Post on 16-Apr-2017
http://publictransportdiaries.com
Cornie Huizenga, Secretary General, SLoCaT Partnership EcoMobility World Festival
7 October 2015
Transport and Climate Change
Mission: Integrate Sustainable Transport in Global Policies on Sustainable Development and Climate Change
SLoCaT Partnership90+ Members: International Organizations – Government –
Development Banks – NGOs – Private Sector - Academe
SLoCaT Foundation: Established in 2014 with sole objective to support the functioning of the SLoCaT Partnership
Diamond Supporters
Platinum Supporters
Gold Supporters
Conclusions and RecommendationsUnited Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Source: UNFCCC 2014
UNFCCC Secretariat
NAMA Registry
Ad hoc Working Group on the Durban Platform for Enhanced Actions (ADP)
Technology Mechanisms Financial Mechanisms
Subsidiary Body for Scientific and Technological Advice
(SBSTA)
Subsidiary Body for Implementation
(SBI)
Convention Bodies
Intergovernmental Panel for Climate
Change (IPCC)
Conference of the Parties (COP)
Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (CMP)
United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change (UNFCCC)
2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 20500
10000000000
20000000000
30000000000
40000000000
50000000000
60000000000
PowerOther transformationIndustryTransportResidentialCommercialAgricultureBi
llion
Ton
s of C
O2
Source: International Energy Agency (2014), Tracking Clean Energy Progress 2014, OECD/IEA, Paris
Transport sector CO2 emissions projected to increase by about 60% from 2015 to 2050
Transport Emissions Trends (6DS Scenario)
Agriculture Commercial Residential Transport Industry Power
-100%
-90%
-80%
-70%
-60%
-50%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
2015-2050 Growth 2DS
2DS
CO2
Grow
th b
etw
een
2015
to 2
050
Transport must reduce emissions by 40% of 2015 levels by 2050 for 2DShowever, non-OECD countries have just begun to motorize
Source: IEA WEO 2012
2DS Growth in Different Sectors 2015-2050
Conclusions and RecommendationsGlobal High Shift Scenario
Total Private Public + NMT Total Private Public + NMTPassenger Kilometer Travel CO2 Transport Costs
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2010 2050 - BAU 2050- High Avoid & Shift
Grow
th (w
ith 2
010
as 1
00)
• $100 trillion savings in public/private infrastructure • 1,700 megaton reduction of annual carbon dioxide (CO2)
= 40% reduction of urban passenger transport emissions
Source: ITDP/UC Davis 2014
Conclusions and RecommendationsUrban Mobility Policy Scenarios 2050
ITF Transport Outlook 2015
• 38% of global growth in surface transport passenger emissions will come from cities in these regions in 2050
under a BAU scenario
Conclusions and RecommendationsCOP20 Lima Transport Scorecard
Source: SLoCaT-BtG 2015
• Six negotiation streams tracked at COP20 Lima• INDCs have made significant progress• Adaptation has also made strides
• Other areas show no substantive progress
Conclusions and RecommendationsINDC Pledges
Source: Carbon Brief 2015
INDC pledges submitted as of October 1, 2015 cover nearly 90% of global emissions
Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport in INDCs by Region
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015, http://www.slocat.net/docs/1503
Region% of
submissions in region
Transport Sector
Mentioned
Specified Transport
Target
Transport Mitigation Quantified
Specified Transport Measures
Urban Transport Measures
Africa 36% 88% 36% 50% 69% 48%
US & Canada 4% 100% 0% 0% 100% 0%
Europe & Central Asia 27% 100% 0% 0% 25% 67%
Latin America/Caribbean 11% 100% 40% 20% 60% 33%
Asia-Pacific/Middle East 22% 100% 20% 20% 80% 26%
Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Modes in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
Freight Transport Urban Transport Railways Waterways/Shipping
Aviation0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
16%
29%
16%13%
4%
% sh
are
in IN
Dc's
Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Strategies in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
Energy Ef -ficiency
Renewable Energy
Fuel Subsidy Landuse/Urban form
Public Transport
Walking/Cycling
Inspection & maintenance
Parking0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
35%
41%
5%8%
24%
8%
3% 3%
Shar
e of
INDC
Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Measures in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
Country Proposed Urban Transport Sector Measures
Benin Improve traffic flow in urban crossings of large cities; develop a river-lagoon transport system with navigable rivers; modernize and extend rail infrastructure; develop urban transport.
China Increase mode share of public transport in in large- and medium-sized cities to 30% by 2020; promote urban pedestrian and bicycle infrastructure; accelerate green freight development.
Gabon Increase infrastructure investments, public transport services (e.g. congestion reduction in Libreville), restrict importation of vehicles that are more than 3 years old.
Japan Promote modal shift to public transport and railways; develop traffic safety facilities and improve traffic flow through ITS; promote driverless cars, eco-driving and car sharing.
Jordan Increase public transport mode share to 25% by 2025; reduce vehicle fuel emissions and vehicle travel, particularly in densely populated areas.
MacedoniaIncrease electrification of transport, increase use of railways, renew vehicle fleets
increase use of bicycles and walking; introduce parking policies
Republic of Korea
Continue to expand infrastructure for environment friendly public transport; introduce low-carbon standards for fuel efficiency; provide incentives for electric and hybrid vehicles.
Conclusions and RecommendationsTransport Targets in INDCs
Source: SLoCaT Partnership 2015
• D.R. Congo: 10Mt CO2eq reduction by urban transport improvements
• Trinidad and Tobago: 30% reduction in GHG emissions by 2030 in public transport sector vs. BAU
• Bangladesh: Achieve shift of up to 20% in urban passenger travel from road to rail by 2030 vs. BAU
• China: Promote share of public transport in large and medium-sized cities, targeting 30% by 2020
• Israel: 20% shift from private to public transportation
Conclusions and RecommendationsLPAA Transport Commitments Relevant to Cities
Source: http://ppmc-cop21.org/lpaatransportinitiatives/
C40 Clean Bus DeclarationC40 Cities Climate Leadership Group
MobiliseYourCity: Sustainable Urban Mobility PlansCODATU
Declaration on Climate LeadershipUITP
Urban Electric Mobility InitiativeUN-Habitat
Vehicle Fuel Efficiency AcceleratorGFEI
Modal Shift to Cycling WorldwideWCA/ECF ITS for the Climate
ATEC_ITS France
Global Green Freight Action PlanGreen Freight Steering Group
International ZEV AllianceCal EPA
Conclusions and RecommendationsCity-Focused Transport Initiatives
Source: http://ppmc-cop21.org/city-commitments-on-transport-and-climate-change/
• Civitas has helped 60 demonstration cities implement innovative measures to develop greener transport
• Covenant of Mayors signatories aim to meet and exceed the EU 20% CO2 reduction objective by 2020
• Sustainable Urban Mobility Campaign boosts mobility campaigners in EU, Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein
• European Mobility Week encourages cities to invite local residents to try alternative forms of transport
• Compact of Mayors encourages increased capital flows to cities to support local action reducing GHG emissions
Conclusions and Recommendations
• COP21 outcomes should focus on technology transfer, financing policies, and strategies to support urban transport
• INDCs should give additional attention to urban transport through projects and policies to optimize mitigation potential
• LPAA activities should be leveraged to scale up • Global transport and climate change community should
leverage SDGs/targets • The transport community should capitalize on Habitat III
Recommendations
Global Agreement on Climate Change that empowers transport sector to take action on climate change
Inclusive platform on mobility and climate created by SLoCaT Partnership and Michelin Challenge Bibendum
Common Messages on Mobility and
Climate
Knowledge Products
National, Regional and Thematic
DialoguesEvents at COP21
PPMC Components:
www.ppmc-cop21.org