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ISSN 1347-5428Population Research Series No.337March 31, 2018

Population Projections for JapanA Supplement to the 2017 Revision

( Commentary with Ancillary Projections )

National Institute of Population andSocial Security Research

Tokyo, Japan

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(1) 26.3 28.6 28.2 29.0

(2) 50 12.0 % 18.8 % 13.2 % 24.7 %

(3) 1.96 1.79 1.91 1.68

(4) 0.959 0.955 0.955 0.955

1.59 1.21

1964 2000

1.63 1.40

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020406080100120 0 20 40 60 80 100 12005101520253035404550556065707580859095100105

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1.0

1.1

1.2

1.3

1.4

1.5

1.6

1.7

1.8

1.9

2.0

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065

29

24

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70

75

80

85

90

95

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065

24

29

24

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-60,000

-40,000

-20,000

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

H29

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(15 49 )

+

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0

20

40

60

80

100

15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50

(%)

2000-052006-10

2011-15

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0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045

2050

2055

2060

2065

-TFR

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2015, 1.4%

2030, 2.3%

2065, 4.7%

2015, 3.1%

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2065, 6.9%

0.0%

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2.0%

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6.0%

7.0%

8.0%

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065

0 1718 3435 5960

2015, 1,775

2030, 2,746

2065, 4,169

2015, 702

2030, 933 2065, 915

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2055 2060 2065

0 1718 3435 5960

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1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

1.2

0.00

0.50

1.00

1.50

2.00

2.50

1935

1940

1945

1950

1955

1960

1965

1970

1975

1980

1985

1990

1995

2000

2005

2010

2015

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0.02

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0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110

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0

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60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

2032

2034

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, 48.9%

35.0%

40.0%

45.0%

50.0%

55.0%

60.0%

65.0%

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

��

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-0.0010

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1960

1965

1970

1975

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1990

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2010

2015‰

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1.0%

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1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

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’

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1.24 1.33 1.34

1.45 1.49 1.50 1.51

1.73 1.73 1.82 1.85 1.87 1.89 1.96

1.38 1.38

1.59 1.44

1.60 1.50

1.58 1.74 1.75

1.84 1.89 1.86 1.80 1.95

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

1.5 2015 1.5 2015

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85.0

88.6 88.4 87.8 89.3

86.1 85.2

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84.8 86.4

84.0

91.4 91.6 91.6 90.8 92.4

90.2 88.3

89.5 89.7 90.7 89.9

88.8 88.9 87.1

65

70

75

80

85

90

95 2015 2065

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6.6

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()

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2018

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2034

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2038

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200

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2054

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2064

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2015 2025 2035 2045 2055 2065 2075 2085 2095 2105 2115

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25.0

26.0

27.0

28.0

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400,000

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ã Ä é Á ê . q - ipss.go.jp · ISSN 1347-5428 q ç5ô# $å/ ±%Y Population Research Series...

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