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101Decision Modeling for Strategic PlanningMarc Vandenplas MBA FOPPMJV LLC 505 MONTGOMERY ST 11 T H FLR SAN FRANCISCO +1.415.425.1436“ P O L I C Y T R E E ” I S A R E G I S T E R E D T R A D E M A R K O F S Y N C O P A T I O N S O F T W A R E .

There is a method of quantitative decision modeling that can be applied to strategic decisions. The method will determine the most profitable way forward, provide a map of the decisions and uncertainties in getting there, and the risks of the path.

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101Decision Modeling for Strategic PlanningMarc Vandenplas MBA FOPPMJV LLC 505 MONTGOMERY ST 11 T H FLR SAN FRANCISCO +1.415.425.1436“ P O L I C Y T R E E ” I S A R E G I S T E R E D T R A D E M A R K O F S Y N C O P A T I O N S O F T W A R E .

This is really fascinating stuff – actually assembling a company’s subject matter experts and facilitating the creation of an actual model of their strategic and tactical decisions.

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…and a lot of it can be accomplished in smaller groups with a whiteboard.

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• Strategy• Policy• Risk-Profile• Information & Control Valuations• Real Option Valuation• Change Management Materials• Communications• Measurement• Change Control

Et cetera.

This approach produces many important reports that will help ensure alignment with your company’s risk policy and overall strategy.

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One of them is a decision tree that details the sequence of important decisions on the path of strategic implementation.

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Another deliverable is the value of perfect information and control. This is an input into your resource allocation discussions.

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The cumulative probability conveys the risk-reward profile of different strategies, as an input in determining alignment with company policy.

See the ScreencastMarc Vandenplas + Team

Marc Vandenplas + Teamdecision modelingproject program portfolio managementmjv llc

+01 415 425 1436505 montgomery st 11th floorsan francisco ca 94111

mjv1436@gmail.com

direct or through your talent provider.

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All of this information, and more, is the result of a quantitative probabilities decision model – an exercise involving your subject matter experts – and one that is very cost effective.

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