2018 CAR Market Outlook Amy de Vallet

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Transcript of 2018 CAR Market Outlook Amy de Vallet

Prospects for Chicago’s Real Estate MarketChicago Association of REALTORSJanuary 11, 2018

Presented by Amy de ValletSenior Director

Tribune Real Estate Holdings, LLC.

• Tribune Real Estate Holdings was formed in

2013 after emergence from bankruptcy

• New Tribune Company management saw

opportunity to maximize value of real estate

assets to create shareholder value

• Since formation, we have sold over $700mm in

real estate assets and anticipate as much as

another $400mm in the coming years

TRIBUNE REAL ESTATE HOLDINGSMAXIMIZING LEGACY REAL ESTATE IN A DIGITAL ECONOMY

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• Owned 76 properties in 23

states upon formation of

the holding company

• 8M SF on 1,200 acres

• Mix of urban office and

industrial, and large

suburban/rural parcels

• Large presence in Chicago,

Los Angeles, New York

OUR LEGACY FOOTPRINT

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OUR APPROACH

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Our experience as a holder, leaser and

renter of property advises our real

estate approach

A private equity approach to real estate

holdings:

• Define & execute optimal strategies for each

asset

• Perfect entitlements and enhance/improve

zoning

• Enter JV agreements with local operators and

monetize when appropriate

GROWTH AND DEMAND IN

CHICAGO’S URBAN CENTER

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• Chicago’s Downtown Central Business District is growing

• City of Chicago is modernizing policies to encourage growth

• Educated millennials overwhelmingly settle downtown, prefer CBD to suburbs at a 15:1 ratio

• They demand live/work/play environments that emphasize connectivity (digital & physical)

• Urban centers are replacing suburban campuses – and businesses are relocating to Chicago

URBAN OPPORTUNITY: SUBURBAN FLIGHT

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• They’re looking for talent, unique and creative space and to use their presence in an urban setting to further define their brand

URBAN OPPORTUNITY: CORPORATE TRENDS

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So what does this mean for land owners and developers – especially in a large

gateway market like Chicago?

WE’RE BULLISH…

BUT THERE ARE CHALLENGES

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• Old buildings with aging infrastructure

• Significant transportation infrastructure needs

• Absence of regional planning with widespread, cross-jurisdiction political support and cooperation

• Potential for excess inventory

L I N C O L N YA R D S

28 acres

O L D P O S T O F F I C E

2.5M sq. ft.

M I C H A E L R E E S E

49 acres

G O O S E I S L A N D / M O R TO N S A LT

4.25 acres

T H E R I V E R D I S T R I C T

37 acres

R I V E R L I N E

14 acres

T H E 7 8

62 acres

U N I O N S TAT I O N

14 acres

CAN IT ALL BE ABSORBED?

Why are we still bullish?

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Because geography and demographics still matter

THE RIVER DISTRICT37 CONTIGUOUS ACRES BOUNDED BY CHICAGO RIVER, HALSTED, AND GRAND AVENUE

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URBAN CONTEXTNEXUS OF CHICAGO’S MOST DESIRABLE RESIDENTIAL NEIGHBORHOODS

LOGAN SQUARE

BUCKTOWN

HUMBOLDT PARK

2 Mile Radius

STREETERVILLE

29,507

79.1%

1 Mile Radius

RIVER NORTH

16,022

82.7%

THE LOOP

15,812

80.4%

WEST LOOP

FULTON MARKET

55,161

68.1%

WEST TOWN

RIVER WEST

35,077

43.4%

TRI-TAYLOR

7,141

62.6%

WICKER PARK

26,164

78%

GOLD COAST

OLD TOWN

40,133

72.3%

LINCOLN PARK

66,085

82.2%

LAKEVIEW

70,984

83.3%

SOUTH LOOP

PRINTER’S ROW

30,505

78.0%

UNIVERSITY VILLAGE

34,017

43.4%

UKRAINIAN

VILLAGE

11,450

59%

POPULATION ESTIMATEEAST PILSEN

51,527

44.6%

BUCKTOWN

LOGAN SQUARE

85,319

67%

COLLEGE DEGREE

15-30 minute commute (or less) to all of Chicago’s most desirable neighborhoods for millennial talent

250,000 residents (146,000 households) within 2 miles of site

953,000 residents (442,000 households) within 5 miles of site

TRANSPORTATION CONNECTIVITY

CENTRAL LOCATIONTRANSIT CONNECTIVITY

CONVENIENT ACCESS TO MAJOR BUS, TRAIN, BIKE, AND COMMUTER HUBS

• 50% of site within ¼ mile of CTA Blue Line

• CTA Blue goes direct to ORD

• Within ½ mile of 5 CTA train stations (Blue, Brown/Purple, Green)

• Bounded by 3 major bus lines (Halsted, Chicago, and Grand)

• Halsted and Milwaukee are major bike ‘spoke routes’

• 1 mile to Ogilvie / Union Station commuter train system

• There’s good reason to be bullish on Chicago and other gateway cities

• Geography and demographics still matter

• Watch out for oversaturation and challenges for absorption

KEY TAKEAWAYS

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