Post on 08-Jan-2016
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Demographic changes and social security:
Challenges and opportunities
Julien Damon (associate Professor, Paris, Sciences Po)
01.12.2010. Cape Town,
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A synthesis of the ISSA’s work on demographic challenges
Prevention(in all fields)
Activation(for
employment)
Protection(throughout
life)Special Commission on prevention.
Employment and unemployment insurance policies.
Statistical, actuarial and financial studies.
Family benefits. Insurance against occupational accidents and diseases.
Social security investment funds.
Insurance against occupational accidents and diseases.
Family benefits. Invalidity – old age – survivors’ insurance.
Health and sickness insurance benefits.
Health and sickness insurance benefits.
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Identifying seven major demographic changes
Ageing Changes in family structures Changes in the labour market Urbanization Life-cycle desynchronization Migration Changes in social structure
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Ageing around the world as the central challengePercent of population age 65 or older
53 4 4
88
3
7 7
1614
6
15 16
25
World Africa Asia Latin Americaand the
Caribbean
MoreDeveloped
Regions
1980 2010 2040
Source : UN, PRB
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Converging trends in family structuresNumber of children per woman
Source : UN
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Wide-reaching transformations in the labour marketPositive correlation - fertility and working women (OECD)
Source : OECD
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Urbanisation of populations and lifestylesPercent of population living in urban areas
Source : UN, PRB
29
14 16
41
5347
36 37
7673
69
6265
8689
World Africa Asia Latin Americaand the
Caribbean
MoreDeveloped
Regions
1950 2000 2050
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Source : UN, PRB
The unequal desynchronisation of life cyclesLife expectancy at birth, in years
49
6772
76
6565
7780 82
75
Africa Asia Latin Americaand the
Caribbean
More DevelopedRegions
World
2000-2005 2045-2050
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Migrations to come and movements to followOrigin and destination of international migrants
Source : UNDP
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The global evolution of social structuresReduction in extreme poverty (percentage)
Source : MDG
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Still a World of Differences…Sewerage sanitation
Source : worldmapper.com
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Conclusion
The demographic challenges and crisis as opportunities
Yet more challenges…
Dynamic social security as a decisive actor for change
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Thank you