Post on 30-Dec-2015
description
A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility—Report of the Secretary-General's High-level Panel on Threats, Challenges and Change (United Nations, 2004)
• Prioritized but intimately connected• These are systemic challenges that require systemic understanding and systemic solutions• Policies and budgets must be harmonized among all parties
W A TE
RWEALTH
IntegrityDATA PATHOLOGIES THE CURE
• Forbidden Knowledge
• Lost History
• Manufacturing Consent
• Missing Information
• Fog Facts
• Propaganda
• Rule by Secrecy
• Weapons of Mass Deception
Level of Analysis Threat Grade CommentStrategic Sustainability
LOW (2.0) Not sustainable for more than two weeks.
Operational Availability
MEDIUM (3.0)
Many of them scattered around.
Tactical Reliability
LOW (2.0) Cannibalized parts, stored in open, poorly trained crews.
Technical Lethality
HIGH (4.0) Best tanks money could buy at the time from Russia.US IC Official Threat on Worst Case Basis
General Threat Factor
<MEDIUM (2.75)
Proper analysis differentiated threat at each level which means each level commander is individually informed.
Military Difference
1.25 (31%) Being wrong by 31% is significant—nuances matter. On balance, at two of four levels, threat is a LOW threat.
Threat (or Factor Being Evaluated) Changes at Each Level of Analysis
Rule 5Intelligence without Translation is Ignorant
• USA failed to translate captured documents from first World Trade Center bombing and from Philippines• Need global network
of on-call translators in 29+ languages• Web-based
OSS Terrorism Project 1999Arabic, Catelan, Chinese, Danish, Dari, Dutch, English, Farsi, Finnish, French, German, Indonesian, Irish, Italian, Japanese, Korean, Kurdish, Kurmanji, Norwegian, Pashto, Polish, Portuguese, Russian, Serbian, Spanish, Swedish, Tamil, Turkish, Urdu
Millions
Figure 9: Concept for Information Operations 24/7 in All Languages & Mediums
HISTORYAll Cultures, All Languages
FUTUREOne World, Get A Grip
Thinking Holistically
Everything is Connected—Get a Grip!
TECHNICAL HUMAN
III - External InformationEXTERNAL
INTERNAL
OrganizationalMemory System
DataConversion
DataVisualization
HeterogeneousSearch & Retrieval
TripReports
Churning(Rotationals)
LocalKnowledge
Expert Hires“Just Enough,
Just in Time”
Internal Reporting
Vendor Reporting
Government Monitoring
Customer Monitoring
Environmental Monitoring
Technology Monitoring
CHUNKS
(Intellectual Property)
PERSONALITY
(Insight/Intuition)
Patents, Etc.
Trade Secrets
Meta-Data
Knowledge Capital™
Rolodexes/E-Mail
Personal Brand
Out-Sourcing ofInformationProcessing
Project/GroupManagement
Training
BusinessIntelligenceInstitutionalized
E-Commerce
Automated Analysis
Cell #
IV - Organizational Intelligence
I - Knowledge Management II - Collaborative Work
Future
History &Current
Now
State Targets – Lots of Assets
Organizational Targets – Very Few Assets
Individual Targets – Virtually No Assets
Figure 28: Information & Intelligence Element of Regional Centre
Figure 30: Low-Tech Individual Hand-Held Access (Generally Free)
Figure 28: Information & Intelligence Element of Regional Centre
New Strategy: 1 + iii:Need better balance within national security.
50% 15% 20% 15%
250B vs. 400B 75B vs 20B 100B vs. 20B 75B vs. 32B
CINCWAR CINCSOLIC CINCPEACE CINCHOME
Strategic NBC Small Wars State/USIA Intelligence
Big War(s) Constabulary Peace Corps Border Patrol
Ground Truth Economic Aid Port Security
1 ii i
Electronic
Reserve
Reserve Environment
Public HealthPeace Navy
Engineers: Less Gov Spec Cost Plus, More Peace & Prosperity Engineering
Intelligence-Driven Stabilization & Reconstruction