-J24 40.3 46.9
M4J23-J23a 32.3 16.7
Conclusions
Responses to consultations can only ever be as good as the material provided. This consultation suffers from multiple flaws: • An underlying assumption that there has been and will continue to be an increase
in traffic volumes on the M4 when in fact they have declined since 2004 or 2007, depending on the measure used
• Poor use of data from which consultees could draw erroneous conclusions• Erroneous presentation of data• Preferential selection of data that could skew consultees’ responses in favour of
new infrastructure• A proliferation of unsubstantiated and misleading statements• Misplaced faith in the now discredited ‘predict and provide’ method of transport
planning• Failure to understand ‘sustainable development’ even as consultation is ongoing
for a Bill to make sustainable development the central organising principle of government
In combination, the flaws are fatal for this consultation. It must be withdrawn.
Slide 1 http://www.flickr.com/photos/jmbo82/313823593/ Slide 8 http://www.flickr.com/photos/shanetuk/5491541318/Slide 16 http://www.flickr.com/photos/pinksherbet/179279964/sizes/o/in/photostream/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/stuckincustoms/4991717429 http://www.flickr.com/photos/alain_limoges/5485378183 http://www.flickr.com/photos/dexxus/6335746903/
Slide 17 http://www.flickr.com/photos/drive-design/3113761021/ Slide 18 http://www.flickr.com/photos/isherwoodchris/4295776610/
http://www.flickr.com/photos/humaninterface/5559445128http://www.flickr.com/photos/22420011@N05/2197132041
Slide 19 http://www.bicyclenetwork.com.au/general/bike-futures/40410/ Slide 20 http://www.flickr.com/photos/loose_grip_99/2535820294/Slide 22 http://www.flickr.com/photos/brandondoran/5196993419/ Slide 23 http://www.flickr.com/photos/lwr/4833385709/ Slide 24 http://www.flickr.com/photos/planetmike/118785321/ Slide 25 http://www.flickr.com/photos/garry61/3472434787/Slide 26 http://www.flickr.com/photos/cosmicmoonchild/2951379685/ Slide 29 http://www.uctc.net/access/35/access35_Traffic_Congestion_and_Grenhouse_Gases.shtml
Image credits