2008 ICAO SURVEYICAO launched a survey in 2008 to

assess the global and regional requirements for civil aviation personnel and associated training capacity The

GLOBAL A

ND REGIONAL

20-YEAR FO

RECASTS

ICAO SURVEY

Forecasts for pilots, maintenance personnel, and ATCs

Based on the size of future fleet projections for 2010-2030

SURVEY RESPONSENorth America 100%Europe 80%Asia/Pacific 82Latin America 54%Africa 50% Middle East 42%

Fleet Growth Rates

Passenger

Cargo

Other

Africa 2.8% 3.7% 6.1%Asia/Pacific

5.0% 5.3% 9.1%

Europe 3.0% 1.7% 6.5%Latin A 3.8% 4.3% 6.0%Middle East

4.1% 5.8% 4.8%

North America

1.8% 1.6% 2.8%

World 3.1% 2.7% 4.3%

Pilot Population

Professional Pilots

World Traffic

Africa 1% 6%Asia/Pacific 11% 28%Europe 18% 28%Latin America

5% 4%

Middle East

2% 2%

North America

63% (58% U.S.)

32%

World 100% 100%

U.S. DEMOGRAPHICS OF PILOT POPULATIONConsidering mandatory retirement age of 65Approximately 85,000 pilots (31%) are aged 55 or olderAmong this age group 34,000 (13%) will be eligible for

retirement from 2015

Approximately 118,000 pilots (43%) are aged 50 or more Among this age group, another 34,000 will be eligible for

retirement from 2020

PILOT TRAINING NEEDS

Pilots needed:2030

Training Needs

Training Capacity

Shortage/Surplus

Africa 55 932 3 812 1 010 -2 804

Asia/Pacific 229 676 13 983 4 935 -9 048

Europe 262 329 15 552 7 955 -7 597

Latin America

101 301 6 250 1 945 -4 305

Middle East 39 246 2 458 860 -1 598

North America

292 314 10 449(15 681)

27 655 17 206(11 974)

WHAT SHORTAGE: WHAT DAY IS ITFurloughed: American: 1,900; United: 1,436, FlexJet: 17% of its

Pilots

January 9, 2012Dallas newsAmerican Airlines on Monday made three big announcements:* It will stop flying its Chicago-Delhi, India, route on March 1.* It will close its Burbank, Calif., station and end Dallas/Fort Worth-Burbank flights.• It will lay off 150 workers in the U.S.

Given the Projected Pilot Demand in North America, and the Current Training Infrastructure, a USAAP is not needed.Based on the new “Pilot-Act”, the Current Training Infrastructure will need to be ChangedGiven the Enormous Global Pilot Need, Fundamental Changes Need to Occur in the Industry Inherent Complication of the Logistics of a UASSP run Program

THE BOTTOM LINE

ANOTHER BOTTOM LINE

“The Government needs to do only what the people cannot do better by themselves, and no more”

THANK YOU MTSU UNMANNED AIRCRAFT SYSTEMS CLUB MEMBERS TALKTO VISITORS AT MTSU FOOTBALL GAME BEFORE HISTORIC DRONE COIN DROP